Sheffield United vs Watford prediction
Analysis from us
With 22 points from 14 games, Sheff Utd hold 9th place in the Championship. With 14 points from 14 games, Watford sit 20th, 8 points behind.
Sheff Utd's last 6 games brought 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, 11 goals for and 6 against. In their last 6, Watford recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 13.
So far this season, 57% of Sheff Utd games saw both teams score and 57% had over 2.5 goals. For Watford, those figures are 50% and 43%. Per game, Sheff Utd create 1.31 expected goals and concede 1.36; the Watford numbers are 1.01 and 1.75.
Since August 2024, the teams have met 4 times in our results, with Sheff Utd winning 4, Watford winning 0 and 0 draws. Their most recent meeting, on Saturday 18 April 2026, ended Watford 0-2 Sheffield United.
The model works from expected goals: Sheff Utd 1.86, Watford 0.95. From those numbers a Sheff Utd win comes out as the likeliest outcome at 58%, with the draw 24% and Watford 18%.
Our predicted score is Sheffield United 1-0 Watford. At 11.3%, 1-1 ranks as the single likeliest exact score. For the result we favor, the likeliest score is 1-0.
Sheff Utd v Watford statistics
| Per game |  Sheff Utd |  Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 4.6 | 3.2 / 7.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.92 / 1.11 | 1.22 / 1.74 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.43 | 0.93 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 6.1 | 3.6 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 2.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.31 / 1.36 | 1.01 / 1.75 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.29 | 0.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.3 / 5.0 | 2.9 / 7.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 2.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.26 / 1.54 | 0.86 / 2.01 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Watford |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.25 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 75% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 5.0 | 5.0 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Sheff Utd win | 58% | 8/11 |
| Draw | 24% | 16/5 | |
| Watford win | 18% | 9/2 | |
| Double chance | Sheff Utd or draw | 82% | 2/9 |
| Watford or draw | 42% | 7/5 | |
| Draw no bet | Sheff Utd | 76% | 3/10 |
| Watford | 24% | 16/5 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 10/11 |
| No | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78% | 2/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 11/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Sheff Utd and yes | 26% | 14/5 |
| Draw and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Watford and yes | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Result and goals | Sheff Utd and over 2.5 | 37% | 17/10 |
| Watford and over 2.5 | 10% | 17/2 | |
| Sheff Utd and under 2.5 | 21% | 18/5 | |
| Watford and under 2.5 | 8% | 12/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Sheff Utd / Sheff Utd | 37% | 17/10 |
| Draw / Sheff Utd | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Watford / Watford | 10% | 9/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 58% | 8/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 63% | 4/7 |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 6/5 |
Our fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
Our expected line-ups
Sheff Utd 4-4-2
- Cooper, Michael.GK
- Choudhury, Hamza.DEF
- Burrows, Harrison.DEF
- Peck, Sydie.MID
- Tanganga, Japhet.DEF
- McGuinness, Mark.DEF
- Chong, Tahith.MID
- Riedewald, Jairo.MID
- Ben Brereton DíazFWD
- Cannon, Thomas.FWD
- Donovan, Romelle.MID
They started Tue 3 Nov at Preston.
Watford 4-2-3-1
- Ravaglia, Federico.GK
- Omar-Haktab TraoréDEF
- Bola, Marc.DEF
- Kyprianou, Hector.MID
- Pollock, Matthew.DEF
- Keben, Kévin.DEF
- Maamma, Othmane.MID
- Kayembe, Edo.MID
- Boadu, Myron.FWD
- Bravo, Iker.MID
- Mavididi, Stephy.MID
They started Tue 3 Nov v Lincoln City.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.6 | 11.3 | 5.0 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.9 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When each team scores
Sheff Utd, 17 games and Watford, 16 games.
Corners and card counts
- Corners expected stand at 10.5Sheff Utd 5.5 and Watford 5.0 compare with a league figure of 10.4
- Yellow cards expected: 4.6 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Sheffield United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Preston | 3-2 | W |
| Fri 30 Oct | v Wrexham | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Derby | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Portsmouth | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Lincoln | 3-0 | W |
Scores are listed with Sheff Utd first.
Watford
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Lincoln | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Norwich | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Wolves | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Charlton | 2-0 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | at Cardiff | 1-5 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Burnley | 0-4 | L |
Scores are listed with Watford first.
Head to head
| Sat 18 Apr 2026 | Championship | Watford 0-2 Sheffield United | 0-0 | 13 |
| Sat 18 Oct 2025 | Championship | Sheffield United 1-0 Watford | 0-0 | 10 |
| Sat 4 Jan 2025 | Championship | Watford 1-2 Sheffield United | 1-1 | 4 |
| Sun 1 Sep 2024 | Championship | Sheffield United 1-0 Watford | 1-0 | 13 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham United | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 |  Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November