Norwich City vs Queens Park Rangers prediction

Norwich City

19:45Tuesday 24 November

QPR

Championship
Carrow Road is the venue.

2-1predicted score (9%)

62%both teams score

61%over 2.5 goals

1.78-1.35expected goals

47%24%29%

Our assessment

In the Championship, Norwich City sit 12th, taking 18 points from 14 games. QPR hold 11th place on 21 from 14 games, 3 points ahead.

Across their last 6, Norwich City took 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 11 and conceding 7. In their last 6, QPR posted 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 12 and conceding 10.

This season, both teams scored in 64% of Norwich City matches, while 79% of them had more than 2.5 goals. For QPR, the rates were 64% and 57%. In expected goals, Norwich City generate 1.48 per game and concede 1.40. QPR generate 1.67 and concede 1.07.

Since August 2024 our results show 4 meetings between them: Norwich City took 2, QPR took 1 and 1 ended level. On Thursday 1 January 2026 the most recent meeting finished QPR 1-2 Norwich.

The model gives a Norwich City win the highest probability at 47% (the draw 24%, QPR 29%). It bases those probabilities on 1.78 expected goals for Norwich City and 1.35 for QPR.

Score we predict: Norwich City 2-1 Queens Park Rangers. Of all the exact scores, 1-1 at 11.1% is the most likely one. For the result we lean to, 2-1 is the top score.

Stats for Norwich City v QPR

Per game	Norwich City	QPR
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	2.00	2.20
Goals conceded a game	1.00	1.80
Both teams scored	40%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	60%	80%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Corners won / conceded	5.4 / 2.6	4.6 / 4.2
Yellow cards a game	1.6	2.0
xG for / against	1.32 / 1.19	1.82 / 0.79

Per game	Norwich City	QPR
Games	14	14
Goals scored a game	1.93	1.57
Goals conceded a game	1.71	1.21
Both teams scored	64%	64%
Over 2.5 goals	79%	57%
Clean sheets	7%	21%
Corners won / conceded	4.8 / 3.8	5.6 / 4.0
Yellow cards a game	2.1	2.0
xG for / against	1.48 / 1.40	1.67 / 1.07

Per game	Norwich City	QPR
Games	7	7
Goals scored a game	1.86	1.14
Goals conceded a game	1.71	1.57
Both teams scored	71%	71%
Over 2.5 goals	71%	57%
Clean sheets	0%	14%
Corners won / conceded	5.1 / 3.1	4.3 / 4.6
Yellow cards a game	2.3	2.6
xG for / against	1.29 / 1.44	1.18 / 1.27

Per game	Norwich City	QPR
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	1.50	1.50
Goals conceded a game	1.50	1.50
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	75%	75%
Clean sheets	0%	25%
Corners won / conceded	6.5 / 4.8	4.8 / 6.5
Yellow cards a game	2.0	2.8

Fair prices for each market


Match result	Norwich City win	47%	11/10
	Draw	24%	16/5
	QPR win	29%	5/2
Double chance	Norwich City or draw	71%	2/5
	QPR or draw	53%	10/11
Draw no bet	Norwich City	62%	8/13
	QPR	38%	13/8
Both teams to score	Yes	62%	8/13
	No	38%	13/8
Goals	Over 1.5	83%	1/5
	Over 2.5	61%	4/6
	Under 2.5	39%	6/4
	Over 3.5	38%	8/5
Result and BTTS	Norwich City and yes	26%	14/5
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	QPR and yes	17%	5/1
Result and goals	Norwich City and over 2.5	33%	2/1
	QPR and over 2.5	19%	4/1
	Norwich City and under 2.5	14%	6/1
	QPR and under 2.5	9%	10/1
Half time / full time	Norwich City / Norwich City	29%	12/5
	QPR / QPR	17%	5/1
	Draw / Norwich City	15%	11/2
	Draw / Draw	13%	7/1
Corners	Over 9.5	45%	5/4
	Over 10.5	34%	15/8
Cards	Over 3.5	54%	5/6
	Over 4.5	37%	17/10

Match result

Norwich City win

47%

11/10

Draw

24%

16/5

QPR win

29%

5/2

Double chance

Norwich City or draw

71%

2/5

QPR or draw

53%

10/11

Draw no bet

Norwich City

62%

8/13

QPR

38%

13/8

Both teams to score

Yes

62%

8/13

38%

13/8

Goals

Over 1.5

83%

1/5

Over 2.5

61%

4/6

Under 2.5

39%

6/4

Over 3.5

38%

8/5

Result and BTTS

Norwich City and yes

26%

14/5

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

QPR and yes

17%

5/1

Result and goals

Norwich City and over 2.5

33%

2/1

QPR and over 2.5

19%

4/1

Norwich City and under 2.5

14%

6/1

QPR and under 2.5

10/1

Half time / full time

Norwich City / Norwich City

29%

12/5

QPR / QPR

17%

5/1

Draw / Norwich City

15%

11/2

Draw / Draw

13%

7/1

Corners

Over 9.5

45%

5/4

Over 10.5

34%

15/8

Cards

Over 3.5

54%

5/6

Over 4.5

37%

17/10

Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance.

Who we expect to start

Norwich City 4-2-3-1

Grimshaw, Daniel.GK
Stacey, Jack.DEF
Yongwa, Darlin.DEF
Wright, Jacob.MID
McConville, Ruairi.DEF
Darling, Harry.DEF
Brooks, Andre.MID
Field, Sam.MID
Kvistgaarden, Mathias.FWD
Paris MaghomaMID
Musaba, Anthony.MID

Started at Derby on Tue 3 Nov.

QPR 4-4-2

Charles, Pierce.GK
Adamson, Kealey.DEF
Cirkin, Dennis.DEF
Varane, Jonathan.MID
Dunne, Jimmy.DEF
Edwards, Ronnie.DEF
Vale, Harvey.MID
Kamara, Glen.MID
Smyth, Paul.FWD
Kone, Richard.FWD
Saito, Koki.MID

Started Tue 3 Nov against Burnley.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Norwich City goals down the side and QPR goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.0	5.3	4.0	1.8	0.6	0.2
1	7.1	11.1	7.1	3.2	1.1	0.3
2	6.9	9.3	6.3	2.9	1.0	0.3
3	4.1	5.6	3.8	1.7	0.6	0.2
4	1.8	2.5	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1
5	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0

When each side scores

QPR, 15 games; Norwich City, 17 games.

Cards and corners

Corners expected: 9.3 (Norwich City 4.9 and QPR 4.5; the league average is 10.4).
Yellow cards expected: 4.0 (league 3.7).

Latest form

Norwich City

Norwich City, last 6
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	at Derby	4-0	W
Sat 31 Oct	v Watford	3-2	W
Sat 24 Oct	at Charlton	3-1	W
Sat 17 Oct	v Portsmouth	0-1	L
Wed 14 Oct	v Southampton	0-1	L
Sat 10 Oct	at Swansea	1-2	L

In these scores, Norwich City comes first.

Queens Park Rangers

Last 6 for QPR
			Result
Tue 3 Nov	v Burnley	1-1	D
Sat 31 Oct	at Southampton	1-4	L
Sat 24 Oct	v Swansea	5-0	W
Sat 17 Oct	at Birmingham	0-3	L
Wed 14 Oct	v Derby	4-1	W
Fri 9 Oct	at West Ham	1-1	D

Read the scores with QPR first.

Head to head


Thu 1 Jan 2026	Championship	QPR 1-2 Norwich	0-0	10
Sat 29 Nov 2025	Championship	Norwich 3-1 QPR	3-1	15
Sun 29 Dec 2024	Championship	Norwich 1-1 QPR	0-1	8
Sat 7 Dec 2024	Championship	QPR 3-0 Norwich	2-0	12