Sheffield United vs Wrexham prediction
Strip out the margin and you get draw 28%, Sheff Utd 40%, Wrexham 33%, from an average of 6 UK bookmakers.
What the model made of it
Sheff Utd sit 9th in the Championship with 22 points and 14 games played. Wrexham sit 19th with 14 points from 13 games, 8 points behind.
Sheff Utd's last 6 games brought 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. Wrexham's last 6 games: 2 wins, 1 draw, 3 defeats, 8 scored and 13 against.
So far this season, 58% of Sheff Utd matches saw both teams score and 58% went past 2.5 goals; Wrexham's numbers are 67% and 50%. In expected goals, Sheff Utd produce 1.26 per game and allow 1.47, while Wrexham produce 1.16 and allow 1.21.
Since August 2024 our results include 2 meetings: Wrexham won 2, Sheff Utd won 0 and 0 ended level. Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham was the outcome of their latest meeting, on Saturday 21 March 2026.
With expected goals at 1.55 for Sheff Utd and 1.20 for Wrexham, the model rates a Sheff Utd win most likely at 45%. The draw is 26% and Wrexham 29%. Strip out the margin and UK bookmakers price it at 40%, so our rating sits above the market's.
We predict Sheffield United 2-1 Wrexham. At 12.6%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; among scores in the result we favour, 2-1 ranks first.
Stats for Sheff Utd v Wrexham
| Per game |  Sheff Utd |  Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.2 / 6.0 | 6.0 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 3.0 | 1.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.51 / 1.20 | 1.13 / 1.17 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 12 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 58% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.6 / 6.8 | 5.5 / 4.2 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.26 / 1.47 | 1.16 / 1.21 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.33 | 0.83 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 33% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 5.8 | 6.0 / 4.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.26 / 1.69 | 1.10 / 1.14 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 3.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.5 / 6.0 | 6.0 / 6.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.0 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Sheff Utd win | 45% | 5/4 | 6/4 Betway | +14.4% |
| Draw | 26% | 11/4 | 5/2 Betway | -7.3% | |
| Wrexham win | 29% | 5/2 | 15/8 BetVictor | -17.0% | |
| Double chance | Sheff Utd or draw | 71% | 2/5 | ||
| Wrexham or draw | 55% | 4/5 | |||
| Draw no bet | Sheff Utd | 61% | 8/13 | ||
| Wrexham | 39% | 13/8 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 4/5 | ||
| No | 44% | 5/4 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77% | 3/10 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | 10/11 bet365 | +1.2% | |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | 10/11 bet365 | -8.6% | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 9/4 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Sheff Utd and yes | 22% | 7/2 | ||
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Wrexham and yes | 15% | 6/1 | |||
| Result and goals | Sheff Utd and over 2.5 | 28% | 5/2 | ||
| Wrexham and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Sheff Utd and under 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Wrexham and under 2.5 | 11% | 15/2 | |||
| Half time / full time | Sheff Utd / Sheff Utd | 27% | 11/4 | ||
| Wrexham / Wrexham | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Draw / Sheff Utd | 16% | 11/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 11/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 55% | 5/6 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 44% | 5/4 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 34% | 2/1 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 4/1 |
Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance. We source bookmaker odds from football-data.co.uk, which lists match odds plus over/under 2.5 only; our edge appears where both numbers exist.
The starting elevens
Sheff Utd 4-4-2
- Cooper, Michael.GK
- Choudhury, Hamza.DEF
- Burrows, Harrison.DEF
- Peck, Sydie.MID
- Tanganga, Japhet.DEF
- Kitching, Liam.DEF
- Chong, Tahith.MID
- Phillips, Kalvin.MID
- Brereton Díaz, Ben.FWD
- Ayew, Jordan.FWD
- Donovan, Romelle.MID
Wrexham 3-4-2-1
- Patterson, Anthony.GK
- Kaboré, Issa.MID
- Ekomie, Jacques.MID
- Doyle, Callum.DEF
- Worrall, Joe.DEF
- Hyam, Dominic.DEF
- James, Matty.MID
- Sheaf, Ben.MID
- Moore, Kieffer.FWD
- Rathbone, Oliver.FWD
- O'Brien, Lewis.FWD
Starting elevens: ESPN, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Chances by correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.6 | 7.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.2 | 5.5 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring by minute
Games covered: Sheff Utd, 17 games and Wrexham, 15 games. This season, ESPN match events supply the goals scored each minute.
Cards and corners
- Expected corners total 10.2The league figure is 10.5, with Sheff Utd 4.8 and Wrexham 5.4
- Yellow cards expected: 2.9 (league 3.7, referee adjusted).
Latest form
Sheffield United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | v Derby | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Portsmouth | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Lincoln | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Stoke | 1-2 | L |
| Wed 16 Sep | at Fleetwood Town | 0-1 | L |
Read the scores with Sheff Utd first.
Wrexham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | at Blackburn | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Preston | 4-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v West Brom | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Derby | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Southampton | 2-1 | W |
| Fri 11 Sep | at West Ham | 0-6 | L |
Here the scores list Wrexham first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 21 Mar 2026 | Championship | Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham | 0-0 | 13 |
| Fri 26 Dec 2025 | Championship | Wrexham 5-3 Sheffield United | 2-3 | 12 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham United | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 17 |  Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.