Lincoln City vs Wrexham prediction
What our analysis says
In the Championship, Lincoln City have 15 points from 14 games and sit 19th. Wrexham are 16th with 17 from 14, which puts them 2 points ahead.
Lincoln City's last 6 games brought 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats; they scored 7 and conceded 16. Wrexham's last 6 matches ended with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses; they scored 8 and conceded 7.
This season, both teams scored in 50% of Lincoln City matches, while 57% had more than 2.5 goals; Wrexham's figures are 57% and 43%. Lincoln City's expected goals are 1.30 created and 1.44 allowed per game; Wrexham sit at 1.14 created and 1.19 allowed.
Since August 2024, our results show 2 meetings: Lincoln City recorded 0 wins, Wrexham recorded 2 and 0 matches ended level. The most recent meeting, Saturday 3 May 2025, ended with Lincoln 0-2 Wrexham.
With Lincoln City at 1.51 and Wrexham at 1.30 in expected goals, the model rates a win for Lincoln City as most likely at 41% (draw 27%, Wrexham 32%).
Prediction: Lincoln City 2-1 Wrexham. A 1-1 scoreline is the single likeliest exact score at 12.5%, while 2-1 leads the way among scores in the outcome we lean to.
Lincoln City v Wrexham statistics
| Per game |  Lincoln City |  Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.2 / 7.6 | 4.6 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| xG for / against | 1.23 / 2.10 | 1.14 / 1.07 |
| Per game | Lincoln City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 43% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 21% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.6 / 7.5 | 4.9 / 4.3 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.30 / 1.44 | 1.14 / 1.19 |
| Per game | Lincoln City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.14 | 0.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.29 | 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.9 / 5.1 | 5.1 / 4.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 1.1 |
| xG for / against | 1.70 / 1.54 | 1.03 / 1.15 |
| Per game | Lincoln City | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 100% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.0 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 5.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 0.5 | 1.5 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Lincoln City win | 41% | 7/5 |
| Draw | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Wrexham win | 32% | 21/10 | |
| Double chance | Lincoln City or draw | 68% | 1/2 |
| Wrexham or draw | 59% | 8/11 | |
| Draw no bet | Lincoln City | 56% | 4/5 |
| Wrexham | 44% | 13/10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 8/11 |
| No | 43% | 11/8 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 78% | 2/7 |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 9/4 | |
| Result and BTTS | Lincoln City and yes | 21% | 18/5 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Wrexham and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Result and goals | Lincoln City and over 2.5 | 26% | 14/5 |
| Wrexham and over 2.5 | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Lincoln City and under 2.5 | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Wrexham and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Lincoln City / Lincoln City | 25% | 3/1 |
| Wrexham / Wrexham | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Draw / Lincoln City | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 51% | 10/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 41% | 6/4 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 48% | 11/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 11/5 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we expect
Lincoln City 3-4-2-1
- Wickens, George.GK
- Oyegoke, Daniel.MID
- Elder, Callum.MID
- Coubis, Andrei.DEF
- Bradley, Sonny.DEF
- Elerewe, Ayodeji.DEF
- Konak, Yunus.MID
- Bayliss, Tom.MID
- Draper, Freddie.FWD
- Ogbene, Chiedozie.FWD
- House, Ben.FWD
They started Tue 3 Nov at Watford.
Wrexham 3-5-1-1
- Patterson, Anthony.GK
- Kaboré, Issa.MID
- Ekomie, Jacques.MID
- Doyle, Callum.DEF
- Worrall, Joe.DEF
- Cleworth, Max.DEF
- Dobson, George.MID
- Thomason, George.MID
- Moore, Kieffer.FWD
- O'Brien, Lewis.FWD
- Whiteman, Benjamin.MID
They started Wed 4 Nov v Boro.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 7.2 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.4 | 12.5 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Timing of goals
Lincoln City, 17 games , versus Wrexham, 15 games.
Cards and corners
- We expect 9.9 corners, with Lincoln City 4.4, Wrexham 5.5 and a league figure of 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected 3.7 (league 3.7).
Form lately
Lincoln City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Watford | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Birmingham | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Burnley | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Millwall | 2-2 | D |
| Wed 14 Oct | v West Ham | 0-6 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-3 | L |
Read the scores with Lincoln City first.
Wrexham
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | v Middlesbrough | 2-0 | W |
| Fri 30 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Blackburn | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Preston | 4-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v West Brom | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Derby | 1-1 | D |
Read the scores with Wrexham first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 3 May 2025 | League One | Lincoln 0-2 Wrexham | 0-0 | 6 |
| Tue 26 Nov 2024 | League One | Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln | 0-0 | 7 |
Championship standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 |  Blackburn Rovers | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November