Oxford United vs Wycombe Wanderers prediction
Analysis from us
From 13 games Oxford Utd have 26 points, which puts them 3rd in the League One. Wycombe sit 13th on 18 from 13, which leaves them 8 points behind.
Oxford Utd's last 6 show 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 7 scored and 3 conceded. Wycombe's last 6 brought 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 9.
This season, 62% of Oxford Utd games saw both teams score, while 54% finished with over 2.5 goals; Wycombe's numbers are 77% and 54%. Oxford Utd create 1.44 expected goals per game and allow 1.56, while Wycombe's figures are 1.42 and 1.35.
An Oxford Utd win is the likeliest result in the model at 48% (the draw 26%, Wycombe 25%), on expected goals of 1.59 (Oxford Utd) and 1.09 (Wycombe).
The predicted score is Oxford United 1-0 Wycombe Wanderers. One exact score is the most likely of them all: 1-1 at 12.6%. Inside the outcome we favour, 1-0 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Oxford Utd v Wycombe
| Per game |  Oxford Utd |  Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 7.2 / 5.6 | 6.2 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| xG for / against | 1.80 / 1.39 | 1.46 / 1.29 |
| Per game | Oxford Utd | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.69 | 1.62 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.85 | 1.77 |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 23% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.3 / 6.7 | 5.8 / 5.9 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 1.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.44 / 1.56 | 1.42 / 1.35 |
| Per game | Oxford Utd | Wycombe |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.57 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.57 | 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 57% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.3 / 6.6 | 6.2 / 6.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| xG for / against | 1.37 / 1.34 | 1.35 / 1.19 |
Market fair prices
| Match result | Oxford Utd win | 48% | 21/20 |
| Draw | 26% | 14/5 | |
| Wycombe win | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Double chance | Oxford Utd or draw | 75% | 1/3 |
| Wycombe or draw | 52% | 10/11 | |
| Draw no bet | Oxford Utd | 66% | 8/15 |
| Wycombe | 34% | 15/8 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 5/6 |
| No | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 76% | 1/3 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Result and BTTS | Oxford Utd and yes | 22% | 7/2 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Wycombe and yes | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Result and goals | Oxford Utd and over 2.5 | 29% | 12/5 |
| Wycombe and over 2.5 | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Oxford Utd and under 2.5 | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Wycombe and under 2.5 | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Oxford Utd / Oxford Utd | 30% | 12/5 |
| Draw / Oxford Utd | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Wycombe / Wycombe | 14% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 72% | 2/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 63% | 8/13 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 48% | 11/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 11/5 |
Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Oxford Utd 4-2-3-1 formation
- Eastwood, Simon.GK
- Kioso, Peter.DEF
- Currie, Jack.DEF
- Brannagan, Cameron.MID
- Helik, Michal.DEF
- Brown, Ciaron.DEF
- Emakhu, Aidomo.MID
- Andrews, Kai.MID
- Harris, Mark.FWD
- Goodrham, Tyler.MID
- Dembele, Siriki.MID
They started the match against Reading on Wed 4 Nov.
Wycombe 4-2-3-1
- Hazard, Conor.GK
- Grimmer, Jack.DEF
- Harvie, Daniel.DEF
- Boyd-Munce, Caolan.MID
- Taylor, Connor.DEF
- Hagelskjaer, Anders.DEF
- Onyedinma, Fred.MID
- Scowen, Josh.MID
- Wareham, Jayden.FWD
- Woodrow, Cauley.MID
- Mothersille, Malik.MID
Sat 31 Oct v Burton Albion: started.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 12.6 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.7 | 9.5 | 5.2 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.6 | 5.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When each side scores
Oxford Utd, 14 games , and Wycombe, 14 games too.
Cards and corners
- 12.0corners expected; the league number is 10.4 (Oxford Utd 5.3, Wycombe 6.7)
- Yellow cards expected: 3.7 (league 3.7).
Latest form
Oxford United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | v Reading | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | at Barnsley | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 27 Oct | v Stockport | 1-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Bradford | 0-0 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Wigan | 2-1 | W |
| Thu 15 Oct | at Mansfield | 1-1 | D |
Oxford Utd is listed first in the score.
Wycombe Wanderers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Burton | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Cambridge | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Notts County | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Luton | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Reading | 2-2 | D |
Wycombe is listed first in the score.
The League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield Town | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +11 | 26 |
| 4 |  Luton Town | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 5 |  Plymouth Argyle | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November