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Celtic vs St Mirren prediction

Celtic crestCeltic
15:00Saturday 21 November
St MirrenSt Mirren crest
2-0predicted score (13%)
46%both teams score
65%over 2.5 goals
2.67-0.68expected goals

Our breakdown

With 28 points from 12 games, Celtic sit 1st in the Scottish Premiership. St Mirren sit 8th with 14 points from 12 games, 14 points behind.

Across their last 6, Celtic recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, with 13 scored and 7 conceded. In their last 6, St Mirren took 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 14.

In Celtic games this season, both teams scored 50% of the time and 58% went over 2.5 goals. St Mirren's rates were 42% and 50%. Celtic generate 2.69 expected goals per match and concede 0.95; St Mirren generate 1.26 and concede 1.82.

Since August 2024, our results show 8 meetings: 7 Celtic wins, 0 for St Mirren and 1 draw. In their most recent meeting on Saturday 5 September 2026, the result was St Mirren 1-2 Celtic.

The model puts a Celtic win first at 79%, ahead of the draw at 14% and St Mirren 7%. It uses 2.67 expected goals for Celtic and 0.68 for St Mirren.

Our prediction is Celtic 2-0 St Mirren.

Stats for Celtic v St Mirren

Per gameCeltic crestCelticSt Mirren crestSt Mirren
Games55
Goals scored a game2.600.80
Goals conceded a game1.202.20
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets20%0%
Corners won / conceded9.6 / 2.43.2 / 4.8
Yellow cards a game2.63.8
xG for / against2.59 / 1.041.00 / 2.17

Fair prices for each market

Match resultCeltic win79%1/4
Draw14%6/1
St Mirren win7%14/1
Double chanceCeltic or draw93%1/14
St Mirren or draw21%18/5
Draw no betCeltic92%1/12
St Mirren8%12/1
Both teams to scoreYes46%6/5
No54%5/6
GoalsOver 1.585%2/11
Over 2.565%8/15
Under 2.535%15/8
Over 3.543%13/10
Result and BTTSCeltic and yes32%21/10
Draw and yes10%17/2
St Mirren and yes4%25/1
Result and goalsCeltic and over 2.558%8/11
St Mirren and over 2.54%25/1
Celtic and under 2.521%18/5
St Mirren and under 2.53%33/1
Half time / full timeCeltic / Celtic57%8/11
Draw / Celtic20%4/1
Draw / Draw8%12/1
St Mirren / St Mirren4%25/1
CornersOver 9.566%8/15
Over 10.555%4/5
CardsOver 3.557%8/11
Over 4.540%6/4

To find the fair price, divide 1 by our chance.

Line-up predictions

Celtic crestCeltic 4-2-3-1

  1. Johnstone, Sam.GK
  2. Donovan, Colby.DEF
  3. Tierney, Kieran.DEF
  4. McGregor, Callum.MID
  5. Carter-Vickers, Cameron.DEF
  6. Scales, Liam.DEF
  7. Hassan, Haissem.MID
  8. Oxlade-Chamberlain, Alex.MID
  9. Durán, Camilo.FWD
  10. Baur, Mika.MID
  11. Osmand, Callum.MID

Sun 1 Nov, they started at Falkirk.

St Mirren crestSt Mirren 3-4-2-1 formation.

  1. Chapman, Jacob.GK
  2. Ramsay, Calvin.MID
  3. Thomas, Luke.MID
  4. Fieldson, Henry.DEF
  5. Gogic, Alexander.DEF
  6. Fraser, Marcus.DEF
  7. Carr, Ryan.MID
  8. Fraser TaylorMID
  9. Sule, Eseosa.FWD
  10. Phillips, Killian.FWD
  11. Nsio, Paul.FWD

They started Sat 31 Oct at Motherwell.

Chances for the correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Celtic goals down the side and St Mirren goals across
012345
03.92.00.80.20.00.0
19.06.72.20.50.10.0
212.58.52.90.70.10.0
311.17.62.60.60.10.0
47.45.11.70.40.10.0
54.02.70.90.20.00.0

Scoring times

721-152216-306331-458246-603161-751276-90

St Mirren, 12 games; Celtic, 12 games.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Celtic crestCeltic

Celtic, last 6
Result
Sun 1 Novat Falkirk0-2L
Wed 28 Octv Dundee United2-2D
Sun 25 Octat Hibernian2-1W
Sun 18 Octv Hearts7-1W
Sun 11 Octat Motherwell2-0W
Sun 20 Sepv Rangers0-1L

In the scores, Celtic comes first.

St Mirren crestSt Mirren

St Mirren, 6 most recent
Result
Sat 31 Octat Motherwell0-1L
Wed 28 Octv Hibernian1-1D
Sat 24 Octv Dundee2-1W
Sat 17 Octat Aberdeen1-3L
Sat 10 Octat Hearts0-5L
Sat 19 Sepv Dundee United0-3L

Read the scores with St Mirren first.

Head to head

Sat 5 Sep 2026Scottish PremSt Mirren 1-2 Celtic1-016
Sat 11 Apr 2026Scottish PremCeltic 1-0 St Mirren1-010
Sat 22 Nov 2025Scottish PremSt Mirren 0-1 Celtic0-06
Sun 3 Aug 2025Scottish PremCeltic 1-0 St Mirren0-013
Sat 17 May 2025Scottish PremCeltic 1-1 St Mirren0-014
Sat 1 Mar 2025Scottish PremSt Mirren 2-5 Celtic1-26
Sun 5 Jan 2025Scottish PremCeltic 3-0 St Mirren2-011
Sun 25 Aug 2024Scottish PremSt Mirren 0-3 Celtic0-212

Scottish Premiership league table

PosClubPWDLGDPts
1Celtic crestCeltic12912+1728
2Rangers crestRangers11731+1024
3Heart of Midlothian crestHeart of Midlothian11623+720
4Falkirk crestFalkirk12534+318
5Dundee crestDundee11524+417
6Dundee United crestDundee United11443+016
7St Johnstone crestSt Johnstone12354-414
8St Mirren crestSt Mirren12426-814
9Motherwell crestMotherwell12336-612
10Aberdeen crestAberdeen11326-211

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

Other Scottish Premiership predictions