Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic prediction
Analysis from us
14th place in the Championship belongs to Blackburn, who have 18 points from 14 games. Charlton sit 21st with 14 points from 14 games, 4 points behind.
Blackburn's last 6 saw 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded. From their last 6, Charlton recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. They scored 4 and conceded 12.
Blackburn games this season saw both teams score in 71% of cases, and 79% went beyond 2.5 goals. Charlton's corresponding rates were 50% and 50%. Each Blackburn game brings an expected 1.04 created goals and 1.79 conceded. For Charlton, those figures are 0.93 and 1.51.
There have been 2 meetings in our results since August 2024. Blackburn recorded 0 wins, Charlton 1 and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting came on Sunday 4 January 2026 and finished Blackburn 2-2 Charlton.
The model gives Blackburn the highest win chance at 44%, with a draw at 29% and Charlton 27%. Its expected goals are 1.32 for Blackburn and 0.97 for Charlton.
Our predicted score is Blackburn Rovers 1-0 Charlton Athletic. With a 13.7% chance, 1-1 is the most likely exact score. For the result we lean toward, 1-0 is the most likely score.
Stats: Blackburn v Charlton
| Per game |  Blackburn |  Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 6.6 | 4.2 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| xG for / against | 0.94 / 2.34 | 1.05 / 1.62 |
| Per game | Blackburn | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.43 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 21% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 5.6 | 4.4 / 6.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.04 / 1.79 | 0.93 / 1.51 |
| Per game | Blackburn | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.71 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.29 | 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 5.4 | 3.6 / 6.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.9 | 2.7 |
| xG for / against | 1.47 / 1.28 | 0.95 / 1.96 |
| Per game | Blackburn | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Corners won / conceded | 2.5 / 4.0 | 4.0 / 2.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 4.0 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Blackburn win | 44% | 13/10 |
| Draw | 29% | 12/5 | |
| Charlton win | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Double chance | Blackburn or draw | 73% | 4/11 |
| Charlton or draw | 56% | 4/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Blackburn | 62% | 8/13 |
| Charlton | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 6/5 |
| No | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 67% | 1/2 |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 4/6 | |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Result and BTTS | Blackburn and yes | 17% | 5/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Charlton and yes | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Result and goals | Blackburn and over 2.5 | 22% | 7/2 |
| Charlton and over 2.5 | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Blackburn and under 2.5 | 21% | 18/5 | |
| Charlton and under 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Blackburn / Blackburn | 26% | 14/5 |
| Draw / Draw | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Blackburn | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Charlton / Charlton | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 63% | 4/7 |
| Over 10.5 | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 9/5 |
To find the fair price, divide 1 by our chance.
Predicted team line-ups
Blackburn 4-2-3-1
- Toth, Balazs.GK
- Alebiousu, Ryan.DEF
- Pickering, Harry.DEF
- Montgomery, Kristi.MID
- Carter, Hayden.DEF
- McLoughlin, Sean.DEF
- Fevrier, Jayden.MID
- Morsy, Sam.MID
- Gudjohnsen, Andri.FWD
- Cantwell, Todd.MID
- Afolayan, Oladapo.MID
Started against Stoke on Tue 3 Nov.
Charlton 4-2-3-1
- Mannion, William.GK
- McNamara, Dan.DEF
- Bell, Amari'i.DEF
- Coventry, Conor.MID
- Jones, Lloyd.DEF
- Koumetio, Billy.DEF
- Knibbs, Harvey.MID
- Chalobah, Nathaniel.MID
- Kelman, Charlie.FWD
- Grant, Karlan.MID
- Campbell, Tyreece.MID
They started Tue 3 Nov v Bolton.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.0 | 9.1 | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
The counts show Blackburn, 16 games and Charlton, 16 games.
Cards and corners
- Expected corners: 11.0 total, with Blackburn 6.2 and Charlton 4.8; the league has 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.9 (league 3.7).
Form lately
Blackburn Rovers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Stoke | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Swansea | 0-4 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wrexham | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at West Brom | 2-3 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Cardiff | 2-1 | W |
Read the score with Blackburn first.
Charlton Athletic
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Bolton | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Middlesbrough | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Norwich | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Watford | 0-2 | L |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Burnley | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Bristol City | 1-1 | D |
Read the score with Charlton first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 4 Jan 2026 | Championship | Blackburn 2-2 Charlton | 1-2 | 7 |
| Sat 27 Sep 2025 | Championship | Charlton 3-0 Blackburn | 1-0 | 6 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Norwich City | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby County | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November