Sutton United vs Solihull Moors prediction
Our breakdown
Sutton Utd's last 6 games brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 7 scored and 8 conceded. Of their last 6 matches, Solihull won 3, lost 3 and drew 0, with 10 scored and 14 against.
For Sutton Utd this season, both teams scored in 38% of matches and 44% finished above 2.5 goals. Solihull's figures were 69% and 75%.
Since August 2024 the pair have met 4 times in our results. Sutton Utd took 1 win, Solihull took 1, and 2 were draws. Sunday 21 December 2025 was the last time they met, and the result was Solihull 4-1 Sutton.
Our model finds a Sutton Utd win most likely at 46%, with the draw 25% and Solihull 29%. It starts from 1.73 expected goals for Sutton Utd, and Solihull sit on 1.32.
We predict Sutton United 2-1 Solihull Moors. At 11.5%, a 1-1 draw is the single likeliest exact score. Inside the result we lean to, 2-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Sutton Utd v Solihull
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.4 / 4.2 | 3.4 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.31 | 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 6% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 4.0 | 4.4 / 5.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.38 | 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 3.9 | 4.1 / 5.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| Per game | ||
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 2.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Sutton Utd win | 46% | 6/5 |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Solihull win | 29% | 5/2 | |
| Double chance | Sutton Utd or draw | 71% | 2/5 |
| Solihull or draw | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Draw no bet | Sutton Utd | 62% | 8/13 |
| Solihull | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61% | 8/13 |
| No | 39% | 13/8 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 81% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 8/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 11/8 | |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 7/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Sutton Utd and yes | 25% | 3/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Solihull and yes | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Result and goals | Sutton Utd and over 2.5 | 32% | 9/4 |
| Solihull and over 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Sutton Utd and under 2.5 | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Solihull and under 2.5 | 10% | 9/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Sutton Utd / Sutton Utd | 29% | 5/2 |
| Solihull / Solihull | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Sutton Utd | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 42% | 11/8 |
| Over 10.5 | 31% | 9/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 55% | 4/5 |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 13/8 |
Our fair price works out as 1 divided by our chance. This match's UK bookmaker prices aren't in our feed yet. They usually appear on football-data.co.uk two or three days before kick-off.
Line-ups we predict
Sutton Utd 4-4-2
- Brits, Spike.GK
- Urpens, Daniel.DEF
- Brooks, Ben.DEF
- Osaoabe, Emma.MID
- Kirk, Alex.DEF
- Topalloj, Besart.DEF
- Knight, Joe.MID
- Taylor, Jake.MID
- Babalola, Temi.FWD
- Njoku, Brandon.FWD
- Carter, Charlie.MID
Those who started the Sat 31 Oct match at Worthing.
Solihull 3-4-1-2
- Johnson, Sam.GK
- Rutherford, Oscar.MID
- Johnson, Marvin.MID
- Whitmore, Alex.DEF
- French, Tyler.DEF
- Mills, Jevon.DEF
- Woods, Ryan.MID
- Andrews, Jamie.MID
- Wakeling, Jacob.MID
- Wodskou, Ben.FWD
- Kachunga, Elias.FWD
They started against Kid'minster on Sat 31 Oct.
For the other clubs, ESPN lists the eleven who started their most recent match. Once ESPN's confirmed teams are named, they replace these line-ups about an hour before kick-off.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 11.5 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.1 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
Games covered: Sutton Utd, 16. Solihull, 16 games. This season's goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- 9.1corners expected (league 10.0; Sutton Utd 4.8 and Solihull 4.2)
- Yellow cards expected: 4.1 (league 3.8).
Latest form
Sutton United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Worthing | 3-0 | W |
| Wed 28 Oct | v Aldershot | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Harrogate | 1-3 | L |
| Fri 9 Oct | v Boreham Wood | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Kidderminster | 1-1 | D |
| Wed 30 Sep | at Tamworth | 0-2 | L |
In the scores, Sutton Utd comes first.
Solihull Moors
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Kidderminster | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Wealdstone | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Carlisle | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Worthing | 0-5 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Halifax | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Woking | 4-2 | W |
Scores show Solihull first.
Head to head
| Sun 21 Dec 2025 | National League | Solihull 4-1 Sutton | 0-0 | |
| Sat 16 Aug 2025 | National League | Sutton 0-0 Solihull | 0-0 | |
| Tue 4 Mar 2025 | National League | Solihull 1-1 Sutton | 1-1 | |
| Tue 26 Nov 2024 | National League | Sutton 1-0 Solihull | 1-0 |