West Ham United vs West Bromwich Albion prediction
Margins removed, the market sits at West Ham 58%, draw 23% and West Brom 19%, based on an average of 6 UK bookmakers' figures
The model's view
In the Championship, West Ham are 8th with 22 points from 13 games Sitting 5th on 25 points from 14 games, West Brom hold a 3 point lead.
Over their last 6 matches, West Ham took 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, scoring 14 and conceding 9. West Brom's last 6 matches gave 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 7 scored and 7 against.
So far this season, 67% of West Ham games saw both teams score, and 75% finished with more than 2.5 goals. West Brom's figures are 67% and 42%. Expected goals per game: West Ham produce 2.12 and allow 1.20, while West Brom produce 1.40 and allow 1.47.
Our model sees a West Ham win as the likeliest result at 62%, with the draw at 21% and West Brom 17%. It uses 2.15 expected goals for West Ham against 1.04 for West Brom. With their margin removed, UK bookmakers put it at 58%, so our rating sits higher than the market view
West Ham United 2-1 West Bromwich Albion is our predicted score
West Ham v West Brom figures
| Per game |  West Ham |  West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 8.0 / 3.8 | 7.6 / 6.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.86 / 1.37 | 1.71 / 1.50 |
| Per game | West Ham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.67 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 42% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.8 / 4.5 | 5.8 / 5.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| xG for / against | 2.12 / 1.20 | 1.40 / 1.47 |
| Per game | West Ham | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.83 | 1.17 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.33 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.3 / 5.0 | 5.7 / 7.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 2.46 / 0.81 | 1.16 / 1.80 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | West Ham win | 62% | 8/13 | 8/13 Betway | +0.1% |
| Draw | 21% | 4/1 | 10/3 bet365 | -11.6% | |
| West Brom win | 17% | 5/1 | 4/1 BetVictor | -16.1% | |
| Double chance | West Ham or draw | 83% | 1/5 | ||
| West Brom or draw | 38% | 13/8 | |||
| Draw no bet | West Ham | 79% | 2/7 | ||
| West Brom | 21% | 7/2 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 8/11 | ||
| No | 42% | 11/8 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 83% | 1/5 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 8/13 | 4/6 bet365 | +3.2% | |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 | 6/5 bet365 | -15.9% | |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |||
| Result and BTTS | West Ham and yes | 31% | 9/4 | ||
| Draw and yes | 16% | 5/1 | |||
| West Brom and yes | 10% | 9/1 | |||
| Result and goals | West Ham and over 2.5 | 44% | 5/4 | ||
| West Brom and over 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |||
| West Ham and under 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 | |||
| West Brom and under 2.5 | 6% | 16/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | West Ham / West Ham | 41% | 6/4 | ||
| Draw / West Ham | 19% | 9/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 11% | 8/1 | |||
| West Brom / West Brom | 10% | 10/1 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 58% | 8/11 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 52% | 10/11 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 36% | 7/4 |
We divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price Bookmaker prices come from football-data.co.uk, which lists match odds plus over/under 2.5 only. The edge marks the places where we have both figures.
The starting elevens
Formation: West Ham 4-4-2
- Hermansen, Mads.GK
- Walker-Peters, Kyle.DEF
- MoratoDEF
- Mukasa, Divine.MID
- Golambeckis, Airidas.DEF
- Kilman, Max.DEF
- Bowen, Jarrod.MID
- Engels, Arne.MID
- Kanté, Mohamadou.FWD
- PabloFWD
- Austbø, Edvin.MID
West Brom 4-4-2
- O'Leary, Max.GK
- Pereira, Brayann.DEF
- Styles, Callum.DEF
- Molumby, Jayson.MID
- Mepham, Chris.DEF
- Campbell, George.DEF
- Nzingoula, Rabby.MID
- Diakite, Ousmane.MID
- Horn Myhre, Felix.FWD
- Morgan, Jimmy.FWD
- Price, Isaac.MID
We read the starting elevens from ESPN on Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.7 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Games counted: West Ham, 17 games in all, and West Brom, 16 games. This season's ESPN match events give the goals scored by minute.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 10.5 overall, with West Ham 5.8 and West Brom 4.7, while the league sits at 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected 3.9 (league 3.7, referee adjusted).
Latest form
West Ham United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | v Southampton | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Swansea | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Lincoln | 6-0 | W |
| Fri 9 Oct | v QPR | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Millwall | 2-2 | D |
| Tue 15 Sep | v Fulham | 2-3 | L |
West Ham is listed first in the scores.
West Bromwich Albion
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | at Preston | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Blackburn | 3-2 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Wrexham | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Birmingham | 0-1 | L |
| Sun 20 Sep | at Wolves | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 12 Sep | v QPR | 1-1 | D |
West Brom is listed first in the scores.
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Swansea City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham United | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.