Sutton United vs Boston United prediction
The analysis we provide
Sutton Utd's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 7 scored and 8 conceded. Boston Utd's last 6 show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 15 conceded.
Of Sutton Utd's matches this season, 38% saw both teams score and 44% went beyond 2.5 goals. Boston Utd's numbers are 69% and 62%.
Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024: 0 wins for Sutton Utd, 3 for Boston Utd and 1 draw. The most recent of those, played on Saturday 7 February 2026, ended Boston Utd 1-0 Sutton.
Using expected goals of Sutton Utd 1.49 and Boston Utd 1.29, the model rates a Sutton Utd win as likeliest at 41%. The draw is 27% and Boston Utd 32%.
Our prediction: Sutton United 2-1 Boston United. At 12.6%, 1-1 stands as the most likely single exact score. Of the result we lean toward, 2-1 has the best chance.
Sutton Utd v Boston Utd match stats
| Per game |  Sutton Utd | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.4 / 4.2 | 5.6 / 4.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Sutton Utd | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 16 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 4.0 | 5.9 / 6.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Sutton Utd | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.38 | 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 3.9 | 4.7 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Per game | Sutton Utd | Boston Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.75 | 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.5 | 2.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Sutton Utd win | 41% | 7/5 |
| Draw | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Boston Utd win | 32% | 21/10 | |
| Double chance | Sutton Utd or draw | 68% | 1/2 |
| Boston Utd or draw | 59% | 8/11 | |
| Draw no bet | Sutton Utd | 56% | 4/5 |
| Boston Utd | 44% | 13/10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 8/11 |
| No | 43% | 13/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77% | 3/10 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 23/10 | |
| Result and BTTS | Sutton Utd and yes | 21% | 4/1 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Boston Utd and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Result and goals | Sutton Utd and over 2.5 | 26% | 29/10 |
| Boston Utd and over 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Sutton Utd and under 2.5 | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Boston Utd and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Sutton Utd / Sutton Utd | 25% | 3/1 |
| Boston Utd / Boston Utd | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Draw / Sutton Utd | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 56% | 4/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 45% | 5/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 60% | 4/6 |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 13/10 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Sutton Utd 4-4-2
- Brits, Spike.GK
- Urpens, Daniel.DEF
- Brooks, Ben.DEF
- Osaoabe, Emma.MID
- Kirk, Alex.DEF
- Topalloj, Besart.DEF
- Knight, Joe.MID
- Taylor, Jake.MID
- Babalola, Temi.FWD
- Njoku, Brandon.FWD
- Carter, Charlie.MID
Sat 31 Oct: started at Worthing.
The Boston Utd 4-3-2-1 shape.
- Chadwick, Louis.GK
- Sachdev, Sai.DEF
- Gent, Georgie.DEF
- Agyemang, Terrell.MID
- Canavan, Niall.DEF
- Grimes, Jamie.DEF
- Holmes, Jack.MID
- Rooney, Jake.MID
- Cursons, Tom.FWD
- Aboh, Kenneth.FWD
- Wheeldon, Lennon.FWD
Sat 31 Oct: started v Scunthorpe.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 12.6 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.4 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
16 games for Sutton Utd, and Boston Utd, 16 games as well.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.3 overall, with Sutton Utd 5.3 and Boston Utd 5.0; the league figure is 10.0.
- Yellow cards expected: 4.4 (league 3.8).
Form from recent matches
Sutton United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Worthing | 3-0 | W |
| Wed 28 Oct | v Aldershot | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Harrogate | 1-3 | L |
| Fri 9 Oct | v Boreham Wood | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Kidderminster | 1-1 | D |
| Wed 30 Sep | at Tamworth | 0-2 | L |
Sutton Utd is listed first in the scores.
Boston United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Scunthorpe | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Gateshead | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Eastleigh | 2-4 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Southend | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Yeovil | 0-6 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Halifax | 1-1 | D |
Boston Utd is listed first in the scores.
Head to head
| Sat 7 Feb 2026 | National League | Boston Utd 1-0 Sutton | 0-0 | — |
| Sat 27 Sep 2025 | National League | Sutton 1-1 Boston Utd | 0-1 | — |
| Sat 29 Mar 2025 | National League | Boston Utd 2-1 Sutton | 1-1 | — |
| Sat 7 Sep 2024 | National League | Sutton 0-3 Boston Utd | 0-1 | — |