Bristol City vs Wrexham prediction

Our breakdown

In the Championship, Bristol City occupy 15th place with 18 points from 14 games. Wrexham occupy 16th spot with 17 points from 14, trailing by 1 point.

Of their last 6, Bristol City recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses, scoring 5 and conceding 7. In their last 6, Wrexham recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 8 scored and 7 against.

Across the season, 57% of Bristol City games saw both teams score and 50% went past 2.5 goals. Wrexham's figures are 57% and 43%. Each game, Bristol City produce 1.40 expected goals and concede 1.40. Wrexham produce 1.14 and concede 1.19.

Our results cover 2 meetings since August 2024: 0 wins for Bristol City, 1 for Wrexham and 1 draw. Tuesday 17 February 2026 brought their most recent meeting, which finished Bristol City 2-2 Wrexham.

With 1.35 expected goals for Bristol City and 1.22 for Wrexham, our model gives a Bristol City win 39%. That's the likeliest result (a draw 28% and Wrexham 33%).

Our prediction is Bristol City 1-0 Wrexham. At 13.4%, 1-1 is the most likely exact score. A 1-0 result is the likeliest score in the outcome we favor.