Lincoln City vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Our breakdown
In the Championship, Lincoln City sit 19th, their 15 points coming from 14 games. On 27 from 14, Wolves are 2nd and 12 points ahead.
Lincoln City's last 6 gave them 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 7 scored and 16 conceded. In their last 6, Wolves recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, 10 goals scored and 6 conceded.
For Lincoln City this season, both teams scored in 50% of games and 57% went over 2.5 goals; Wolves came in at 64% and 64%. For expected goals, Lincoln City make 1.30 a game and concede 1.44, while Wolves make 1.77 and concede 0.91.
With expected goals of 1.48 for Wolves and 1.19 for Lincoln City, our model puts a Wolves win at 43%. The remaining results are Lincoln City 30% and the draw 27%.
Our predicted score is Lincoln City 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers. At 12.9%, 1-1 is the most likely single exact score. Inside the result we favour, 0-1 is the most likely score.
Lincoln City vs Wolves stats
| Per game |  Lincoln City |  Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.2 / 7.6 | 6.8 / 2.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 2.6 |
| xG for / against | 1.23 / 2.10 | 1.69 / 0.70 |
| Per game | Lincoln City | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 14 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.00 | 1.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.71 | 1.21 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 64% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 29% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.6 / 7.5 | 6.6 / 3.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| xG for / against | 1.30 / 1.44 | 1.77 / 0.91 |
| Per game | Lincoln City | Wolves |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.14 | 1.71 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.29 | 1.43 |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.9 / 5.1 | 5.9 / 4.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.70 / 1.54 | 1.65 / 1.05 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Lincoln City win | 30% | 23/10 |
| Draw | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Wolves win | 43% | 13/10 | |
| Double chance | Lincoln City or draw | 57% | 8/11 |
| Wolves or draw | 70% | 4/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Lincoln City | 41% | 7/5 |
| Wolves | 59% | 4/6 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 5/6 |
| No | 46% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 75% | 1/3 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 13/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Lincoln City and yes | 15% | 6/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Wolves and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Result and goals | Lincoln City and over 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 |
| Wolves and over 2.5 | 26% | 29/10 | |
| Lincoln City and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Wolves and under 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Wolves / Wolves | 26% | 29/10 |
| Lincoln City / Lincoln City | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Wolves | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 57% | 8/11 |
| Over 10.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 57% | 8/11 |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 6/4 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
The line-ups we predict
Lincoln City 3-4-2-1
- Wickens, George.GK
- Oyegoke, Daniel.MID
- Elder, Callum.MID
- Coubis, Andrei.DEF
- Bradley, Sonny.DEF
- Elerewe, Ayodeji.DEF
- Konak, Yunus.MID
- Bayliss, Tom.MID
- Draper, Freddie.FWD
- Ogbene, Chiedozie.FWD
- House, Ben.FWD
They started Tue 3 Nov at Watford.
Wolves 4-2-3-1
- Sá, José.GK
- Trippier, Kieran.DEF
- Bueno, Hugo.DEF
- Munetsi, Marshall.MID
- Mosquera, Yerson.DEF
- Krejcí, Ladislav.DEF
- López, Fernando.MID
- AndréMID
- Armstrong, Adam.FWD
- Jean-Ricner BellegardeMID
- Said, Rafiki.MID
At Bristol City on Wed 4 Nov, they started.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 9.5 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 12.9 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When the teams score
Games played: Lincoln City, 17; Wolves, 17 games.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 10.4 in total, with league 10.4, Lincoln City 4.2 and Wolves 6.2.
- Yellow cards: 4.2 expected, against a league average of 3.7.
Form guide
Lincoln City
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | at Watford | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Birmingham | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Burnley | 4-1 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Millwall | 2-2 | D |
| Wed 14 Oct | v West Ham | 0-6 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Sheffield United | 0-3 | L |
Lincoln City scores are listed first.
Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed 4 Nov | at Bristol City | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Cardiff | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Watford | 1-0 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Portsmouth | 1-1 | D |
| Fri 16 Oct | at Burnley | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 13 Oct | v Bolton | 1-3 | L |
Scores show Wolves first.
The Championship table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +11 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | +8 | 27 |
| 3 |  Birmingham City | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 17 |  Bolton Wanderers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 18 |  Cardiff City | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 19 | Lincoln City | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 20 |  Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 |  Charlton Athletic | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November