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Worthing vs Harrogate Town prediction

Worthing
15:00Saturday 21 November
HarrogateHarrogate Town crest
2-1predicted score (9%)
67%both teams score
66%over 2.5 goals
1.79-1.62expected goals

The analysis we provide

Over Worthing's last 6 games, they won 3, drew 2 and lost 1, with 13 goals scored and 9 conceded. In their last 6, Harrogate recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 scored and 6 conceded.

So far this season, both teams scored in 75% of Worthing games, while 81% finished above 2.5 goals; Harrogate's figures are 69% and 81% of games.

Using expected goals of 1.79 for Worthing, plus 1.62 for Harrogate, the model rates a Worthing win most likely at 42% (the draw 24%, Harrogate 35%).

We predict Harrogate Town 1-2 Worthing. One exact score leads the way, 1-1 at 10.2%. Within the result we lean to, 2-1 is the most likely score.

Stats for Worthing v Harrogate

Per gameWorthingHarrogate Town crestHarrogate
Games55
Goals scored a game2.401.80
Goals conceded a game1.601.20
Both teams scored60%40%
Over 2.5 goals100%80%
Clean sheets20%40%
Corners won / conceded4.0 / 7.06.6 / 5.0
Yellow cards a game1.02.2

Market fair prices

Match resultWorthing win42%7/5
Draw24%16/5
Harrogate win35%15/8
Double chanceWorthing or draw65%8/15
Harrogate or draw58%8/11
Draw no betWorthing55%5/6
Harrogate45%6/5
Both teams to scoreYes67%1/2
No33%21/10
GoalsOver 1.586%1/6
Over 2.566%1/2
Under 2.534%2/1
Over 3.544%5/4
Result and BTTSWorthing and yes26%29/10
Draw and yes20%4/1
Harrogate and yes22%18/5
Result and goalsWorthing and over 2.531%9/4
Harrogate and over 2.526%29/10
Worthing and under 2.511%17/2
Harrogate and under 2.59%10/1
Half time / full timeWorthing / Worthing26%29/10
Harrogate / Harrogate21%18/5
Draw / Worthing13%13/2
Draw / Draw12%15/2
CornersOver 9.561%4/6
Over 10.550%evens
CardsOver 3.550%evens
Over 4.534%2/1

Divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price.

Line-up predictions

Worthing 4-2-3-1

  1. Taylor SeymourGK
  2. Colbran, Joel.DEF
  3. Adjetey-Brew, Cory.DEF
  4. Aguiar, Ricky.MID
  5. Cook, Joe.DEF
  6. Moore, Jayden.DEF
  7. De Graft, Razzaq.MID
  8. Wadham, Jack.MID
  9. Kendall, Charley.FWD
  10. Young, Jordan.MID
  11. Johnson-Fisher, Dominic.MID

They started against Sutton Utd on Sat 31 Oct.

Harrogate Town crestHarrogate 3-5-2

  1. Hutchinson, Luke.GK
  2. Payne, Lewis.MID
  3. Craig, Michael.MID
  4. Chaplin, Archie.DEF
  5. Dreyer, Sam.DEF
  6. Cass, Lewis.DEF
  7. Williams, Morgan.MID
  8. Taylor, Ellis.MID
  9. Hmami, Josh.FWD
  10. Dolaghan, Brad.FWD
  11. Bristow, Ethan.MID

They started at Forest Green on Sat 31 Oct.

Chances for each exact score

Each score's chance in %, with Worthing goals down the side and Harrogate goals across
012345
03.94.84.42.30.90.3
15.410.27.84.21.70.5
25.38.66.93.71.50.5
33.25.14.12.20.90.3
41.42.31.81.00.40.1
50.50.80.70.40.10.0

When each team scores

331-155316-306831-454846-607361-757976-90

Worthing, 16 games Harrogate, 16 games too.

Cards and corners

Form guide

Worthing

Worthing, last 6 games
Result
Sat 31 Octv Sutton0-3L
Tue 27 Octv Southend3-3D
Sat 24 Octat Kidderminster2-1W
Sat 10 Octv Solihull5-0W
Sat 3 Octat Gateshead2-1W
Tue 29 Sepat Yeovil1-1D

Worthing is listed first in the scores.

Harrogate Town crestHarrogate Town

Harrogate last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octat Forest Green2-2D
Wed 28 Octat Carlisle0-3L
Sat 24 Octv Sutton3-1W
Sat 10 Octat Woking1-0W
Sat 3 Octv Hornchurch3-0W
Tue 29 Sepat Hartlepool1-0W

Harrogate is listed first in the scores.

Further National League predictions