Gateshead vs Hartlepool United prediction
Our own analysis
Gateshead's last 6 games brought 0 wins, 0 draws and 6 losses, with 3 goals scored and 14 conceded. In Hartlepool's last 6, they won 2, drew 0 and lost 4, scoring 10 goals and conceding 12.
This season, Gateshead saw both teams score in 47% of games, and 60% of matches had over 2.5 goals. Hartlepool's figures are 50% and 50%.
Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings, with Gateshead winning 1, Hartlepool winning 3 and 0 draws. Their most recent meeting on Tuesday 20 January 2026 ended Hartlepool 2-1 Gateshead.
The model sees a Hartlepool win as most likely at 43%, based on expected goals of 1.21 for Gateshead, with 1.49 for Hartlepool (Gateshead 30%, the draw 27%).
The score we predict is Gateshead 0-1 Hartlepool United. At 12.9%, 1-1 is the likeliest single exact score. Within the result we favor, 0-1 is the likeliest score.
Stats for Gateshead v Hartlepool
| Per game |  Gateshead |  Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.4 / 6.6 | 5.0 / 6.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Per game | Gateshead | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 16 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.60 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.27 | 1.69 |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 19% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.3 / 5.3 | 4.6 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Gateshead | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 9 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.83 | 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 11% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 4.7 | 4.0 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 2.7 |
| Per game | Gateshead | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 25% |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Gateshead win | 30% | 23/10 |
| Draw | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Hartlepool win | 43% | 13/10 | |
| Double chance | Gateshead or draw | 57% | 8/11 |
| Hartlepool or draw | 70% | 4/9 | |
| Draw no bet | Gateshead | 41% | 7/5 |
| Hartlepool | 59% | 8/11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 5/6 |
| No | 45% | 6/5 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 76% | 1/3 |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 5/2 | |
| Result and BTTS | Gateshead and yes | 15% | 11/2 |
| Draw and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Hartlepool and yes | 20% | 4/1 | |
| Result and goals | Gateshead and over 2.5 | 18% | 9/2 |
| Hartlepool and over 2.5 | 26% | 14/5 | |
| Gateshead and under 2.5 | 12% | 7/1 | |
| Hartlepool and under 2.5 | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Hartlepool / Hartlepool | 26% | 29/10 |
| Gateshead / Gateshead | 17% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Draw / Hartlepool | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 45% | 6/5 |
| Over 10.5 | 34% | 15/8 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 45% | 5/4 |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 5/2 |
To get a fair price, divide 1 by our chance.
Expected starting line-ups
Gateshead 4-2-3-1
- Jameson, Peter.GK
- Lavery, Thomas.DEF
- Lankshear, Alex.DEF
- Home, Josh.MID
- Williams, Ben.DEF
- Ferguson, David.DEF
- Bowen, Sam.MID
- John, Fenton.MID
- Hiwula, Jordi.FWD
- Chadwick, Billy.MID
- Chapman, Harry.MID
At Aldershot, they started Sat 31 Oct.
Hartlepool 5-4-1
- Merrick, Max.GK
- Mcnally, Reiss.DEF
- Ilunga, Brooklyn.DEF
- Clark, Max.DEF
- Lavelle, Sam.DEF
- Kouogun, Maxim.DEF
- Nolan, Jack.MID
- Miley, Jamie.MID
- Harris, William.FWD
- Nathan SheronMID
- Cole DeemingMID
They started Sat 31 Oct at Boreham Wood.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 9.3 | 7.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 12.9 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
For Gateshead, 15 games; Hartlepool, 16 games.
Cards and corners
- Corners expected: 9.3 in total, with Gateshead 4.4 and Hartlepool 4.9 (league 10.0).
- Yellow cards expected: 3.5 (league 3.8).
Latest form
Gateshead
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Aldershot | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Boston Utd | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Halifax | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Worthing | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Altrincham | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Wealdstone | 0-4 | L |
Each score lists Gateshead first.
Hartlepool United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Boreham Wood | 3-4 | L |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Fylde | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Hornchurch | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Forest Green | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Tamworth | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Harrogate | 0-1 | L |
Each score lists Hartlepool first.
Head to head
| Tue 20 Jan 2026 | National League | Hartlepool 2-1 Gateshead | 0-1 | — |
| Tue 23 Sep 2025 | National League | Gateshead 0-1 Hartlepool | 0-0 | — |
| Mon 21 Apr 2025 | National League | Hartlepool 3-2 Gateshead | 2-0 | — |
| Thu 26 Dec 2024 | National League | Gateshead 4-3 Hartlepool | 2-1 | — |