Boston United vs Scunthorpe United prediction
With margin removed, prices from 6 UK bookmakers average Boston Utd 38%, draw 25% and Scunthorpe 38%
What the model found
Boston Utd's last 6 brought 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 6 goals scored and 15 conceded Across their last 6, Scunthorpe recorded 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses, scoring 7 and conceding 14.
This season, Boston Utd saw both teams score in 67% of games, and 60% had more than 2.5 goals. Scunthorpe's figures are 57% and 57%
Our results list 2 meetings since August 2024, with Boston Utd winning 1, Scunthorpe winning 0 and 1 ending level Their most recent meeting, Saturday 14 February 2026, ended Scunthorpe 3-6 Boston Utd
Based on expected goals, the model rates a Boston Utd win most likely at 42%, with the draw at 25% and Scunthorpe 34%. Boston Utd's expected goals are 1.69, and Scunthorpe's are 1.49. UK bookmakers put it at 38% once their margin is removed, and our own rating is higher than that market figure.
We predict Boston United 2-1 Scunthorpe United At 11.1%, 1-1 stands as the most likely single exact score. For the result we lean toward, 2-1 ranks highest
Stats: Boston Utd v Scunthorpe
| Per game | Boston Utd |  Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 4.6 | 5.2 / 3.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Boston Utd | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.87 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 13% | 7% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.1 / 6.4 | 5.1 / 5.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Per game | Boston Utd | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 12% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.4 / 6.2 | 4.5 / 5.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| Per game | Boston Utd | Scunthorpe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Boston Utd win | 42% | 11/8 | 6/4 bet365 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | 11/4 Betfred | -7.5% | |
| Scunthorpe win | 34% | 2/1 | 6/4 bet365 | -17.7% | |
| Double chance | Boston Utd or draw | 66% | 1/2 | ||
| Scunthorpe or draw | 58% | 8/11 | |||
| Draw no bet | Boston Utd | 55% | 4/5 | ||
| Scunthorpe | 45% | 5/4 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 4/7 | ||
| No | 36% | 7/4 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 83% | 1/5 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 8/13 | 1/2 bet365 | -8.9% | |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 | 13/8 bet365 | -0.1% | |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 6/4 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Boston Utd and yes | 24% | 3/1 | ||
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Scunthorpe and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Result and goals | Boston Utd and over 2.5 | 29% | 5/2 | ||
| Scunthorpe and over 2.5 | 23% | 10/3 | |||
| Boston Utd and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |||
| Scunthorpe and under 2.5 | 10% | 9/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Boston Utd / Boston Utd | 26% | 3/1 | ||
| Scunthorpe / Scunthorpe | 20% | 4/1 | |||
| Draw / Boston Utd | 14% | 6/1 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 7/1 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 67% | 1/2 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 56% | 4/5 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 50% | evens | ||
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 2/1 |
Our chance, divided into 1, gives the fair price We take bookmaker prices from football-data.co.uk. It lists match odds, plus over/under 2.5 only, and edge appears where we have both numbers.
Opening line-ups
Formation listed as Boston Utd 4-3-2-1.
- Chadwick, Louis.GK
- Sachdev, Sai.DEF
- Gent, Georgie.DEF
- Agyemang, Terrell.MID
- Canavan, Niall.DEF
- Grimes, Jamie.DEF
- Holmes, Jack.MID
- Rooney, Jake.MID
- Cursons, Tom.FWD
- Aboh, Kenneth.FWD
- Wheeldon, Lennon.FWD
Scunthorpe 4-1-4-1
- Campbell, Maison.GK
- Starbuck, Joseph.DEF
- Denton, Tyler.DEF
- Batty, Dan.MID
- Belehouan, Jean.DEF
- Evans, Will.DEF
- Jones, Patrick.MID
- Richards, Jordan.MID
- Norwood, James.FWD
- Beestin, Alfie.MID
- Brennan, Luke.MID
ESPN supplies the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 11.1 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.9 | 8.8 | 6.6 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 5.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
When the teams score
Boston Utd, 16 games , and Scunthorpe, 15 games. This season's ESPN match events give the goals scored by minute.
Cards and corners
- With Boston Utd 5.6 and Scunthorpe 5.7, the league figure is 10.0, and 11.4 corners are expected.
- The league figure is 3.8, and after the referee adjustment 3.8 yellow cards are expected.
Form guide
Boston United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | v Gateshead | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Eastleigh | 2-4 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Southend | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Yeovil | 0-6 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Halifax | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Fylde | 0-1 | L |
Scores are listed with Boston Utd first.
Scunthorpe United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Tamworth | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Woking | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Fylde | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Barrow | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Hartlepool | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Hornchurch | 0-1 | L |
Scunthorpe is listed first in the scores.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Feb 2026 | National League | Scunthorpe 3-6 Boston Utd | 2-4 | |
| Sat 18 Oct 2025 | National League | Boston Utd 1-1 Scunthorpe | 0-0 |