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Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde prediction

15:00Saturday 21 November
1-0predicted score (11%)
49%both teams score
42%over 2.5 goals
1.20-1.15expected goals

Analysis from our team

Of their last 6, Kid'minster have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 4 goals scored and 8 conceded. From their last 6 matches, AFC Fylde picked up 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 11.

So far this season, 50% of Kid'minster games saw both teams score and 38% finished over 2.5 goals, while AFC Fylde reached 69% and 75%.

Based on 1.20 expected goals for Kid'minster, 1.15 for AFC Fylde, our model rates a Kid'minster win as likeliest at 36%. The draw is 30% and AFC Fylde 34%.

The predicted score is Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 AFC Fylde. One exact score stands out as likeliest, 1-1 at 13.9%. Within the result we lean to, 1-0 is the likeliest score.

Stats for Kid'minster v AFC Fylde

Per gameKid'minsterAFC Fylde crestAFC Fylde
Games55
Goals scored a game0.601.80
Goals conceded a game1.001.80
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals40%80%
Clean sheets40%20%
Corners won / conceded3.8 / 5.03.6 / 4.4
Yellow cards a game2.41.4

Fair prices for each market

Match resultKid'minster win36%7/4
Draw30%12/5
AFC Fylde win34%2/1
Double chanceKid'minster or draw66%1/2
AFC Fylde or draw64%4/7
Draw no betKid'minster52%10/11
AFC Fylde48%21/20
Both teams to scoreYes49%21/20
No51%10/11
GoalsOver 1.569%4/9
Over 2.542%11/8
Under 2.558%8/11
Over 3.521%18/5
Result and BTTSKid'minster and yes15%11/2
Draw and yes19%4/1
AFC Fylde and yes14%6/1
Result and goalsKid'minster and over 2.519%9/2
AFC Fylde and over 2.518%9/2
Kid'minster and under 2.517%9/2
AFC Fylde and under 2.516%5/1
Half time / full timeKid'minster / Kid'minster21%18/5
AFC Fylde / AFC Fylde20%4/1
Draw / Draw18%9/2
Draw / Kid'minster14%6/1
CornersOver 9.542%11/8
Over 10.532%21/10
CardsOver 3.561%4/6
Over 4.544%5/4

A fair price is 1 divided by our chance.

The line-ups we predict

Kid'minster 4-4-2

  1. Wint, Jack.GK
  2. Crompton, Ben.DEF
  3. Faakye, Richard.DEF
  4. Davis, David.MID
  5. MacDonald, Angus.DEF
  6. Harries, Cian.DEF
  7. Brogan, Max.MID
  8. Hargreaves, Cameron.MID
  9. Walker, Lewis.FWD
  10. Stewart, Callum.FWD
  11. Kouhyar, Maziar.MID

They started at Solihull on Sat 31 Oct.

AFC Fylde crestAFC Fylde 4-2-3-1

  1. Pickford, George.GK
  2. Drewe, Aaron.DEF
  3. Broad, Harvey.DEF
  4. Merrie, Christopher.MID
  5. Lancaster, Will.DEF
  6. Whelan, Corey.DEF
  7. Thomas, Luca.MID
  8. Whelan, Tom.MID
  9. Matthews-Lewis, Millar.FWD
  10. McCormick, Luke.MID
  11. Malcolm, Kyrell.MID

They started Fri 30 Oct against Hornchurh.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Kid'minster goals listed down the side and AFC Fylde goals across
012345
010.210.16.32.40.70.2
110.613.97.62.90.80.2
26.97.94.61.80.50.1
32.83.21.80.70.20.0
40.81.00.60.20.10.0
50.20.20.10.10.00.0

When each team scores

211-153216-303631-453546-602961-754776-90

Shown here: 16 games for Kid'minster, and AFC Fylde, 16 games.

Cards and corners

Form lately

Kidderminster Harriers

Last 6 for Kid'minster
Result
Sat 31 Octat Solihull1-2L
Tue 27 Octat Altrincham0-0D
Sat 24 Octv Worthing1-2L
Sat 10 Octat Carlisle0-0D
Sat 3 Octv Sutton1-1D
Tue 29 Sepat Boreham Wood1-3L

Read the scores with Kid'minster first.

AFC Fylde crestAFC Fylde

Last 6 for AFC Fylde
Result
Fri 30 Octv Hornchurch3-1W
Tue 27 Octv Hartlepool3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Boreham Wood0-4L
Sat 10 Octv Scunthorpe2-0W
Sat 3 Octat Southend1-3L
Tue 29 Sepv Carlisle0-2L

Read the scores with AFC Fylde first.

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