Carlisle United vs Boston United Prediction, Odds & Stats

2-1predicted score (10%)

59%both teams score

64%over 2.5 goals

2.24-1.07expected goals

63%20%16%

Analysis from us

Carlisle's last 6 gave them 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 14 scored and 4 conceded. Boston Utd's last 6 brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 15 conceded.

Carlisle games saw both teams score 75% of the time this season, and 62% had more than 2.5 goals. For Boston Utd, those percentages are 69% and 62%.

Our results show 2 meetings since August 2024. Carlisle won 2 of them, Boston Utd won 0, while 0 finished level. The most recent of those, on Saturday 21 March 2026, ended Carlisle 6-2 Boston Utd.

Based on expected goals of Carlisle 2.24 and Boston Utd 1.07, the model rates Carlisle as the likeliest at 63%, with the draw 20% and Boston Utd 16%.

The predicted score is Carlisle United 2-1 Boston United.

Stats for Carlisle v Boston Utd

Per game	Carlisle	Boston Utd
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	2.40	1.40
Goals conceded a game	0.80	2.80
Both teams scored	60%	80%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	100%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Corners won / conceded	6.2 / 4.2	5.6 / 4.4
Yellow cards a game	2.0	2.4

Per game	Carlisle	Boston Utd
Games	16	16
Goals scored a game	2.00	1.31
Goals conceded a game	1.44	1.81
Both teams scored	75%	69%
Over 2.5 goals	62%	62%
Clean sheets	19%	12%
Corners won / conceded	6.1 / 4.5	5.9 / 6.4
Yellow cards a game	1.9	2.4

Per game	Carlisle	Boston Utd
Games	8	7
Goals scored a game	2.25	1.57
Goals conceded a game	1.75	2.29
Both teams scored	75%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	71%
Clean sheets	25%	14%
Corners won / conceded	6.4 / 5.0	4.7 / 6.6
Yellow cards a game	1.6	2.6

Per game	Carlisle	Boston Utd
Games	2	2
Goals scored a game	4.00	1.50
Goals conceded a game	1.50	4.00
Both teams scored	100%	100%
Over 2.5 goals	100%	100%
Clean sheets	0%	0%
Yellow cards a game	1.5	4.5

Fair prices for each market


Match result	Carlisle win	63%	4/7
	Draw	20%	4/1
	Boston Utd win	16%	5/1
Double chance	Carlisle or draw	84%	1/5
	Boston Utd or draw	37%	7/4
Draw no bet	Carlisle	79%	1/4
	Boston Utd	21%	4/1
Both teams to score	Yes	59%	4/6
	No	41%	6/4
Goals	Over 1.5	85%	2/11
	Over 2.5	64%	4/7
	Under 2.5	36%	7/4
	Over 3.5	42%	11/8
Result and BTTS	Carlisle and yes	33%	2/1
	Draw and yes	16%	5/1
	Boston Utd and yes	10%	9/1
Result and goals	Carlisle and over 2.5	46%	6/5
	Boston Utd and over 2.5	11%	8/1
	Carlisle and under 2.5	17%	5/1
	Boston Utd and under 2.5	5%	18/1
Half time / full time	Carlisle / Carlisle	42%	11/8
	Draw / Carlisle	18%	9/2
	Draw / Draw	11%	17/2
	Boston Utd / Boston Utd	9%	10/1
Corners	Over 9.5	67%	1/2
	Over 10.5	57%	8/11
Cards	Over 3.5	52%	10/11
	Over 4.5	35%	15/8

Match result

Carlisle win

63%

4/7

Draw

20%

4/1

Boston Utd win

16%

5/1

Double chance

Carlisle or draw

84%

1/5

Boston Utd or draw

37%

7/4

Draw no bet

Carlisle

79%

1/4

Boston Utd

21%

4/1

Both teams to score

Yes

59%

4/6

No

41%

6/4

Goals

Over 1.5

85%

2/11

Over 2.5

64%

4/7

Under 2.5

36%

7/4

Over 3.5

42%

11/8

Result and BTTS

Carlisle and yes

33%

2/1

Draw and yes

16%

5/1

Boston Utd and yes

10%

9/1

Result and goals

Carlisle and over 2.5

46%

6/5

Boston Utd and over 2.5

11%

8/1

Carlisle and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Boston Utd and under 2.5

5%

18/1

Half time / full time

Carlisle / Carlisle

42%

11/8

Draw / Carlisle

18%

9/2

Draw / Draw

11%

17/2

Boston Utd / Boston Utd

9%

10/1

Corners

Over 9.5

67%

1/2

Over 10.5

57%

8/11

Cards

Over 3.5

52%

10/11

Over 4.5

35%

15/8

We work out a fair price by dividing 1 by our chance. football-data.co.uk usually posts prices from UK bookmakers two or three days before kick-off, but our feed doesn't yet include them for this match.

Line-ups we predict

Carlisle 3-5-2

Name: Adam Desbois.GK
Name: Leo Duru.MID
Name: Joshua Williams.MID
Name: Bradley Nicholson.DEF
Name: Morgan Feeney.DEF
Name: Kenton Richardson.DEF
Name: Callum Whelan.MID
Name: Teddy Jenks.MID
Name: Regan Linney.FWD
Name: David Ajiboye.FWD
Name: Callum Camps.MID

They started at Altrincham on Sat 31 Oct.

Boston Utd 4-3-2-1 formation.

Name: Louis Chadwick.GK
Name: Sai Sachdev.DEF
Name: Georgie Gent.DEF
Name: Terrell Agyemang.MID
Name: Niall Canavan.DEF
Name: Jamie Grimes.DEF
Name: Jack Holmes.MID
Rooney, Jake.MID
Cursons, Tom.FWD
Aboh, Kenneth.FWD
Wheeldon, Lennon.FWD

Started Sat 31 Oct against Scunthorpe.

Other clubs: the eleven who started their most recent match, per ESPN. Once ESPN confirms the teams, these line-ups are replaced, roughly an hour before kick-off.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Carlisle goals down the side and Boston Utd goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	4.2	3.4	2.1	0.7	0.2	0.0
1	7.6	9.3	4.7	1.7	0.4	0.1
2	9.1	9.8	5.3	1.9	0.5	0.1
3	6.8	7.3	3.9	1.4	0.4	0.1
4	3.8	4.1	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.0
5	1.7	1.8	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0

When the goals come

Boston Utd, 16 games and Carlisle, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events show goals scored by minute.

Corners plus cards

Corners expected: 11.4 in total (league 10.0; Carlisle 6.2, Boston Utd 5.2).
3.9yellow cards are expected, with the league at 3.8.

Form in recent games

Carlisle United

Carlisle's last 6 matches
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	at Altrincham	4-2	W
Wed 28 Oct	v Harrogate	3-0	W
Sat 24 Oct	at Solihull	2-1	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Kidderminster	0-0	D
Sat 3 Oct	at Aldershot	3-1	W
Tue 29 Sep	at Fylde	2-0	W

Carlisle is listed first in the scores.

Boston United

Boston Utd's last 6 matches
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Scunthorpe	2-1	W
Tue 27 Oct	v Gateshead	2-1	W
Sat 24 Oct	at Eastleigh	2-4	L
Sat 10 Oct	v Southend	1-2	L
Sat 3 Oct	at Yeovil	0-6	L
Tue 29 Sep	at Halifax	1-1	D

Scores show Boston Utd first.

Head to head

Date	Competition	Result	Half time	Corners
Sat 21 Mar 2026	National League	Carlisle 6-2 Boston Utd	1-2
Sat 22 Nov 2025	National League	Boston Utd 1-2 Carlisle	0-0

Date

Competition

Result

Half time

Corners

Sat 21 Mar 2026

National League

Carlisle 6-2 Boston Utd

1-2

Sat 22 Nov 2025