Wealdstone vs Southend United prediction
Margin removed, the market gives Wealdstone 24%, draw 23% and Southend Utd 53% based on the average of 6 UK bookmakers.
The model's take
Across their last 6, Wealdstone won 2, lost 3 and drew 1, with 9 goals scored and 12 conceded. Of their last 6, Southend Utd won 2, lost 1 and drew 3, with 13 goals scored and 12 against.
So far this season, 60% of Wealdstone games saw both teams score and 60% went over 2.5 goals, while Southend Utd stand at 93% and 80%.
Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings: 1 win for Wealdstone, 2 for Southend Utd and 1 draw. The newest meeting, Saturday 25 April 2026, ended with Southend 2-1 Wealdstone.
The likeliest result in the model is a Southend Utd win at 51%, worked out from expected goals of Wealdstone 1.50 and Southend Utd 2.09. Wealdstone 27% and the draw 22% are the other outcomes. The UK bookmakers' figures, once their margin is removed, stand at 53%, near our number.
Score prediction: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend United. One exact score is likelier than any other: 1-1 at 9.2%. Inside the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Wealdstone v Southend Utd
| Per game |  Wealdstone |  Southend Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.8 / 6.2 | 5.8 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.4 | 1.2 |
| Per game | Wealdstone | Southend Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 15 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.33 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 7% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.5 / 4.5 | 6.0 / 4.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.7 | 1.8 |
| Per game | Wealdstone | Southend Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.29 | 2.62 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.57 | 1.38 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 1.3 | 4.5 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.3 | 1.9 |
| Per game | Wealdstone | Southend Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 2.5 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Wealdstone win | 27% | 11/4 | 11/4 bet365 | +3.5% |
| Draw | 22% | 7/2 | 3/1 bet365 | -11.5% | |
| Southend Utd win | 51% | evens | 8/11 bet365 | -12.4% | |
| Double chance | Wealdstone or draw | 49% | 21/20 | ||
| Southend Utd or draw | 73% | 4/11 | |||
| Draw no bet | Wealdstone | 35% | 15/8 | ||
| Southend Utd | 65% | 8/15 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 4/9 | ||
| No | 31% | 9/4 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 88% | 1/7 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 4/9 | 4/9 bet365 | +0.2% | |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 9/4 | 7/4 bet365 | -17.9% | |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 21/20 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Wealdstone and yes | 18% | 9/2 | ||
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |||
| Southend Utd and yes | 32% | 9/4 | |||
| Result and goals | Wealdstone and over 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | ||
| Southend Utd and over 2.5 | 39% | 6/4 | |||
| Wealdstone and under 2.5 | 7% | 14/1 | |||
| Southend Utd and under 2.5 | 11% | 8/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Southend Utd / Southend Utd | 32% | 2/1 | ||
| Wealdstone / Wealdstone | 16% | 5/1 | |||
| Draw / Southend Utd | 15% | 11/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 11% | 17/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 47% | 11/10 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 36% | 7/4 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 63% | 4/7 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 6/5 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. football-data.co.uk supplies the bookmaker prices and gives match odds plus over/under 2.5 only, while edge marks where both numbers are available.
Line-ups of the starting elevens
Wealdstone 4-4-2
- Astor Baptiste, Dante.GK
- Francis-Clarke, Aidan.DEF
- Kanu, Abraham.DEF
- Kadji, Dylan.MID
- Henry, Aaron.DEF
- Conroy, Dion.DEF
- Chesters, Daniel.MID
- Wells-Morrison, Jack.MID
- Okenabirhie, Fejiri.FWD
- Olomola, Olufela.FWD
- Newton, Joe.MID
Southend Utd 4-3-3
- Duncan, Joseph.GK
- Daley-Campbell, Vontae.DEF
- Mcadam, Kyle.DEF
- Hartigan, Anthony.MID
- Palmer, Ashley.DEF
- Goodliffe, Ben.DEF
- Oldaker, Darren.MID
- Coker, Oliver.MID
- Omochere, Promise.FWD
- Chambers-Parillon, Leon.FWD
- Patrick, Omari.FWD
ESPN supplied the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.3 | 5.2 | 6.0 | 4.2 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 3.6 | 9.2 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Scoring times
16 games for Wealdstone, and Southend Utd, 16 games. This season, the minute by minute scoring figures come from ESPN match events.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 9.5 in total, with Wealdstone 4.3 and Southend Utd 5.2; the league figure is 9.9.
- Yellow cards expected 4.6 (league 3.8, referee adjusted).
Latest form
Wealdstone
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | v Solihull | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Aldershot | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Yeovil | 0-6 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | at Barrow | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | at Forest Green | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Gateshead | 4-0 | W |
Wealdstone is listed first in the scores.
Southend United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Worthing | 3-3 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Halifax | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Boston Utd | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Fylde | 3-1 | W |
| Wed 30 Sep | at Eastleigh | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Barrow | 2-4 | L |
Southend Utd is listed first in the scores.
Head to head
| Sat 25 Apr 2026 | National League | Southend 2-1 Wealdstone | 2-1 | |
| Tue 2 Sep 2025 | National League | Wealdstone 3-2 Southend | 1-1 | |
| Sat 26 Apr 2025 | National League | Southend 3-0 Wealdstone | 1-0 | |
| Tue 24 Sep 2024 | National League | Wealdstone 1-1 Southend | 0-0 |