Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

Swansea

15:00Saturday 21 November

West Brom

Championship
Swansea.com Stadium is the venue.
Not live on UK TV (the Saturday blackout)

1-0predicted score (10%)

53%both teams score

48%over 2.5 goals

1.42-1.17expected goals

42%28%30%

Our breakdown

After 14 games, Swansea sit 5th in the Championship on 26 points. West Brom sit 6th with 25 points from 14 games, 1 point behind.

Swansea recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Across their last 6, West Brom recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 7.

Across the season, 43% of Swansea games featured goals from both teams, while 64% had more than 2.5 goals. For West Brom, those figures are 71% and 43%. By expected goals, Swansea create 1.65 each game and give up 1.29, while West Brom record 1.52 and concede 1.43.

Since August 2024, there have been 4 meetings in our results, with 1 Swansea win, 2 West Brom wins and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting, on Thursday 1 January 2026, ended with a Swansea 1-0 West Brom result.

With expected goals at 1.42 for Swansea and West Brom at 1.17, our model gives the Swansea win the highest chance at 42%. The draw stands at 28%, with West Brom 30%.

Our predicted score is Swansea City 1-0 West Bromwich Albion in this fixture. At 13.2%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Within the result we lean to, 1-0 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Swansea v West Brom

Per game	Swansea	West Brom
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.20	2.00
Goals conceded a game	1.80	1.20
Both teams scored	20%	100%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	0%
Corners won / conceded	4.2 / 5.4	6.6 / 5.2
Yellow cards a game	1.0	1.6
xG for / against	1.67 / 1.60	2.35 / 1.06

Per game	Swansea	West Brom
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	1.50	1.43
Goals conceded a game	1.14	1.07
Both teams scored	43%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	64%	43%
Clean sheets	43%	14%
Corners won / conceded	4.1 / 4.5	5.6 / 6.0
Yellow cards a game	1.4	2.0
xG for / against	1.65 / 1.29	1.52 / 1.43

Per game	Swansea	West Brom
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	1.57	1.43
Goals conceded a game	0.43	1.14
Both teams scored	29%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	43%	57%
Clean sheets	57%	14%
Corners won / conceded	4.1 / 2.7	5.7 / 7.3
Yellow cards a game	1.1	2.0
xG for / against	1.84 / 1.01	1.29 / 1.67

Per game	Swansea	West Brom
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.25
Goals conceded a game	1.25	1.00
Both teams scored	50%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	25%	25%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Corners won / conceded	4.2 / 6.0	6.0 / 4.2
Yellow cards a game	1.8	3.5

Market fair prices


Match result	Swansea win	42%	11/8
	Draw	28%	13/5
	West Brom win	30%	23/10
Double chance	Swansea or draw	70%	4/9
	West Brom or draw	58%	8/11
Draw no bet	Swansea	58%	8/11
	West Brom	42%	7/5
Both teams to score	Yes	53%	10/11
	No	47%	11/10
Goals	Over 1.5	74%	4/11
	Over 2.5	48%	11/10
	Under 2.5	52%	10/11
	Over 3.5	26%	14/5
Result and BTTS	Swansea and yes	19%	4/1
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	West Brom and yes	14%	6/1
Result and goals	Swansea and over 2.5	24%	3/1
	West Brom and over 2.5	17%	5/1
	Swansea and under 2.5	18%	9/2
	West Brom and under 2.5	13%	13/2
Half time / full time	Swansea / Swansea	25%	3/1
	West Brom / West Brom	18%	9/2
	Draw / Draw	16%	5/1
	Draw / Swansea	15%	11/2
Corners	Over 9.5	55%	4/5
	Over 10.5	44%	5/4
Cards	Over 3.5	47%	11/10
	Over 4.5	30%	23/10

Match result

Swansea win

42%

11/8

Draw

28%

13/5

West Brom win

30%

23/10

Double chance

Swansea or draw

70%

4/9

West Brom or draw

58%

8/11

Draw no bet

Swansea

58%

8/11

West Brom

42%

7/5

Both teams to score

Yes

53%

10/11

47%

11/10

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

4/11

Over 2.5

48%

11/10

Under 2.5

52%

10/11

Over 3.5

26%

14/5

Result and BTTS

Swansea and yes

19%

4/1

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

West Brom and yes

14%

6/1

Result and goals

Swansea and over 2.5

24%

3/1

West Brom and over 2.5

17%

5/1

Swansea and under 2.5

18%

9/2

West Brom and under 2.5

13%

13/2

Half time / full time

Swansea / Swansea

25%

3/1

West Brom / West Brom

18%

9/2

Draw / Draw

16%

5/1

Draw / Swansea

15%

11/2

Corners

Over 9.5

55%

4/5

Over 10.5

44%

5/4

Cards

Over 3.5

47%

11/10

Over 4.5

30%

23/10

Our chance, divided into 1, gives the fair price.

Line-ups we predict

Swansea 4-3-3

Vigouroux, Lawrence.GK
Lissah, Filip.DEF
Tymon, Josh.DEF
Fulton, Jay.MID
Seelt, Jenson.DEF
Welsh, Stephen.DEF
Franco, Gonçalo.MID
Stamenic, Marko.MID
Idah, Adam.FWD
Opoku, Joseph.FWD
Widell, Melker.FWD

They started the match at Portsmouth on Tue 3 Nov.

West Brom 4-4-2

O'Leary, Max.GK
Pereira, Brayann.DEF
Styles, Callum.DEF
Molumby, Jayson.MID
Mepham, Chris.DEF
Campbell, George.DEF
Nzingoula, Rabby.MID
Diakite, Ousmane.MID
Horn Myhre, Felix.FWD
Morgan, Jimmy.FWD
Price, Isaac.MID

Began the match against Southampton on Tue 3 Nov.

Chances for each correct score

Chance of every score in %, with Swansea goals down the side and West Brom goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8.3	8.1	5.1	2.0	0.6	0.1
1	10.0	13.2	7.3	2.8	0.8	0.2
2	7.6	8.8	5.2	2.0	0.6	0.1
3	3.6	4.2	2.4	0.9	0.3	0.1
4	1.3	1.5	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0
5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

Scoring times

Swansea, 15 games and West Brom, 16 games.

Cards and corners

10.2corners expected (Swansea 5.0, West Brom 5.3; league 10.4)
Yellow cards expected: 3.6 (league 3.7).

Latest form

Swansea City

Swansea in the last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	at Portsmouth	1-3	L
Sat 31 Oct	v Blackburn	4-0	W
Sat 24 Oct	at QPR	0-5	L
Sat 17 Oct	v West Ham	0-1	L
Tue 13 Oct	at Millwall	1-0	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Norwich	2-1	W

The scores list Swansea first.

West Bromwich Albion

West Brom in the last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Southampton	1-1	D
Sat 31 Oct	at West Ham	3-1	W
Sat 24 Oct	at Preston	1-1	D
Sat 17 Oct	v Blackburn	3-2	W
Tue 13 Oct	at Wrexham	2-1	W
Sat 10 Oct	v Birmingham	0-1	L

The scores list West Brom first.

Head to head


Thu 1 Jan 2026	Championship	Swansea 1-0 West Brom	0-0	9
Sat 29 Nov 2025	Championship	West Brom 3-2 Swansea	0-2	8
Sat 4 Jan 2025	Championship	Swansea 1-1 West Brom	0-0	11
Sat 31 Aug 2024	Championship	West Brom 1-0 Swansea	1-0	13