Charlton Athletic vs Lincoln City prediction
The analysis we did
With 14 points from 14 games, Charlton sit 21st in the Championship. Sitting 19th on 15 from 14, Lincoln City are 1 point ahead.
Charlton's last 6 show 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats, with 4 scored and 12 conceded. In their last 6, Lincoln City have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
In 50% of Charlton's games this season, both teams scored, and 50% went over 2.5 goals. Lincoln City's figures are 50% and 57%. Expected goals per game put Charlton at 0.93 created and 1.51 allowed, and Lincoln City at 1.30 created and 1.44 allowed.
Since August 2024, our results list 2 meetings: Charlton have 0 wins, Lincoln City have 0 wins and 2 were draws. The most recent meeting, Saturday 5 April 2025, ended with Charlton 2-2 Lincoln.
Using expected goals, the model rates a Lincoln City win at 39% (Charlton 33%, the draw 28%). It has Charlton on 1.23 and Lincoln City on 1.36.
The predicted score is Charlton Athletic 0-1 Lincoln City. At 13.3%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we lean toward, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Charlton v Lincoln City
| Per game |  Charlton |  Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 5.8 | 3.2 / 7.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.05 / 1.62 | 1.23 / 2.10 |
| Per game | Charlton | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.79 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.57 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.4 / 6.1 | 3.6 / 7.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 0.93 / 1.51 | 1.30 / 1.44 |
| Per game | Charlton | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.71 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.86 | 1.14 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 43% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.1 / 5.7 | 3.4 / 9.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| xG for / against | 0.91 / 1.06 | 0.90 / 1.34 |
| Per game | Charlton | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.5 / 6.0 | 6.0 / 4.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Charlton win | 33% | 2/1 |
| Draw | 28% | 13/5 | |
| Lincoln City win | 39% | 6/4 | |
| Double chance | Charlton or draw | 61% | 4/6 |
| Lincoln City or draw | 67% | 1/2 | |
| Draw no bet | Charlton | 45% | 6/5 |
| Lincoln City | 55% | 5/6 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 10/11 |
| No | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74% | 4/11 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 14/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Charlton and yes | 16% | 11/2 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Lincoln City and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Result and goals | Charlton and over 2.5 | 19% | 9/2 |
| Lincoln City and over 2.5 | 23% | 17/5 | |
| Charlton and under 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Lincoln City and under 2.5 | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Lincoln City / Lincoln City | 23% | 10/3 |
| Charlton / Charlton | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Lincoln City | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61% | 8/13 |
| Over 10.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 35% | 9/5 |
A fair price is 1 divided by our chance.
The line-ups we predict
Charlton 4-2-3-1
- Mannion, William.GK
- McNamara, Dan.DEF
- Bell, Amari'i.DEF
- Coventry, Conor.MID
- Jones, Lloyd.DEF
- Koumetio, Billy.DEF
- Knibbs, Harvey.MID
- Chalobah, Nathaniel.MID
- Kelman, Charlie.FWD
- Grant, Karlan.MID
- Campbell, Tyreece.MID
They started against Bolton on Tue 3 Nov.
Lincoln City 3-4-2-1
- Wickens, George.GK
- Oyegoke, Daniel.MID
- Elder, Callum.MID
- Coubis, Andrei.DEF
- Bradley, Sonny.DEF
- Elerewe, Ayodeji.DEF
- Konak, Yunus.MID
- Bayliss, Tom.MID
- Draper, Freddie.FWD
- Ogbene, Chiedozie.FWD
- House, Ben.FWD
They started Tue 3 Nov at Watford.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 13.3 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.6 | 7.7 | 5.2 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When each side scores
For Charlton, 16 games; for Lincoln City, 17 games.
Cards and corners
- Expected corners are 10.8, with Charlton 5.3 and Lincoln City 5.5; the league figure is 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.9 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Charlton Athletic
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Bolton | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Middlesbrough | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Norwich | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Watford | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Burnley | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Bristol City | 1-1 | D |
Read the scores with Charlton first.
Lincoln City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Watford | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Birmingham | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Burnley | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Millwall | 2-2 | D |
| Wed 14 Oct | v West Ham | 0-6 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-3 | L |
Read the scores with Lincoln City first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 5 Apr 2025 | League One | Charlton 2-2 Lincoln | 0-1 | 10 |
| Sat 7 Dec 2024 | League One | Lincoln 0-0 Charlton | 0-0 | 11 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby County | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November