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Scunthorpe United vs Worthing prediction

Scunthorpe United crestScunthorpe
15:00Saturday 14 November
Worthing
1-2predicted score (8%)
72%both teams score
73%over 2.5 goals
1.79-1.98expected goals

Our breakdown

Scunthorpe's last 6 games: 1 win, 0 draws, 5 defeats, with 8 scored and 15 conceded. Worthing's last 6: 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 defeat, 13 goals scored and 9 conceded.

So far this season 60% of Scunthorpe games saw both teams score and 60% went over 2.5 goals; Worthing's figures are 75% and 81%.

A Worthing win comes out likeliest in our model at 43%. Scunthorpe 35% and a draw 22% follow, and expected goals are 1.79 for Scunthorpe and 1.98 for Worthing.

We predict Scunthorpe United 1-2 Worthing. One exact score is likelier than all the rest: 1-1 at 8.6%. Inside the outcome we lean to, 1-2 ranks highest.

Stats: Scunthorpe v Worthing

Per gameScunthorpe United crestScunthorpeWorthing
Games55
Goals scored a game0.802.40
Goals conceded a game2.801.60
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%100%
Clean sheets0%20%
Corners won / conceded5.8 / 2.64.0 / 7.0
Yellow cards a game2.61.0

Fair prices for each market

Match resultScunthorpe win35%15/8
Draw22%7/2
Worthing win43%11/8
Double chanceScunthorpe or draw57%8/11
Worthing or draw65%8/15
Draw no betScunthorpe45%6/5
Worthing55%5/6
Both teams to scoreYes72%2/5
No28%5/2
GoalsOver 1.590%2/17
Over 2.573%4/11
Under 2.527%11/4
Over 3.552%10/11
Result and BTTSScunthorpe and yes24%3/1
Draw and yes19%4/1
Worthing and yes29%5/2
Result and goalsScunthorpe and over 2.528%5/2
Worthing and over 2.534%2/1
Scunthorpe and under 2.57%12/1
Worthing and under 2.59%11/1
Half time / full timeWorthing / Worthing27%11/4
Scunthorpe / Scunthorpe21%7/2
Draw / Worthing13%13/2
Draw / Scunthorpe11%8/1
CornersOver 9.559%4/6
Over 10.548%11/10
CardsOver 3.551%evens
Over 4.534%2/1

Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Our feed doesn't yet include the bookmaker prices from the UK for this match. Those prices usually appear on football-data.co.uk two or three days before the match kicks off.

The line-ups we expect

Scunthorpe United crestScunthorpe 4-1-4-1

  1. Campbell, Maison.GK
  2. Starbuck, Joseph.DEF
  3. Denton, Tyler.DEF
  4. Batty, Dan.MID
  5. Belehouan, Jean.DEF
  6. Evans, Will.DEF
  7. Jones, Patrick.MID
  8. Richards, Jordan.MID
  9. Norwood, James.FWD
  10. Beestin, Alfie.MID
  11. Brennan, Luke.MID

Their start came Sat 31 Oct at Boston Utd.

Worthing 4-2-3-1

  1. Taylor SeymourGK
  2. Colbran, Joel.DEF
  3. Adjetey-Brew, Cory.DEF
  4. Aguiar, Ricky.MID
  5. Cook, Joe.DEF
  6. Moore, Jayden.DEF
  7. De Graft, Razzaq.MID
  8. Wadham, Jack.MID
  9. Kendall, Charley.FWD
  10. Young, Jordan.MID
  11. Johnson-Fisher, Dominic.MID

Their start came Sat 31 Oct v Sutton Utd.

For other clubs, the listed eleven players started their team's latest match, based on ESPN. Once ESPN confirms the teams, they replace these line-ups, about an hour before kick-off.

Chances for each exact score

Each score's chance in %, with Scunthorpe goals listed down the side and Worthing goals across
012345
02.84.14.53.01.50.6
13.68.68.15.32.61.0
23.77.37.24.82.40.9
32.24.44.32.91.40.6
41.02.01.91.30.60.3
50.40.70.70.50.20.1

Scoring times

031-151516-303631-457446-604761-754776-90

Games covered: Scunthorpe, 15; Worthing, 16. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Form guide

Scunthorpe United crestScunthorpe United

Scunthorpe results for the last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Boston Utd1-2L
Tue 27 Octat Tamworth1-4L
Sat 24 Octv Woking2-3L
Sat 10 Octat Fylde0-2L
Tue 29 Sepat Barrow0-3L
Sat 26 Sepv Hartlepool4-1W

For the scores, Scunthorpe is listed first.

Worthing

Worthing results for the last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv Sutton0-3L
Tue 27 Octv Southend3-3D
Sat 24 Octat Kidderminster2-1W
Sat 10 Octv Solihull5-0W
Sat 3 Octat Gateshead2-1W
Tue 29 Sepat Yeovil1-1D

For the scores, Worthing is listed first.

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