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Wealdstone vs AFC Hornchurch prediction

Wealdstone crestWealdstone
15:00Saturday 21 November
Hornchurh
2-1predicted score (10%)
60%both teams score
59%over 2.5 goals
1.77-1.28expected goals

How we see the match

Over the past 6 matches, Wealdstone took 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 14. Hornchurh's last 6 matches brought 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 7 scored and 11 conceded.

So far this season, 62% of Wealdstone games saw both teams score and 62% had more than 2.5 goals; for Hornchurh those numbers are 44% and 69%.

At 48%, a Wealdstone win is the likeliest result our model finds, with the draw at 25% and Hornchurh 27%. It expects 1.77 goals from Wealdstone and 1.28 goals from Hornchurh.

Our prediction: Wealdstone 2-1 AFC Hornchurch. On exact scores, 1-1 is the single likeliest at 11.4%; within the result we lean to, 2-1 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Wealdstone v Hornchurh

Per gameWealdstone crestWealdstoneHornchurh
Games55
Goals scored a game1.401.00
Goals conceded a game2.602.00
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals80%80%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded6.4 / 6.26.6 / 6.0
Yellow cards a game3.82.2

Fair prices for each market

Match resultWealdstone win48%21/20
Draw25%3/1
Hornchurh win27%11/4
Double chanceWealdstone or draw73%4/11
Hornchurh or draw52%10/11
Draw no betWealdstone64%4/7
Hornchurh36%9/5
Both teams to scoreYes60%4/6
No40%6/4
GoalsOver 1.581%2/9
Over 2.559%8/11
Under 2.541%7/5
Over 3.536%7/4
Result and BTTSWealdstone and yes26%29/10
Draw and yes19%4/1
Hornchurh and yes15%11/2
Result and goalsWealdstone and over 2.533%2/1
Hornchurh and over 2.518%9/2
Wealdstone and under 2.515%11/2
Hornchurh and under 2.59%10/1
Half time / full timeWealdstone / Wealdstone30%23/10
Draw / Wealdstone16%11/2
Hornchurh / Hornchurh16%11/2
Draw / Draw13%13/2
CornersOver 9.556%4/5
Over 10.545%6/5
CardsOver 3.546%6/5
Over 4.530%23/10

A fair price is 1 divided by our chance.

The line-ups we expect

Wealdstone crestWealdstone 4-4-2

  1. Name: Dante Astor Baptiste.GK
  2. Name: Aidan Francis-Clarke.DEF
  3. Name: Abraham Kanu.DEF
  4. Name: Dylan Kadji.MID
  5. Name: Aaron Henry.DEF
  6. Name: Dion Conroy.DEF
  7. Name: Daniel Chesters.MID
  8. Name: Jack Wells-Morrison.MID
  9. Name: Fejiri Okenabirhie.FWD
  10. Name: Olufela Olomola.FWD
  11. Name: Joe Newton.MID

Starting lineup: Sat 31 Oct v Southend Utd.

Hornchurh 5-3-2

  1. Nasta, Arthur.GK
  2. Weston, Myles.DEF
  3. Pegrum, Charlie.DEF
  4. Greenidge, William.DEF
  5. Dallison-Lisbon, Thomas.DEF
  6. Edwards, Frankie.DEF
  7. Henry SandatMID
  8. Bracking, Miles.MID
  9. Balanta, Ángelo.FWD
  10. Loft, Ryan.FWD
  11. Wraight, Tom.MID

They started Fri 30 Oct at AFC Fylde.

Chances for exact scores

Chance of each score in %, with Wealdstone goals down the side and Hornchurh goals across
012345
05.45.43.91.70.50.1
17.811.46.92.90.90.2
27.49.56.12.60.80.2
34.45.63.61.50.50.1
41.92.51.60.70.20.1
50.70.90.60.20.10.0

When the goals come

201-155516-303231-452346-604461-757476-90

Wealdstone, 16 games Hornchurh, 16 games as well.

Corners plus cards

Form guide

Wealdstone crestWealdstone

Wealdstone's most recent 6 games
Result
Sat 31 Octv Southend3-2W
Tue 27 Octv Solihull2-3L
Sat 24 Octat Aldershot1-0W
Sat 10 Octv Yeovil0-6L
Sat 3 Octat Barrow1-2L
Tue 29 Sepat Forest Green1-1D

In these scores, Wealdstone is listed first.

AFC Hornchurch

Hornchurh's most recent 6 games
Result
Fri 30 Octat Fylde1-3L
Tue 27 Octv Yeovil1-2L
Sat 24 Octat Hartlepool1-2L
Sat 10 Octv Eastleigh2-0W
Sat 3 Octat Harrogate0-3L
Tue 29 Sepv Aldershot2-1W

Read the scores with Hornchurh first.

Other National League predictions