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Hibernian vs Dundee United prediction

15:00Saturday 21 November
1-0predicted score (10%)
53%both teams score
53%over 2.5 goals
1.77-1.01expected goals

Analysis from us

In the Scottish Premiership, Hibernian sit 12th on 8 points across 11 games. Dundee Utd are 6th with 16 points from 11 games, 8 ahead.

Hibernian's last 6 gave them 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 4 scored and 8 conceded. Across their last 6, Dundee Utd recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. They scored 11 and conceded 6.

Across the season, 82% of Hibernian games featured goals from both teams, while 64% finished above 2.5 goals. Dundee Utd's figures were 45% and 55%. Expected goals per game: Hibernian 1.54 created, 1.47 allowed; Dundee Utd 1.45 created, 1.42 allowed.

Our results list 8 meetings since August 2024, and Hibernian won 3 of them, Dundee Utd 2, with 3 draws. Dundee United 1-0 Hibernian was the result on Saturday 10 October 2026, the most recent meeting.

Our model rates a Hibernian win the most likely result at 55% (draw 25%, Dundee Utd 21%), using 1.77 expected goals for Hibernian and 1.01 for Dundee Utd.

Our score prediction is Hibernian 1-0 Dundee United. At 11.8%, 1-1 stands as the single most likely exact score. Among scores for the result we favor, 1-0 ranks highest.

Stats: Hibernian v Dundee Utd

Per gameHibernian crestHibernianDundee United crestDundee Utd
Games55
Goals scored a game0.802.00
Goals conceded a game1.401.00
Both teams scored80%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%60%
Clean sheets0%40%
Corners won / conceded4.4 / 5.86.0 / 6.4
Yellow cards a game2.02.4
xG for / against1.22 / 1.221.32 / 1.28

Fair prices for each market

Match resultHibernian win55%5/6
Draw25%3/1
Dundee Utd win21%4/1
Double chanceHibernian or draw79%1/4
Dundee Utd or draw45%6/5
Draw no betHibernian72%4/11
Dundee Utd28%13/5
Both teams to scoreYes53%10/11
No47%11/10
GoalsOver 1.577%3/10
Over 2.553%10/11
Under 2.547%11/10
Over 3.530%23/10
Result and BTTSHibernian and yes25%3/1
Draw and yes18%9/2
Dundee Utd and yes11%17/2
Result and goalsHibernian and over 2.535%15/8
Dundee Utd and over 2.512%15/2
Hibernian and under 2.520%4/1
Dundee Utd and under 2.59%10/1
Half time / full timeHibernian / Hibernian35%15/8
Draw / Hibernian17%5/1
Draw / Draw14%6/1
Dundee Utd / Dundee Utd12%15/2
CornersOver 9.566%8/15
Over 10.555%4/5
CardsOver 3.552%10/11
Over 4.536%9/5

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Line-ups we predict

Hibernian crestHibernian 4-2-3-1

  1. Sallinger, Raphael.GK
  2. Passlack, Felix.DEF
  3. Major, Adam.DEF
  4. Newell, Joe.MID
  5. Kerr, Jason.DEF
  6. Ivezic, Marko.DEF
  7. McGrath, Jamie.MID
  8. Chaiwa, Miguel.MID
  9. Elding, Owen.FWD
  10. Mulligan, Josh.MID
  11. Cadden, Nicky.MID

Wed 28 Oct: started at St Mirren.

Dundee United crestDundee Utd 4-2-3-1

  1. Walton, Jack.GK
  2. Rawlins, Joshua.DEF
  3. Ciubotaru, Kevin.DEF
  4. Iqbal, Zidane.MID
  5. Esselink, Bert.DEF
  6. Forbes, Michael.DEF
  7. Randall, Jesse.MID
  8. Tait, Dylan.MID
  9. Sapsford, Zachary.FWD
  10. Cameron, Lyall.MID
  11. Farrugia, Neil.MID

They started Wed 28 Oct at Celtic.

Chances for correct scores

Each score's chance in %, with Hibernian goals down the side and Dundee Utd goals across
012345
06.95.63.21.10.30.1
110.311.85.61.90.50.1
29.79.84.91.70.40.1
35.75.82.91.00.20.0
42.52.61.30.40.10.0
50.90.90.50.20.00.0

Scoring times

241-152216-301631-452046-602161-752376-90

For Hibernian, 11 games; for Dundee Utd, 11 games.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Hibernian crestHibernian

Hibernian's last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octat St Mirren1-1D
Sun 25 Octv Celtic1-2L
Sat 17 Octv Falkirk1-2L
Sat 10 Octat Dundee United0-1L
Sat 19 Sepv Aberdeen1-1D
Tue 15 Sepv Kilmarnock0-1L

Hibernian's score is listed first.

Dundee United crestDundee United

Dundee Utd's last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octat Celtic2-2D
Sat 24 Octv Aberdeen3-2W
Sat 17 Octat St Johnstone1-1D
Sat 10 Octv Hibernian1-0W
Sat 19 Sepat St Mirren3-0W
Sat 5 Sepv Falkirk1-1D

Dundee Utd's score is listed first.

Head to head

Sat 10 Oct 2026Scottish PremDundee United 1-0 Hibernian1-011
Wed 4 Feb 2026Scottish PremHibernian 3-2 Dundee United1-010
Sat 20 Dec 2025Scottish PremDundee United 1-1 Hibernian1-112
Sat 13 Sep 2025Scottish PremHibernian 3-3 Dundee United1-210
Sat 3 May 2025Scottish PremHibernian 3-1 Dundee United2-012
Wed 26 Feb 2025Scottish PremDundee United 1-3 Hibernian1-111
Sun 3 Nov 2024Scottish PremHibernian 1-1 Dundee United1-015
Sat 19 Oct 2024Scottish PremDundee United 3-2 Hibernian1-110

Scottish Premiership standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Falkirk crestFalkirk12534+318
5Dundee crestDundee11524+417
6Dundee United crestDundee United11443+016
7St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone12354-414
8St Mirren crestSt Mirren12426-814
9Motherwell crestMotherwell12336-612
10Aberdeen crestAberdeen11326-211
11Kilmarnock crestKilmarnock12237-159
12Hibernian crestHibernian11227-68

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

Other Scottish Premiership predictions