Preston North End vs Sheffield United prediction
With the margin removed, the market has Preston 27%, the draw 26% and Sheff Utd 47%, an average of 6 UK bookmakers.
The model's way of seeing it
Preston rank 24th in the Championship, earning 5 points from 14 games. Sheff Utd sit 9th on 22 points from 14, a lead of 17 points.
Across their last 6 games, Preston recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 14. Sheff Utd's last 6 matches brought 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 9 goals scored and 6 allowed.
This season, both teams scored in 62% of Preston matches, and 62% of games had more than 2.5 goals. Sheff Utd's figures are 54% and 54%. For expected goals, Preston produce 1.16 per match and concede 1.54; Sheff Utd produce 1.26 and concede 1.40.
Our results include 4 meetings since August 2024: Preston took 2 wins, Sheff Utd took 2 and 0 matches were level. Their most recent meeting, Saturday 25 April 2026, ended Sheffield United 2-3 Preston.
The model rates a Sheff Utd win as the most likely outcome at 45%, against Preston 29% and the draw 26%. It is built on expected goals of 1.23 (Preston) and 1.57 (Sheff Utd). Once the margin is removed, UK bookmakers put it at 47%, so the market sees more chance than we do.
We predict Preston North End 1-2 Sheffield United. One exact score stands alone as the likeliest: 1-1 at 12.4%. Inside the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Preston v Sheff Utd
| Per game |  Preston |  Sheff Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.4 / 7.2 | 5.4 / 4.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 0.78 / 1.85 | 1.67 / 1.22 |
| Per game | Preston | Sheff Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.08 | 1.15 |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 38% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.9 / 6.1 | 3.8 / 6.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| xG for / against | 1.16 / 1.54 | 1.26 / 1.40 |
| Per game | Preston | Sheff Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 33% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.5 / 5.5 | 3.3 / 7.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.30 / 1.39 | 1.26 / 1.24 |
| Per game | Preston | Sheff Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.2 / 7.0 | 7.0 / 3.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 0.5 |
Fair prices and the best UK odds
| Match result | Preston win | 29% | 5/2 | 3/1 bet365 | +16.5% |
| Draw | 26% | 11/4 | 11/4 Sky Bet | -1.5% | |
| Sheff Utd win | 45% | 5/4 | 5/4 Betway | +2.6% | |
| Double chance | Preston or draw | 55% | 4/5 | ||
| Sheff Utd or draw | 71% | 2/5 | |||
| Draw no bet | Preston | 40% | 6/4 | ||
| Sheff Utd | 60% | 4/6 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 8/11 | ||
| No | 43% | 11/8 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78% | 2/7 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | 4/5 bet365 | -4.5% | |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | evens bet365 | -6.1% | |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 9/4 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Preston and yes | 15% | 11/2 | ||
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Sheff Utd and yes | 22% | 7/2 | |||
| Result and goals | Preston and over 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | ||
| Sheff Utd and over 2.5 | 28% | 5/2 | |||
| Preston and under 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |||
| Sheff Utd and under 2.5 | 16% | 5/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Sheff Utd / Sheff Utd | 27% | 11/4 | ||
| Preston / Preston | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Draw / Sheff Utd | 15% | 11/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 6/1 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 60% | 4/6 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 49% | 21/20 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 51% | 10/11 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 15/8 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance. Bookmaker prices come from football-data.co.uk, which lists match odds plus over/under 2.5 only; the edge marks where we have both numbers.
Line-ups for the start
Preston 3-4-1-2
- Iversen, Daniel.GK
- Mills, Stanley.MID
- Vukcevic, Andrija.MID
- Hughes, Andrew.DEF
- Storey, Jordan.DEF
- Offiah, Odeluga.DEF
- Leroy, Leo.MID
- Thompson, Jordan.MID
- Moran, Andy.MID
- Kenny, Johnny.FWD
- Erabi, Jusef.FWD
Sheff Utd 4-4-2
- Cooper, Michael.GK
- Choudhury, Hamza.DEF
- Burrows, Harrison.DEF
- Peck, Sydie.MID
- Tanganga, Japhet.DEF
- McGuinness, Mark.DEF
- Chong, Tahith.MID
- Riedewald, Jairo.MID
- Brereton Díaz, Ben.FWD
- Cannon, Thomas.FWD
- Donovan, Romelle.MID
ESPN provided the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 8.9 | 7.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 6.8 | 12.4 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.6 | 7.2 | 5.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Sheff Utd, 17 games; Preston, 16 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.7 (league 10.5; Preston 5.2, Sheff Utd 5.5).
- 3.9yellow cards expected, adjusted for the referee (league 3.7).
Form in recent matches
Preston North End
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Stoke | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v West Brom | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Wrexham | 1-4 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Birmingham | 0-4 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Millwall | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | at QPR | 2-2 | D |
Preston is listed first in the scores.
Sheffield United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 30 Oct | v Wrexham | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Derby | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Portsmouth | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Lincoln | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Stoke | 1-2 | L |
Sheff Utd is listed first in the scores.
Head to head
| Sat 25 Apr 2026 | Championship | Sheffield United 2-3 Preston | 0-2 | 15 |
| Fri 24 Oct 2025 | Championship | Preston 3-2 Sheffield United | 1-2 | 6 |
| Sat 8 Mar 2025 | Championship | Sheffield United 1-0 Preston | 0-0 | 11 |
| Fri 9 Aug 2024 | Championship | Preston 0-2 Sheffield United | 0-1 | 9 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham United | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby County | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston North End | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
ESPN provides the standings as of Wednesday 4 November.