Tamworth vs Eastleigh prediction
Our assessment
Across their last 6, Tamworth recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. Eastleigh's last 6 brought 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 11.
This season, 80% of Tamworth games saw both teams score and 80% went over 2.5 goals, while Eastleigh's figures are 69% and 44%.
Our records include 4 meetings since August 2024. Tamworth took 2 wins, Eastleigh took 1 and 1 was level. Most recently, the result on Saturday 18 April 2026 was Eastleigh 1-1 Tamworth.
From 1.89 expected goals for Tamworth and 1.31 expected goals for Eastleigh, the model rates a Tamworth win highest at 50% (a draw at 24% and Eastleigh 26%).
Our score prediction is Tamworth 2-1 Eastleigh. One exact score, 1-1, is most likely at 10.7%. Within our favored result, 2-1 has the highest chance.
Stats for Tamworth v Eastleigh
| Per game | Tamworth |  Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.67 | 1.19 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.1 / 5.1 | 3.8 / 5.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.88 | 0.62 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 38% |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 3.8 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.1 | 1.9 |
| Per game | Tamworth | Eastleigh |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 4.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Tamworth win | 50% | evens |
| Draw | 24% | 16/5 | |
| Eastleigh win | 26% | 29/10 | |
| Double chance | Tamworth or draw | 74% | 4/11 |
| Eastleigh or draw | 50% | evens | |
| Draw no bet | Tamworth | 66% | 1/2 |
| Eastleigh | 34% | 2/1 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 8/13 |
| No | 37% | 17/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 84% | 1/5 |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 8/13 | |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Tamworth and yes | 28% | 13/5 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Eastleigh and yes | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Result and goals | Tamworth and over 2.5 | 36% | 7/4 |
| Eastleigh and over 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Tamworth and under 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Eastleigh and under 2.5 | 8% | 11/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Tamworth / Tamworth | 32% | 21/10 |
| Draw / Tamworth | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Eastleigh / Eastleigh | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49% | 21/20 |
| Over 10.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 9/5 |
A fair price comes from dividing 1 by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Tamworth 4-2-3-1
- Macaulay, Jonathan.GK
- Handley, Tom.DEF
- Carson, Hayden.DEF
- Kurtaran, Teo.MID
- Rye, Joe.DEF
- Parkes, Tom.DEF
- Carter, Ramell.MID
- Kelly, Gabriel.MID
- Donnelly, Kieren.FWD
- Roberts, Morgan.MID
- McGlinchey, Thomas.MID
They began the match Sat 31 Oct v Woking.
Eastleigh 4-2-3-1
- Townsend, Nick.GK
- Bakare, Ibrahim.DEF
- Johnson, Reece.DEF
- Cousins, Jordan.MID
- Eweka, Temitope.DEF
- Dobson-Ventura, Tommy.DEF
- Rankine, Dion.MID
- Williams, Jonny.MID
- Blair, Aaron.FWD
- Hawkins, Oliver.MID
- Dickov, Max.MID
Started the match at Barrow on Sat 31 Oct
Score probabilities
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 10.7 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.3 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 6.0 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Games: Tamworth, 15. Games: Eastleigh, 16.
Corners and card counts
- Corners expected: 9.7 (league 10.0; Tamworth 5.2, Eastleigh 4.4).
- There should be 3.9 yellow cards (league 3.8).
Form guide
Tamworth
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Woking | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Scunthorpe | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Hartlepool | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 30 Sep | v Sutton | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Aldershot | 1-5 | L |
Tamworth's score comes first.
Eastleigh
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Barrow | 1-1 | D |
| Wed 28 Oct | at Forest Green | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Boston Utd | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Hornchurch | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Woking | 1-3 | L |
| Wed 30 Sep | v Southend | 1-1 | D |
Eastleigh's score comes first.
Head to head
| Sat 18 Apr 2026 | National League | Eastleigh 1-1 Tamworth | 1-1 | — |
| Sat 6 Sep 2025 | National League | Tamworth 1-0 Eastleigh | 0-0 | — |
| Sat 29 Mar 2025 | National League | Tamworth 2-0 Eastleigh | 0-0 | — |
| Sat 7 Sep 2024 | National League | Eastleigh 1-0 Tamworth | 1-0 | — |