Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town prediction

Wigan

0-0full time, Tue 3 Nov

Mansfield

League One
At DW Stadium for this match.
The referee is S Oldham, 3.8 cards per game in 73.

0-1predicted score (10%)

51%both teams score

44%over 2.5 goals

1.15-1.30expected goals

32%29%39%

Averaged across 5 UK bookmakers with no margin included, the market has Wigan 30%, draw 26%, Mansfield 45%.

What the model made of it

In League One, Wigan sit 21st on 11 points from 14 matches. Mansfield sit 11th, on 19 points from 13 games, 8 points ahead.

Wigan's last 6 brought 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats, with 6 scored and 10 conceded. Mansfield's last 6 brought 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 12 goals for and 7 against.

Of Wigan games this season, 38% had both teams scoring and 54% went past 2.5 goals; Mansfield's numbers are 58% and 67%. Expected goals per game: Wigan 1.37 created, 1.89 allowed; Mansfield 1.64 created, 1.18 allowed.

Since August 2024 our results include 4 meetings: Wigan 1 win, Mansfield 1 win, and 2 draws. Most recently, on Saturday 11 April 2026, the score was Wigan 2-1 Mansfield.

A Mansfield win ranks as the likeliest outcome in the model at 39%, ahead of Wigan 32% and the draw 29%. Expected goals sit at 1.15 for Wigan, with 1.30 for Mansfield. With their margin removed, UK bookmakers have it at 45%, so they rate it higher than our own figures.

Our prediction: Wigan Athletic 0-1 Mansfield Town. At 13.7%, 1-1 is the single likeliest exact score; within the result we favor, 0-1 is the likeliest score.

Wigan v Mansfield statistics

Per game	Wigan	Mansfield
Games	5	5
Goals scored a game	1.20	2.00
Goals conceded a game	1.80	1.00
Both teams scored	60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	80%	60%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Corners won / conceded	3.4 / 6.4	8.0 / 4.4
Yellow cards a game	3.2	1.6
xG for / against	1.11 / 2.33	2.30 / 0.83

Per game	Wigan	Mansfield
Games	13	12
Goals scored a game	0.85	1.67
Goals conceded a game	1.69	1.50
Both teams scored	38%	58%
Over 2.5 goals	54%	67%
Clean sheets	15%	17%
Corners won / conceded	4.9 / 5.6	5.5 / 4.6
Yellow cards a game	2.9	2.1
xG for / against	1.37 / 1.89	1.64 / 1.18

Per game	Wigan	Mansfield
Games	6	6
Goals scored a game	1.17	1.67
Goals conceded a game	1.67	1.83
Both teams scored	33%	50%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	83%
Clean sheets	17%	17%
Corners won / conceded	4.7 / 4.7	4.3 / 5.7
Yellow cards a game	2.5	1.8
xG for / against	1.40 / 1.90	1.44 / 1.26

Per game	Wigan	Mansfield
Games	4	4
Goals scored a game	1.00	1.00
Goals conceded a game	1.00	1.00
Both teams scored	75%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Clean sheets	25%	25%
Corners won / conceded	3.2 / 5.0	5.0 / 3.2
Yellow cards a game	1.8	1.2

Fair prices and the best UK odds


Match result	Wigan win	32%	9/4	9/4 Paddy Power	+3.9%
	Draw	29%	5/2	11/4 Sky Bet	+7.8%
	Mansfield win	39%	6/4	11/10 bet365	-17.5%
Double chance	Wigan or draw	61%	4/6
	Mansfield or draw	68%	4/9
Draw no bet	Wigan	45%	5/4
	Mansfield	55%	4/5
Both teams to score	Yes	51%	evens
	No	49%	evens
Goals	Over 1.5	71%	2/5
	Over 2.5	44%	5/4	8/11 bet365	-23.1%
	Under 2.5	56%	4/5	11/10 bet365	+15.5%
	Over 3.5	23%	10/3
Result and BTTS	Wigan and yes	14%	6/1
	Draw and yes	19%	4/1
	Mansfield and yes	17%	5/1
Result and goals	Wigan and over 2.5	17%	5/1
	Mansfield and over 2.5	22%	7/2
	Wigan and under 2.5	15%	6/1
	Mansfield and under 2.5	18%	9/2
Half time / full time	Mansfield / Mansfield	23%	10/3
	Wigan / Wigan	19%	9/2
	Draw / Draw	17%	5/1
	Draw / Mansfield	15%	6/1
Corners	Over 9.5	55%	5/6
	Over 10.5	44%	5/4
Cards	Over 3.5	58%	8/11
	Over 4.5	41%	6/4

Match result

Wigan win

32%

9/4

9/4 Paddy Power

+3.9%

Draw

29%

5/2

11/4 Sky Bet

+7.8%

Mansfield win

39%

6/4

11/10 bet365

-17.5%

Double chance

Wigan or draw

61%

4/6

Mansfield or draw

68%

4/9

Draw no bet

Wigan

45%

5/4

Mansfield

55%

4/5

Both teams to score

Yes

51%

evens

49%

evens

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

2/5

Over 2.5

44%

5/4

8/11 bet365

-23.1%

Under 2.5

56%

4/5

11/10 bet365

+15.5%

Over 3.5

23%

10/3

Result and BTTS

Wigan and yes

14%

6/1

Draw and yes

19%

4/1

Mansfield and yes

17%

5/1

Result and goals

Wigan and over 2.5

17%

5/1

Mansfield and over 2.5

22%

7/2

Wigan and under 2.5

15%

6/1

Mansfield and under 2.5

18%

9/2

Half time / full time

Mansfield / Mansfield

23%

10/3

Wigan / Wigan

19%

9/2

Draw / Draw

17%

5/1

Draw / Mansfield

15%

6/1

Corners

Over 9.5

55%

5/6

Over 10.5

44%

5/4

Cards

Over 3.5

58%

8/11

Over 4.5

41%

6/4

To get a fair price, divide 1 by our chance figure. Match odds and over/under 2.5 are the only markets covered by football-data.co.uk, where the bookmaker prices appear. Edge marks where both numbers are available.

The starting XIs

Wigan 3-4-2-1

Whitworth, Joseph.GK
Barrett, Connor.MID
K'Marni MillerMID
Burns, Finley.DEF
Carragher, James.DEF
Weir, Jensen.DEF
Power, Max.MID
Gray, Charlie.MID
Hogan, Scott.FWD
Burrowes, Bradley.FWD
Walsh, Reggie.FWD

Mansfield 3-1-4-2

Roberts, Liam.GK
Moriah-Welsh, Nathan.MID
Bowery, Jordan.MID
Oshilaja, Deji.DEF
Knoyle, Kyle.DEF
Sweeney, Ryan.DEF
Russell, Jonathan.MID
Reed, Louis.DEF
Smith, Michael.FWD
Oates, Rhys.FWD
Hewitt, Elliott.MID

ESPN supplied the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.

Chances for correct scores

Each score's chance in %, with Wigan goals down the side and Mansfield goals across
	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9.4	10.4	7.3	3.2	1.0	0.3
1	9.1	13.7	8.4	3.7	1.2	0.3
2	5.7	7.4	4.8	2.1	0.7	0.2
3	2.2	2.8	1.9	0.8	0.3	0.1
4	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0
5	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

Scoring times

Mansfield, 14 games and Wigan, 15 games form the breakdown. This season's ESPN match events show the goals scored by minute.

Corners plus cards

Corners expected: 10.2 in total, with the league on 10.4 (Wigan 5.1, Mansfield 5.1).
Yellow cards expected: 4.2 (league 3.7, referee adjusted).

Form guide

Wigan Athletic

Wigan's last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Bromley	3-2	W
Tue 27 Oct	at Leicester	0-3	L
Sat 24 Oct	at Huddersfield	1-2	L
Tue 20 Oct	at Oxford	1-2	L
Sat 17 Oct	v Reading	1-0	W
Sat 10 Oct	at Stevenage	0-1	L

Wigan's score comes first.

Mansfield Town

Mansfield's last 6
			Result
Sat 31 Oct	v Notts County	0-2	L
Sat 24 Oct	at Blackpool	4-1	W
Tue 20 Oct	at AFC Wimbledon	3-0	W
Thu 15 Oct	v Oxford	1-1	D
Sat 10 Oct	v Bromley	2-1	W
Sat 19 Sep	at Burton	2-2	D

Mansfield's score comes first.

Head to head


Sat 11 Apr 2026	League One	Wigan 2-1 Mansfield	1-1	6
Sat 25 Oct 2025	League One	Mansfield 1-1 Wigan	1-0	13
Tue 4 Mar 2025	League One	Mansfield 0-0 Wigan	0-0	9
Tue 22 Oct 2024	League One	Wigan 1-2 Mansfield	0-1	5

League One standings

Pos	Club	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
9	Sheffield Wednesday	13	5	5	3	+8	20
10	Leicester City	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Mansfield Town	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Milton Keynes Dons	13	4	6	3	+2	18
13	Wycombe Wanderers	13	4	6	3	-2	18
19	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-4	12
20	Doncaster Rovers	13	3	3	7	-8	12
21	Wigan Athletic	14	3	2	9	-11	11
22	Peterborough United	13	2	4	7	-12	10
23	Barnsley	12	2	3	7	-10	9