Sheffield United vs Southampton prediction
Our assessment
From 14 games, Sheff Utd have 22 points and sit 9th in the Championship. On 24 points from 14 games, Southampton sit 7th, 2 points clear.
Over their last 6 matches, Sheff Utd recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 11 scored and 6 conceded. Their last 6 saw Southampton win 4, draw 2 and lose 0, with 10 scored and 4 allowed.
During the season, 57% of Sheff Utd matches saw both teams score, and 57% went above 2.5 goals; Southampton's rates are 79% and 57%. Sheff Utd's expected goals stand at 1.31 a game, with 1.36 allowed; Southampton sit at 1.70 and allow 1.34.
Our results list 2 meetings since August 2024, with Sheff Utd winning 0, Southampton taking 2 and 0 ending level. Wednesday 21 January 2026 saw Southampton 1-0 Sheffield United in their latest meeting.
With 1.52 expected goals for Sheff Utd and 1.57 for Southampton, the model rates a Southampton win as the most likely outcome, at 38% (Sheff Utd 36%, the draw 25%).
Our predicted score is Sheffield United 1-2 Southampton. At 11.5%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score; within the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Sheff Utd v Southampton
| Per game |  Sheff Utd |  Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 4.6 | 5.6 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| xG for / against | 1.92 / 1.11 | 1.73 / 1.47 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.43 | 2.07 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.21 | 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 21% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 6.1 | 5.4 / 4.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.31 / 1.36 | 1.70 / 1.34 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.3 / 5.0 | 5.1 / 4.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.26 / 1.54 | 1.54 / 1.41 |
| Per game | Sheff Utd | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 50% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.5 / 5.5 | 5.5 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 3.5 |
Fair prices across markets
| Match result | Sheff Utd win | 36% | 7/4 |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Southampton win | 38% | 8/5 | |
| Double chance | Sheff Utd or draw | 62% | 8/13 |
| Southampton or draw | 64% | 4/7 | |
| Draw no bet | Sheff Utd | 49% | 21/20 |
| Southampton | 51% | 10/11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 8/13 |
| No | 37% | 17/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 82% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 4/6 | |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 17/10 | |
| Result and BTTS | Sheff Utd and yes | 21% | 4/1 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Southampton and yes | 22% | 18/5 | |
| Result and goals | Sheff Utd and over 2.5 | 25% | 3/1 |
| Southampton and over 2.5 | 26% | 14/5 | |
| Sheff Utd and under 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Southampton and under 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Southampton / Southampton | 23% | 10/3 |
| Sheff Utd / Sheff Utd | 22% | 18/5 | |
| Draw / Southampton | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 58% | 8/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 58% | 8/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 41% | 6/4 |
To find a fair price, divide 1 by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Sheff Utd 4-4-2
- Cooper, Michael.GK
- Choudhury, Hamza.DEF
- Burrows, Harrison.DEF
- Peck, Sydie.MID
- Tanganga, Japhet.DEF
- McGuinness, Mark.DEF
- Chong, Tahith.MID
- Riedewald, Jairo.MID
- Brereton Díaz, Ben.FWD
- Cannon, Thomas.FWD
- Donovan, Romelle.MID
This lineup started at Preston on Tue 3 Nov.
Southampton 4-2-3-1
- Peretz, Daniel.GK
- Bree, James.DEF
- Manning, Ryan.DEF
- Downes, Flynn.MID
- Stephens, Jack.DEF
- Schlotterbeck, Keven.DEF
- Matsuki, Kuryu.MID
- Ward-Prowse, James.MID
- Mubama, Divin.FWD
- Azaz, Finn.MID
- Edozie, Samuel.MID
They started at West Brom on Tue 3 Nov.
Correct score likelihoods
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 6.5 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 11.5 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 8.3 | 6.5 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Games count: Sheff Utd, 17; Southampton, 16 games.
Cards and corners
- For corners, the forecast is 10.5 (league 10.4; Sheff Utd 4.8, Southampton 5.7).
- Yellow cards expected: 4.2 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Sheffield United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Preston | 3-2 | W |
| Fri 30 Oct | v Wrexham | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Derby | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Bristol City | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Portsmouth | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Lincoln | 3-0 | W |
Scores list Sheff Utd first.
Southampton
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at West Brom | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | v QPR | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at West Ham | 3-2 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Bolton | 0-0 | D |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Norwich | 1-0 | W |
| Sun 11 Oct | v Portsmouth | 1-0 | W |
Scores list Southampton first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 21 Jan 2026 | Championship | Southampton 1-0 Sheffield United | 1-0 | 13 |
| Tue 30 Sep 2025 | Championship | Sheffield United 1-2 Southampton | 1-0 | 9 |
Championship table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Swansea City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 6 |  West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 | Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham United | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November