Wrexham vs Portsmouth prediction
Our assessment
In the Championship, Wrexham sit 16th, with 17 points from 14 matches. Portsmouth sit 10th with 22 points from 14 games, 5 points ahead.
Wrexham's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 7 allowed. Over their last 6 matches, Portsmouth recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded.
In Wrexham matches this season, both teams scored in 57%, while 43% finished over 2.5 goals. Portsmouth's figures were 57% and 50%. Wrexham's expected goals per game are 1.14 created and 1.19 allowed. Portsmouth's figures are 1.24 created and 1.27 allowed.
There have been 2 meetings in our results since August 2024. Wrexham took 1 win, Portsmouth took 0 and 1 finished level. Tuesday 24 February 2026 saw Wrexham 2-1 Portsmouth in their most recent meeting.
At 45%, a Wrexham win is the likeliest result in the model. A draw is 27%, and Portsmouth 28%. Expected goals are 1.48 for Wrexham, with Portsmouth on 1.11.
The predicted score is Wrexham 1-0 Portsmouth. At 13.1%, 1-1 stands alone as the most likely exact score. Within the result we lean to, 1-0 ranks highest.
Wrexham v Portsmouth match stats
| Per game |  Wrexham |  Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.6 / 5.0 | 3.0 / 4.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.14 / 1.07 | 0.85 / 1.23 |
| Per game | Wrexham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.21 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.9 / 4.3 | 5.6 / 4.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.14 / 1.19 | 1.24 / 1.27 |
| Per game | Wrexham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.71 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 43% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.7 / 3.9 | 3.9 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.24 / 1.23 | 0.90 / 1.16 |
| Per game | Wrexham | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 12.5 | 12.5 / 3.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Wrexham win | 45% | 5/4 |
| Draw | 27% | 13/5 | |
| Portsmouth win | 28% | 13/5 | |
| Double chance | Wrexham or draw | 72% | 2/5 |
| Portsmouth or draw | 55% | 4/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Wrexham | 62% | 8/13 |
| Portsmouth | 38% | 8/5 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53% | 10/11 |
| No | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 74% | 4/11 |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 14/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Wrexham and yes | 20% | 4/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Portsmouth and yes | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Result and goals | Wrexham and over 2.5 | 26% | 14/5 |
| Portsmouth and over 2.5 | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Wrexham and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Portsmouth and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Wrexham / Wrexham | 27% | 11/4 |
| Portsmouth / Portsmouth | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Wrexham | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 51% | evens |
| Over 10.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 43% | 11/8 |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 11/4 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance
Projected starting XIs
Wrexham 3-5-1-1
- Patterson, Anthony.GK
- Kaboré, Issa.MID
- Ekomie, Jacques.MID
- Doyle, Callum.DEF
- Worrall, Joe.DEF
- Cleworth, Max.DEF
- Dobson, George.MID
- Thomason, George.MID
- Moore, Kieffer.FWD
- O'Brien, Lewis.FWD
- Whiteman, Benjamin.MID
Start: Wed 4 Nov v Boro.
Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
- Schmid, Nicolas.GK
- Devlin, Terry.DEF
- Meghoma, Jayden.DEF
- Mohamed, Iyad.MID
- Poole, Regan.DEF
- Dia, Madiodio.DEF
- Segecic, Adrian.MID
- Adams, Ebrima.MID
- Milovanovic, Marko.FWD
- Bailey, Odin.MID
- Shade, Tyrese.MID
Started against Swansea on Tue 3 Nov.
Correct score probabilities
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 13.1 | 6.9 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Wrexham, 15 games and Portsmouth, 15 games.
Corner and card figures
- The league rate is 10.4, with Wrexham 5.2 and Portsmouth 4.7, and 9.8 corners expected overall.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.4 (league 3.7).
Form from recent matches
Wrexham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | v Middlesbrough | 2-0 | W |
| Fri 30 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Blackburn | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Preston | 4-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v West Brom | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Derby | 1-1 | D |
Read the scores with Wrexham first.
Portsmouth
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Swansea | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Burnley | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Millwall | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Wolves | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Norwich | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | v Sheffield United | 3-2 | W |
Read the scores with Portsmouth first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 24 Feb 2026 | Championship | Wrexham 2-1 Portsmouth | 2-0 | 18 |
| Wed 5 Nov 2025 | Championship | Portsmouth 0-0 Wrexham | 0-0 | 13 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 |  West Ham United | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich City | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November