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Preston North End vs Norwich City prediction

Preston North End crestPreston
12:30Saturday 28 November
Norwich CityNorwich City crest
1-2predicted score (9%)
60%both teams score
57%over 2.5 goals
1.30-1.68expected goals

Our own analysis

Preston sit 24th in the Championship and have 5 points from 14 games. Norwich City sit 12th with 18 points from 14 games, 13 points ahead.

Preston recorded 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in their last 6, scoring 4 and conceding 15. Over their last 6, Norwich City recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, with 11 scored and 7 against.

So far this season, 64% of Preston games featured both teams scoring, and 64% had more than 2.5 goals. Norwich City's figures are 64% and 79%. Per game, Preston create 1.14 expected goals and allow 1.57, while Norwich City sit at 1.48 created and 1.40 allowed.

Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings: 1 Preston win, 1 Norwich City win and 2 draws. The most recent match finished Norwich 2-0 Preston on Saturday 14 March 2026.

A Norwich City win is the model's likeliest outcome at 46% (Preston 29%, the draw 25%). The figures come from expected goals with Preston on 1.30 and Norwich City on 1.68.

Our forecast: Preston North End 1-2 Norwich City. For an exact score, 1-1 ranks first at 11.7%. Within the result we lean to, 1-2 is likeliest.

Stats for Preston v Norwich City

Per gamePreston North End crestPrestonNorwich City crestNorwich City
Games55
Goals scored a game0.802.00
Goals conceded a game2.801.00
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets0%20%
Corners won / conceded4.2 / 7.05.4 / 2.6
Yellow cards a game2.21.6
xG for / against0.82 / 2.031.32 / 1.19

Fair prices for each market

Match resultPreston win29%12/5
Draw25%3/1
Norwich City win46%6/5
Double chancePreston or draw54%5/6
Norwich City or draw71%2/5
Draw no betPreston39%8/5
Norwich City61%8/13
Both teams to scoreYes60%4/6
No40%6/4
GoalsOver 1.581%1/4
Over 2.557%8/11
Under 2.543%11/8
Over 3.535%15/8
Result and BTTSPreston and yes16%5/1
Draw and yes20%4/1
Norwich City and yes24%16/5
Result and goalsPreston and over 2.519%9/2
Norwich City and over 2.531%9/4
Preston and under 2.510%9/1
Norwich City and under 2.515%11/2
Half time / full timeNorwich City / Norwich City28%13/5
Preston / Preston17%5/1
Draw / Norwich City15%11/2
Draw / Draw13%13/2
CornersOver 9.551%evens
Over 10.540%6/4
CardsOver 3.549%21/20
Over 4.533%21/10

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

The line-ups we predict

Preston North End crestPreston 3-4-1-2

  1. Iversen, Daniel.GK
  2. Mills, Stanley.MID
  3. Vukcevic, Andrija.MID
  4. Hughes, Andrew.DEF
  5. Storey, Jordan.DEF
  6. Offiah, Odeluga.DEF
  7. Leroy, Leo.MID
  8. Thompson, Jordan.MID
  9. Moran, Andy.MID
  10. Kenny, Johnny.FWD
  11. Erabi, Jusef.FWD

Started Tue 3 Nov for the game v Sheff Utd.

Norwich City crestNorwich City 4-2-3-1

  1. Grimshaw, Daniel.GK
  2. Stacey, Jack.DEF
  3. Yongwa, Darlin.DEF
  4. Wright, Jacob.MID
  5. McConville, Ruairi.DEF
  6. Darling, Harry.DEF
  7. Brooks, Andre.MID
  8. Field, Sam.MID
  9. Kvistgaarden, Mathias.FWD
  10. Paris MaghomaMID
  11. Musaba, Anthony.MID

Began the match Tue 3 Nov at Derby.

Chances for each correct score

Chance of each score in %, with Preston goals down the side and Norwich City goals across
012345
05.77.87.14.01.70.6
15.911.79.35.22.20.7
24.37.26.13.41.40.5
31.93.12.61.50.60.2
40.61.00.90.50.20.1
50.20.30.20.10.10.0

When each team scores

481-152616-301531-451346-600861-755376-90

The counts are Preston, 16 games and Norwich City, 17 games.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Preston North End crestPreston North End

Preston in the last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novv Sheffield United2-3L
Sat 31 Octat Stoke0-2L
Sat 24 Octv West Brom1-1D
Sat 17 Octat Wrexham1-4L
Tue 13 Octat Birmingham0-4L
Sat 10 Octv Millwall0-1L

Preston appears first in the score.

Norwich City crestNorwich City

Norwich City in the last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novat Derby4-0W
Sat 31 Octv Watford3-2W
Sat 24 Octat Charlton3-1W
Sat 17 Octv Portsmouth0-1L
Wed 14 Octv Southampton0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Swansea1-2L

Norwich City appears first in the score.

Head to head

Sat 14 Mar 2026ChampionshipNorwich 2-0 Preston2-08
Sat 20 Dec 2025ChampionshipPreston 1-1 Norwich0-07
Tue 11 Feb 2025ChampionshipNorwich 0-1 Preston0-111
Tue 22 Oct 2024ChampionshipPreston 2-2 Norwich2-17

Championship standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
10Portsmouth crestPortsmouth14644+322
11Queens Park Rangers crestQueens Park Rangers14563+521
12Norwich City crestNorwich City14608+318
13Millwall crestMillwall14536-118
14Blackburn Rovers crestBlackburn Rovers14536-218
22Burnley crestBurnley14176-810
23Derby County crestDerby County14149-187
24Preston North End crestPreston North End141211-185

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

Other Championship predictions