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West Bromwich Albion vs Bristol City prediction

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Brom
15:00Saturday 28 November
Bristol CityBristol City crest
1-0predicted score (11%)
51%both teams score
47%over 2.5 goals
1.47-1.07expected goals

Our breakdown

West Brom hold 6th spot in the Championship, picking up 25 points from 14 games. Bristol City hold 15th place on 18 points from 14 matches, trailing by 7 points.

Across their last 6 matches, West Brom took 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 10 scored and 7 conceded. Over their last 6, Bristol City recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 7.

West Brom had both teams score in 71% of matches this season, and 43% of its matches finished with over 2.5 goals. The corresponding Bristol City rates were 57% and 50%. In expected goals terms, West Brom produce 1.52 per game and give up 1.43; Bristol City produce 1.40 and give up 1.40.

Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024: 2 wins for West Brom, 2 for Bristol City and 0 draws. The most recent meeting, Saturday 21 March 2026, ended Bristol City 0-1 West Brom.

The model bases its forecast on 1.47 expected goals for West Brom and 1.07 for Bristol City. On that basis, a West Brom win is likeliest at 46%, while the draw is 28% and Bristol City 27%.

Score prediction: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Bristol City. Of all exact scores, 1-1 at 13.1% is the single likeliest; within the result we lean to, 1-0 is the likeliest score.

Stats for West Brom v Bristol City

Per gameWest Bromwich Albion crestWest BromBristol City crestBristol City
Games55
Goals scored a game2.000.80
Goals conceded a game1.201.20
Both teams scored100%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Clean sheets0%20%
Corners won / conceded6.6 / 5.25.0 / 6.2
Yellow cards a game1.61.2
xG for / against2.35 / 1.061.47 / 1.24

Fair prices for each market

Match resultWest Brom win46%6/5
Draw28%13/5
Bristol City win27%11/4
Double chanceWest Brom or draw73%4/11
Bristol City or draw54%5/6
Draw no betWest Brom63%4/7
Bristol City37%17/10
Both teams to scoreYes51%10/11
No49%21/20
GoalsOver 1.573%4/11
Over 2.547%11/10
Under 2.553%10/11
Over 3.525%3/1
Result and BTTSWest Brom and yes20%4/1
Draw and yes19%9/2
Bristol City and yes12%7/1
Result and goalsWest Brom and over 2.526%14/5
Bristol City and over 2.515%6/1
West Brom and under 2.519%4/1
Bristol City and under 2.512%7/1
Half time / full timeWest Brom / West Brom28%13/5
Draw / West Brom16%5/1
Draw / Draw16%5/1
Bristol City / Bristol City15%11/2
CornersOver 9.561%8/13
Over 10.551%evens
CardsOver 3.547%11/10
Over 4.531%11/5

A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.

Line-ups we predict

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Brom 4-4-2

  1. O'Leary, Max.GK
  2. Pereira, Brayann.DEF
  3. Styles, Callum.DEF
  4. Molumby, Jayson.MID
  5. Mepham, Chris.DEF
  6. Campbell, George.DEF
  7. Nzingoula, Rabby.MID
  8. Diakite, Ousmane.MID
  9. Horn Myhre, Felix.FWD
  10. Morgan, Jimmy.FWD
  11. Price, Isaac.MID

Started against Southampton on Tue 3 Nov.

Bristol City crestBristol City 4-2-3-1

  1. Collins, Bradley.GK
  2. Tanner, George.DEF
  3. Pring, Cameron.DEF
  4. Williams, Joe.MID
  5. McNally, Luke.DEF
  6. Eissat, Lisav.DEF
  7. Cardines, Rio.MID
  8. Knight, Jason.MID
  9. Tolaj, Lorent.FWD
  10. Bell, Sam.MID
  11. Twine, Scott.MID

Began against Wolves on Wed 4 Nov.

Chances for the correct score

Each score's chance in %, with West Brom goals listed down the side and Bristol City goals across
012345
08.67.74.51.60.40.1
110.913.16.62.40.60.1
28.69.14.91.70.50.1
34.24.52.40.80.20.0
41.51.60.90.30.10.0
50.50.50.30.10.00.0

Scoring times

121-157116-302431-454146-606161-756776-90

West Brom, 16 games of data; Bristol City, 15 games.

Cards and corners

Form from recent games

West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion

West Brom: last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novv Southampton1-1D
Sat 31 Octat West Ham3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Preston1-1D
Sat 17 Octv Blackburn3-2W
Tue 13 Octat Wrexham2-1W
Sat 10 Octv Birmingham0-1L

Each score puts West Brom on the left.

Bristol City crestBristol City

The past 6 for Bristol City
Result
Wed 4 Novv Wolves1-2L
Sat 31 Octat Bolton3-2W
Sat 24 Octat Stoke0-0D
Sat 17 Octv Sheffield United0-1L
Tue 13 Octv Blackburn0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Charlton1-1D

Read each score with Bristol City first.

Head to head

Sat 21 Mar 2026ChampionshipBristol City 0-1 West Brom0-19
Fri 26 Dec 2025ChampionshipWest Brom 1-2 Bristol City0-213
Tue 8 Apr 2025ChampionshipBristol City 2-1 West Brom0-09
Sun 22 Dec 2024ChampionshipWest Brom 2-0 Bristol City2-07

Championship standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
4Stoke City crestStoke City14824+526
5Swansea City crestSwansea City14824+526
6West Bromwich Albion crestWest Bromwich Albion14743+525
7Southampton crestSouthampton14842+1524
8West Ham United crestWest Ham United14653+1523
13Millwall crestMillwall14536-118
14Blackburn Rovers crestBlackburn Rovers14536-218
15Bristol City crestBristol City14536-318
16Wrexham crestWrexham14455-217
17Bolton Wanderers crestBolton Wanderers14527-717

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

Additional Championship predictions