Solihull Moors vs Kidderminster Harriers prediction
The average of prices offered by 6 UK bookmakers, with the margin removed, gives draw 27%, Solihull 37% and Kid'minster 37%.
The model's view of the match
Solihull's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. They scored 8, with 16 goals conceded Kid'minster's last 6 matches brought 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. They scored 3, with 7 goals conceded
This season, both teams scored in 67% of Solihull matches, while 73% of matches had more than 2.5 goals. For Kid'minster, the two rates are 47% and 33%.
Based on expected goals of Solihull 1.19 and Kid'minster 1.22, the model gives a Kid'minster win the highest chance at 36%, with Solihull 35% and the draw 29%. After removing their margin, UK bookmakers put it at 37%, near our figure
We predict Solihull Moors 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers as the score At 13.8%, 1-1 is the single most likely exact score. Within the result we lean to, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Solihull v Kid'minster
| Per game |  Solihull | Kid'minster |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 5.8 | 3.2 / 6.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.6 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Solihull | Kid'minster |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 15 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.13 | 1.07 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 0.93 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.5 / 5.6 | 3.9 / 5.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 3.1 |
| Per game | Solihull | Kid'minster |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.62 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.12 | 1.14 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 43% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.9 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 7.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 3.0 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Solihull win | 35% | 15/8 | 6/4 bet365 | -12.9% |
| Draw | 29% | 5/2 | 5/2 bet365 | +1.9% | |
| Kid'minster win | 36% | 7/4 | 6/4 bet365 | -9.9% | |
| Double chance | Solihull or draw | 64% | 4/7 | ||
| Kid'minster or draw | 65% | 8/15 | |||
| Draw no bet | Solihull | 49% | 21/20 | ||
| Kid'minster | 51% | evens | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | evens | ||
| No | 50% | evens | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 70% | 4/9 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 5/4 | 8/11 bet365 | -26.2% | |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 4/5 | 11/10 bet365 | +18.9% | |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 7/2 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Solihull and yes | 15% | 11/2 | ||
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Kid'minster and yes | 15% | 11/2 | |||
| Result and goals | Solihull and over 2.5 | 19% | 9/2 | ||
| Kid'minster and over 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Solihull and under 2.5 | 16% | 5/1 | |||
| Kid'minster and under 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Kid'minster / Kid'minster | 21% | 4/1 | ||
| Solihull / Solihull | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 18% | 9/2 | |||
| Draw / Kid'minster | 14% | 13/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 49% | 21/20 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 66% | 1/2 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 50% | evens |
Divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price We get bookmaker prices through football-data.co.uk. It carries only match odds and over/under 2.5 markets. Our edge column marks every case where we have both numbers.
The starting lineups
Solihull 3-4-1-2
- Johnson, Sam.GK
- Rutherford, Oscar.MID
- Johnson, Marvin.MID
- Whitmore, Alex.DEF
- French, Tyler.DEF
- Mills, Jevon.DEF
- Woods, Ryan.MID
- Andrews, Jamie.MID
- Wakeling, Jacob.MID
- Wodskou, Ben.FWD
- Kachunga, Elias.FWD
Kid'minster 4-4-2
- Wint, Jack.GK
- Crompton, Ben.DEF
- Faakye, Richard.DEF
- Davis, David.MID
- MacDonald, Angus.DEF
- Harries, Cian.DEF
- Brogan, Max.MID
- Hargreaves, Cameron.MID
- Walker, Lewis.FWD
- Stewart, Callum.FWD
- Kouhyar, Maziar.MID
ESPN gives us the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 10.1 | 6.7 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 13.8 | 7.9 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 7.8 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When each team scores
Solihull, 16 games and Kid'minster, 16 games. The goals scored by minute come from ESPN match events this season.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 9.7 (Solihull 4.9 and Kid'minster 4.7, league 9.9).
- Yellow cards expected 4.8 (league 3.8, referee adjusted).
Form in recent matches
Solihull Moors
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Wealdstone | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Carlisle | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Worthing | 0-5 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Halifax | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Woking | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Boreham Wood | 0-3 | L |
Read Solihull's score first.
Kidderminster Harriers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Altrincham | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Worthing | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Carlisle | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Sutton | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Boreham Wood | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Yeovil | 0-1 | L |
Read Kid'minster's score first.