Portsmouth vs West Ham United prediction
Analysis from us
Portsmouth sit 10th in the Championship, on 22 points from 14 games. In 8th place on 23 points from 14 games, West Ham are 1 points ahead.
In their last 6 matches Portsmouth recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 10 goals scored and 5 conceded. In their last 6 games West Ham picked up 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 14 goals and conceding 10.
So far this season, 57% of Portsmouth matches saw both teams find the net and 50% finished with over 2.5 goals; West Ham's figures are 71% and 79%. Expected goals put Portsmouth at 1.24 created per game with 1.27 conceded, while West Ham create 2.07 and concede 1.26.
The likeliest result the model finds is a West Ham win at 54%, with Portsmouth 23% and the draw 23%, based on expected goals: Portsmouth 1.18, West Ham 1.92.
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1-2 West Ham United. One exact score stands out as likeliest: 1-1 at 10.8%. Within the result we lean to, 1-2 is the likeliest score there.
Stats for Portsmouth v West Ham
| Per game |  Portsmouth |  West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 4.4 | 7.8 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 0.85 / 1.23 | 1.88 / 1.23 |
| Per game | Portsmouth | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.36 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 79% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.6 / 4.8 | 6.9 / 4.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.24 / 1.27 | 2.07 / 1.26 |
| Per game | Portsmouth | West Ham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.86 | 2.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.57 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.3 / 5.0 | 7.1 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.57 / 1.38 | 1.90 / 1.53 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Portsmouth win | 23% | 17/5 |
| Draw | 23% | 10/3 | |
| West Ham win | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Double chance | Portsmouth or draw | 46% | 6/5 |
| West Ham or draw | 77% | 2/7 | |
| Draw no bet | Portsmouth | 30% | 12/5 |
| West Ham | 70% | 2/5 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 4/6 |
| No | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 82% | 2/9 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 4/6 | |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 6/4 | |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 17/10 | |
| Result and BTTS | Portsmouth and yes | 13% | 13/2 |
| Draw and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |
| West Ham and yes | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Result and goals | Portsmouth and over 2.5 | 15% | 6/1 |
| West Ham and over 2.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |
| Portsmouth and under 2.5 | 8% | 12/1 | |
| West Ham and under 2.5 | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Half time / full time | West Ham / West Ham | 34% | 15/8 |
| Draw / West Ham | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Portsmouth / Portsmouth | 13% | 13/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 58% | 8/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 48% | 21/20 |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 21/10 |
We divide 1 by our chance to get a fair price.
The line-ups we predict
Portsmouth 4-2-3-1
- Schmid, Nicolas.GK
- Devlin, Terry.DEF
- Meghoma, Jayden.DEF
- Mohamed, Iyad.MID
- Poole, Regan.DEF
- Dia, Madiodio.DEF
- Segecic, Adrian.MID
- Adams, Ebrima.MID
- Milovanovic, Marko.FWD
- Bailey, Odin.MID
- Shade, Tyrese.MID
Began against Swansea on Tue 3 Nov.
West Ham 4-4-1-1
- Hermansen, Mads.GK
- Veltman, Joël.DEF
- MoratoDEF
- Engels, Arne.MID
- Mavropanos, Konstantinos.DEF
- Kilman, Max.DEF
- Bowen, Jarrod.MID
- Magassa, Soungoutou.MID
- Castellanos, Valentín.FWD
- Mukasa, Divine.FWD
- Solomon, Manor.MID
Began the match at Cardiff on Wed 4 Nov.
Exact score probabilities
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 8.1 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.7 | 10.8 | 9.8 | 6.3 | 3.0 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 3.1 | 6.0 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When the teams score
Portsmouth, 15 games played. West Ham, 17 games played.
Corners plus cards
- 10.5corners are expected overall; Portsmouth 4.6 and West Ham 5.9, with the league on 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.7(league 3.7)
Form guide
Portsmouth
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Swansea | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Burnley | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Millwall | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Wolves | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Norwich | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | v Sheffield United | 3-2 | W |
The scores show Portsmouth first.
West Ham United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Cardiff | 3-3 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | v West Brom | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Southampton | 2-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Swansea | 1-0 | W |
| Wed 14 Oct | at Lincoln | 6-0 | W |
| Fri 9 Oct | v QPR | 1-1 | D |
The scores show West Ham first.
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  West Bromwich Albion | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 8 | West Ham United | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 23 |
| 9 |  Sheffield United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  Queens Park Rangers | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 |  Norwich City | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November