Watford vs Blackburn Rovers prediction

Watford

19:45Wednesday 25 November

Blackburn

Championship
Vicarage Road is the venue.

0-1predicted score (10%)

49%both teams score

42%over 2.5 goals

1.18-1.20expected goals

35%29%36%

Analysis from our team

Watford sit 20th in the Championship, and their 14 points come from 14 games. Blackburn hold 14th place on 18 points from 14 games, 4 points clear.

Watford's last 6 games produced 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 6 goals scored and 13 conceded. In Blackburn's last 6, they won 3, drew 0 and lost 3, while scoring 8 and conceding 10.

This season, 50% of Watford games featured both teams scoring and 43% had more than 2.5 goals. Blackburn's figures are 71% and 79%. Expected goals per game: Watford create 1.01 and allow 1.75, while Blackburn's figures are 1.04 created and 1.79 allowed.

Our results cover 4 meetings since August 2024: 1 Watford win, 2 Blackburn wins and 1 draw. Their last meeting, Saturday 24 January 2026, ended with Blackburn 1-1 Watford.

A Blackburn win tops the model at 36%, ahead of Watford 35% and the draw on 29%. Expected goals stand at 1.18 for Watford and 1.20 for Blackburn.

Prediction: Watford 0-1 Blackburn Rovers. At 13.9%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score. Inside the result we lean to, 0-1 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Watford v Blackburn

Per game	Watford	Blackburn
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.20	1.20
Goals conceded a game	1.80	1.80
Both teams scored	40%	40%
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	40%
Corners won / conceded	3.2 / 7.6	4.8 / 6.6
Yellow cards a game	3.2	2.0
xG for / against	1.22 / 1.74	0.94 / 2.34

Per game	Watford	Blackburn
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	0.93	1.43
Goals conceded a game	1.64	1.57
Both teams scored	50%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	79%
Clean sheets	14%	21%
Corners won / conceded	3.6 / 6.6	5.9 / 5.6
Yellow cards a game	2.8	2.5
xG for / against	1.01 / 1.75	1.04 / 1.79

Per game	Watford	Blackburn
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	1.29	1.14
Goals conceded a game	1.29	1.86
Both teams scored	57%	57%
Over 2.5 goals	57%	71%
Clean sheets	29%	29%
Corners won / conceded	4.4 / 6.0	5.9 / 5.9
Yellow cards a game	2.7	2.1
xG for / against	1.16 / 1.50	0.61 / 2.30

Per game	Watford	Blackburn
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	0.75	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.00	0.75
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	25%	25%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Corners won / conceded	6.2 / 5.2	5.2 / 6.2
Yellow cards a game	3.2	2.8

Fair prices for each market


Match result	Watford win	35%	15/8
	Draw	29%	12/5
	Blackburn win	36%	9/5
Double chance	Watford or draw	64%	4/7
	Blackburn or draw	65%	8/15
Draw no bet	Watford	50%	evens
	Blackburn	50%	evens
Both teams to score	Yes	49%	21/20
	No	51%	evens
Goals	Over 1.5	69%	4/9
	Over 2.5	42%	11/8
	Under 2.5	58%	8/11
	Over 3.5	22%	18/5
Result and BTTS	Watford and yes	15%	6/1
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	Blackburn and yes	15%	11/2
Result and goals	Watford and over 2.5	18%	9/2
	Blackburn and over 2.5	19%	9/2
	Watford and under 2.5	17%	5/1
	Blackburn and under 2.5	17%	5/1
Half time / full time	Blackburn / Blackburn	21%	4/1
	Watford / Watford	20%	4/1
	Draw / Draw	18%	9/2
	Draw / Blackburn	14%	13/2
Corners	Over 9.5	61%	8/13
	Over 10.5	50%	evens
Cards	Over 3.5	62%	8/13
	Over 4.5	45%	5/4

Match result

Watford win

35%

15/8

Draw

29%

12/5

Blackburn win

36%

9/5

Double chance

Watford or draw

64%

4/7

Blackburn or draw

65%

8/15

Draw no bet

Watford

50%

evens

Blackburn

50%

evens

Both teams to score

Yes

49%

21/20

51%

evens

Goals

Over 1.5

69%

4/9

Over 2.5

42%

11/8

Under 2.5

58%

8/11

Over 3.5

22%

18/5

Result and BTTS

Watford and yes

15%

6/1

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

Blackburn and yes

15%

11/2

Result and goals

Watford and over 2.5

18%

9/2

Blackburn and over 2.5

19%

9/2

Watford and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Blackburn and under 2.5

17%

5/1

Half time / full time

Blackburn / Blackburn

21%

4/1

Watford / Watford

20%

4/1

Draw / Draw

18%

9/2

Draw / Blackburn

14%

13/2

Corners

Over 9.5

61%

8/13

Over 10.5

50%

evens

Cards

Over 3.5

62%

8/13

Over 4.5

45%

5/4

We divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price.

Team line-ups we predict

Watford 4-2-3-1

Ravaglia, Federico.GK
Omar-Haktab TraoréDEF
Bola, Marc.DEF
Kyprianou, Hector.MID
Pollock, Matthew.DEF
Keben, Kévin.DEF
Maamma, Othmane.MID
Kayembe, Edo.MID
Boadu, Myron.FWD
Bravo, Iker.MID
Mavididi, Stephy.MID

Started Tue 3 Nov against Lincoln City.

Blackburn 4-2-3-1

Toth, Balazs.GK
Alebiousu, Ryan.DEF
Pickering, Harry.DEF
Montgomery, Kristi.MID
Carter, Hayden.DEF
McLoughlin, Sean.DEF
Fevrier, Jayden.MID
Morsy, Sam.MID
Gudjohnsen, Andri.FWD
Cantwell, Todd.MID
Afolayan, Oladapo.MID

They started Tue 3 Nov v Stoke.

Chances for the correct score

Chance of each score in %, with Watford goals down the side and Blackburn goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10.0	10.3	6.6	2.6	0.8	0.2
1	10.2	13.9	7.8	3.1	0.9	0.2
2	6.5	7.8	4.6	1.9	0.6	0.1
3	2.6	3.1	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.1
4	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
5	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

When each side scores

Watford, 16 games and Blackburn, 16 games.

Corners plus cards

Corners expected: 10.8 (league 10.4; Watford 4.9, Blackburn 5.9).
Yellow cards expected 4.5 (league 3.7).

Form of late

Watford

Watford, last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Lincoln	1-0	W
Sat 31 Oct	at Norwich	2-3	L
Sat 24 Oct	at Wolves	0-1	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Charlton	2-0	W
Tue 13 Oct	at Cardiff	1-5	L
Sat 10 Oct	v Burnley	0-4	L

The score shows Watford first.

Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn, last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Stoke	1-2	L
Sat 31 Oct	at Swansea	0-4	L
Sat 24 Oct	v Wrexham	2-0	W
Sat 17 Oct	at West Brom	2-3	L
Tue 13 Oct	at Bristol City	1-0	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Cardiff	2-1	W

The score shows Blackburn first.

Head to head


Sat 24 Jan 2026	Championship	Blackburn 1-1 Watford	1-1	15
Sat 13 Sep 2025	Championship	Watford 0-1 Blackburn	0-0	12
Sat 26 Apr 2025	Championship	Blackburn 2-1 Watford	0-0	10
Sat 26 Oct 2024	Championship	Watford 1-0 Blackburn	0-0	9

Championship standings

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
12	Norwich City	14	6	0	8	+3	18
13	Millwall	14	5	3	6	-1	18
14	Blackburn Rovers	14	5	3	6	-2	18
15	Bristol City	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Wrexham	14	4	5	5	-2	17
17	Bolton Wanderers	14	5	2	7	-7	17
18	Cardiff City	14	3	6	5	-1	15
19	Lincoln City	14	4	3	7	-10	15
20	Watford	14	4	2	8	-10	14
21	Charlton Athletic	14	3	5	6	-11	14
22	Burnley	14	1	7	6	-8	10