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Norwich City vs Cardiff City prediction

Norwich City crestNorwich City
12:30Saturday 21 November
CardiffCardiff City crest
2-1predicted score (9%)
67%both teams score
68%over 2.5 goals
2.09-1.44expected goals

Analysis from our team

In the Championship, Norwich City sit 12th with 18 points from 14 games. Cardiff sit 18th on 15 points from 14 games, 3 points behind.

Norwich City last 6: 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 defeats, 11 scored and 7 conceded. Cardiff's last 6 games brought 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 64% of Norwich City matches this season, and 79% of those games finished with over 2.5 goals. Cardiff's two figures are 71% and 64%. Expected goals per game: Norwich City 1.48 created, 1.40 allowed; Cardiff 1.80 created, 1.73 allowed.

Our results cover 2 meetings since August 2024. Norwich City won 1 of them, Cardiff won 1 and 0 were draws. On Saturday 3 May 2025, the latest meeting finished Norwich 4-2 Cardiff.

At 52%, a Norwich City win is the result the model favors most, while the draw is 22% and Cardiff 26%. The expected goals behind it are 2.09 for Norwich City and 1.44 for Cardiff.

Our call on the score is Norwich City 2-1 Cardiff City. One exact score stands out as most likely, 1-1 at 9.4%. Within the result we lean to, 2-1 is the likeliest score.

Norwich City against Cardiff: stats

Per gameNorwich City crestNorwich CityCardiff City crestCardiff
Games55
Goals scored a game2.002.20
Goals conceded a game1.001.80
Both teams scored40%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%80%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded5.4 / 2.64.4 / 4.8
Yellow cards a game1.61.4
xG for / against1.32 / 1.191.91 / 1.89

Market fair prices

Match resultNorwich City win52%10/11
Draw22%7/2
Cardiff win26%29/10
Double chanceNorwich City or draw74%1/3
Cardiff or draw48%11/10
Draw no betNorwich City67%1/2
Cardiff33%2/1
Both teams to scoreYes67%1/2
No33%21/10
GoalsOver 1.587%1/7
Over 2.568%4/9
Under 2.532%11/5
Over 3.547%11/10
Result and BTTSNorwich City and yes32%11/5
Draw and yes19%9/2
Cardiff and yes17%5/1
Result and goalsNorwich City and over 2.540%6/4
Cardiff and over 2.519%9/2
Norwich City and under 2.512%15/2
Cardiff and under 2.57%14/1
Half time / full timeNorwich City / Norwich City33%2/1
Draw / Norwich City16%11/2
Cardiff / Cardiff15%11/2
Draw / Draw11%17/2
CornersOver 9.553%10/11
Over 10.542%11/8
CardsOver 3.554%5/6
Over 4.537%17/10

A fair price comes from 1 divided by our chance.

Line-up predictions

Norwich City crestNorwich City 4-2-3-1

  1. Grimshaw, Daniel.GK
  2. Stacey, Jack.DEF
  3. Yongwa, Darlin.DEF
  4. Wright, Jacob.MID
  5. McConville, Ruairi.DEF
  6. Darling, Harry.DEF
  7. Brooks, Andre.MID
  8. Field, Sam.MID
  9. Kvistgaarden, Mathias.FWD
  10. Paris MaghomaMID
  11. Musaba, Anthony.MID

They started at Derby on Tue 3 Nov.

Cardiff City crestCardiff 4-1-4-1

  1. Trott, Nathan.GK
  2. Ng, Perry.DEF
  3. Scanlon, Calum.DEF
  4. Robertson, Alex.MID
  5. Fish, William.DEF
  6. Bagan, Joel.DEF
  7. Tanner, Ollie.MID
  8. Moylan, Jack.MID
  9. Salech, Yousef.FWD
  10. Colwill, Rubin.MID
  11. Willock, Chris.MID

They started on Wed 4 Nov v West Ham.

Chances for each correct score

The chance of every score in %, with Norwich City goals listed down the side and Cardiff goals across
012345
03.53.73.01.50.50.2
15.69.46.43.01.10.3
26.49.26.63.21.10.3
34.56.44.62.20.80.2
42.33.32.41.20.40.1
51.01.41.00.50.20.0

When each side scores

841-156416-305831-453346-608361-753476-90

Games counted: Norwich City 17, Cardiff, 16.

Corners plus cards

Latest form

Norwich City crestNorwich City

Norwich City, last 6
Result
Tue 3 Novat Derby4-0W
Sat 31 Octv Watford3-2W
Sat 24 Octat Charlton3-1W
Sat 17 Octv Portsmouth0-1L
Wed 14 Octv Southampton0-1L
Sat 10 Octat Swansea1-2L

Each score lists Norwich City before Cardiff.

Cardiff City crestCardiff City

Last 6 for Cardiff
Result
Wed 4 Novv West Ham3-3D
Sat 31 Octat Wolves0-3L
Sat 24 Octv Birmingham1-0W
Sat 17 Octat Middlesbrough2-2D
Tue 13 Octv Watford5-1W
Sat 10 Octat Blackburn1-2L

The score lists Cardiff first.

Head to head

DateCompetitionResultHalf timeCorners
Sat 3 May 2025ChampionshipNorwich 4-2 Cardiff3-015
Sat 2 Nov 2024ChampionshipCardiff 2-1 Norwich0-08

Championship standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
10Portsmouth crestPortsmouth14644+322
11Queens Park Rangers crestQueens Park Rangers14563+521
12Norwich City crestNorwich City14608+318
13Millwall crestMillwall14536-118
14Blackburn Rovers crestBlackburn Rovers14536-218
15Bristol City crestBristol City14536-318
16Wrexham crestWrexham14455-217
17Bolton Wanderers crestBolton Wanderers14527-717
18Cardiff City crestCardiff City14365-115
19Lincoln City crestLincoln City14437-1015
20Watford crestWatford14428-1014

Standings updated Thursday 5 November

Other Championship predictions