Boreham Wood vs Hartlepool United prediction
With no margin included, the market gives Boreham Wood 71%, the draw 17% and Hartlepool 12%, averaged across 6 UK bookmakers.
How the model viewed it
In their last 6, Boreham Wood posted 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, scoring 17 and conceding 3. Of their last 6, Hartlepool won 2, drew 0, lost 4, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
This season, 73% of Boreham Wood games saw both teams score, and 87% went over 2.5 goals. Hartlepool's figures are 47% and 47%.
Since August 2024, our results show 2 meetings: 1 Boreham Wood win, 0 for Hartlepool and 1 draw. Their most recent meeting, Saturday 11 April 2026, ended Boreham Wood 3-0 Hartlepool.
At 73%, a Boreham Wood win is the likeliest result for the model, which puts the draw at 16% and Hartlepool 11%. It gets these chances from expected goals of 0.99 for Hartlepool and 2.68 for Boreham Wood. With their margin removed, UK bookmakers put it at 71%, close to our number.
The predicted score is Boreham Wood 2-0 Hartlepool United.
Stats for Boreham Wood v Hartlepool
| Per game |  Boreham Wood |  Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.4 / 1.2 | 5.2 / 6.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| Per game | Boreham Wood | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 15 | 15 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.93 | 1.53 |
| Both teams scored | 73% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% | 47% |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.6 / 2.5 | 4.7 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 2.4 |
| Per game | Boreham Wood | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 8 |
| Goals scored a game | 3.00 | 1.12 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.14 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.0 / 1.7 | 4.1 / 5.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| Per game | Boreham Wood | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 100% | 50% |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
Best UK odds and fair prices
| Match result | Boreham Wood win | 73% | 4/11 | 2/7 BetVictor | -6.1% |
| Draw | 16% | 5/1 | 9/2 Betfred | -11.2% | |
| Hartlepool win | 11% | 8/1 | 7/1 bet365 | -11.5% | |
| Double chance | Boreham Wood or draw | 89% | 1/8 | ||
| Hartlepool or draw | 27% | 11/4 | |||
| Draw no bet | Boreham Wood | 87% | 2/13 | ||
| Hartlepool | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 8/11 | ||
| No | 41% | 11/8 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 89% | 1/8 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 2/5 | 2/5 bet365 | -0.6% | |
| Under 2.5 | 29% | 5/2 | 15/8 bet365 | -16.4% | |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | evens | |||
| Result and BTTS | Boreham Wood and yes | 39% | 13/8 | ||
| Draw and yes | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Hartlepool and yes | 7% | 14/1 | |||
| Result and goals | Boreham Wood and over 2.5 | 57% | 8/11 | ||
| Hartlepool and over 2.5 | 8% | 12/1 | |||
| Boreham Wood and under 2.5 | 16% | 11/2 | |||
| Hartlepool and under 2.5 | 3% | 28/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Boreham Wood / Boreham Wood | 50% | evens | ||
| Draw / Boreham Wood | 19% | 9/2 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 8% | 11/1 | |||
| Hartlepool / Hartlepool | 6% | 16/1 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 48% | 21/20 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 38% | 13/8 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 45% | 6/5 | ||
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 5/2 |
A fair price comes from dividing 1 by our chance. Bookmaker prices are taken from football-data.co.uk, which lists match odds plus over/under 2.5 only; edge marks where both figures are available.
The starting line-ups for both teams
Boreham Wood 4-2-3-1
- Curd, Ted.GK
- Golden, Tylor.DEF
- Bainbridge, Oliver.DEF
- White, Tom.MID
- O'Connell, Charlie.DEF
- Bush, Chris.DEF
- Cashman, Danny.MID
- Booty, Regan.MID
- Bird, Jay.FWD
- Brunt, Zak.MID
- Allarakhia, Tarryn.MID
Hartlepool 5-4-1
- Merrick, Max.GK
- Mcnally, Reiss.DEF
- Ilunga, Brooklyn.DEF
- Clark, Max.DEF
- Lavelle, Sam.DEF
- Kouogun, MaximDEF
- Nolan, JackMID
- Miley, JamieMID
- Harris, WilliamFWD
- Sheron, NathanMID
- Deeming, ColeMID
ESPN gave us the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.
Chances for each correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.4 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.1 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.2 | 8.1 | 4.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Games counted: Boreham Wood, 16 games and Hartlepool, 16 games. This season's goals by minute come from ESPN match events.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 9.6 overall, with Boreham Wood 6.1 and Hartlepool 3.6; the league figure is 9.9.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.5 (league 3.8, adjusted for the referee).
Latest form
Boreham Wood
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Woking | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Fylde | 4-0 | W |
| Fri 9 Oct | at Sutton | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Altrincham | 3-1 | W |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Kidderminster | 3-1 | W |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Solihull | 3-0 | W |
Boreham Wood is listed first in the scores.
Hartlepool United
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 27 Oct | at Fylde | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Hornchurch | 2-1 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Forest Green | 4-2 | W |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Tamworth | 0-1 | L |
| Tue 29 Sep | v Harrogate | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Scunthorpe | 1-4 | L |
Read the scores with Hartlepool first.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 11 Apr 2026 | National League | Boreham Wood 3-0 Hartlepool | 0-0 | |
| Sat 30 Aug 2025 | National League | Hartlepool 0-0 Boreham Wood | 0-0 |