Wycombe Wanderers vs Burton Albion prediction
The market, with its margin removed, has Wycombe at 62%, the draw at 22% and Burton Albion 17%. The average covers 6 UK bookmakers.
What the model made of it
Wycombe sit 13th in the League One, on 18 points from 13 games. Burton Albion sit 15th with 17 from 14, 1 points behind.
Wycombe's last 6 brought 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, with 9 scored and 9 conceded. In their last 6, Burton Albion won 2 matches, drew 2 and lost 2; they scored 6 and conceded 7.
During the season, 83% of Wycombe matches saw both teams score, and 58% had more than 2.5 goals. Burton Albion recorded 69% and 69%. Wycombe's expected goals are 1.43 a game, with 1.39 allowed. Burton Albion's are 0.89, with 1.52 allowed.
Our results show 4 meetings since August 2024, with Wycombe taking 3 wins, Burton Albion 0 and 1 draw. Saturday 28 February 2026 was the latest meeting, and the score was Wycombe 3-0 Burton.
A Wycombe win tops the model's list at 51%, the draw stands at 25% and Burton Albion 23%. Those figures are worked out from expected goals of 1.69 (Wycombe) and 1.06 (Burton Albion). With the margin removed, UK bookmakers put it at 62%, higher than our own rating.
The score we predict: Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Burton Albion One exact score has the highest chance: 1-1 at 12.1%. Within the result we lean toward, 1-0 has the best chance.
Wycombe against Burton Albion stats
| Per game |  Wycombe |  Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.4 / 7.0 | 6.0 / 8.6 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.61 / 1.38 | 0.86 / 1.63 |
| Per game | Wycombe | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.58 | 1.38 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.92 | 1.46 |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 69% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 15% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.9 / 6.0 | 4.2 / 6.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| xG for / against | 1.43 / 1.39 | 0.89 / 1.52 |
| Per game | Wycombe | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 17% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.7 / 5.3 | 4.8 / 4.7 |
| Yellow cards a game | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.51 / 1.59 | 0.68 / 1.72 |
| Per game | Wycombe | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.50 | 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 75% | 25% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.5 / 4.5 | 4.5 / 5.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
Fair prices and the best UK odds
| Match result | Wycombe win | 51% | 10/11 | 8/15 Betway | -21.3% |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | 10/3 BetVictor | +10.2% | |
| Burton Albion win | 23% | 10/3 | 5/1 BetVictor | +38.6% | |
| Double chance | Wycombe or draw | 77% | 3/10 | ||
| Burton Albion or draw | 49% | 21/20 | |||
| Draw no bet | Wycombe | 69% | 4/9 | ||
| Burton Albion | 31% | 9/4 | |||
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 5/6 | ||
| No | 46% | 6/5 | |||
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 77% | 3/10 | ||
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 10/11 | 4/6 bet365 | -13.2% | |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 11/10 | 6/5 bet365 | +3.2% | |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 9/4 | |||
| Result and BTTS | Wycombe and yes | 24% | 10/3 | ||
| Draw and yes | 18% | 9/2 | |||
| Burton Albion and yes | 12% | 15/2 | |||
| Result and goals | Wycombe and over 2.5 | 32% | 2/1 | ||
| Burton Albion and over 2.5 | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Wycombe and under 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |||
| Burton Albion and under 2.5 | 10% | 9/1 | |||
| Half time / full time | Wycombe / Wycombe | 32% | 9/4 | ||
| Draw / Wycombe | 17% | 5/1 | |||
| Draw / Draw | 14% | 6/1 | |||
| Burton Albion / Burton Albion | 13% | 13/2 | |||
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 64% | 4/7 | ||
| Over 10.5 | 53% | 10/11 | |||
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 51% | evens | ||
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 15/8 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance. We take bookmaker prices from football-data.co.uk. That site has match odds plus over/under 2.5 only, and edge marks the rows where both numbers are available.
Line-ups for the start
Wycombe 4-2-3-1
- Hazard, Conor.GK
- Grimmer, Jack.DEF
- Harvie, Daniel.DEF
- Boyd-Munce, Caolan.MID
- Taylor, Connor.DEF
- Hagelskjaer, Anders.DEF
- Onyedinma, Fred.MID
- Scowen, Josh.MID
- Wareham, Jayden.FWD
- Woodrow, Cauley.MID
- Mothersille, Malik.MID
Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
- Addai, Corey.GK
- Borges Rodrigues, Raphael.MID
- Armer, Jack.MID
- Sraha, Jason.DEF
- Tilt, Curtis.DEF
- Sibbick, Toby.DEF
- Krubally, Sulyman.MID
- Chauke, Kgagelo.MID
- O’Mahony, Mark.FWD
- Kingslyn Arubi, Gbemi.FWD
- Webster, Charlie.FWD
ESPN supplied the starting elevens, read Wednesday 4 November, 09:11.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.1 | 12.1 | 6.1 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Burton Albion, 15 games. Wycombe, 14 games. This season, ESPN match events show the minute each goal was scored.
Corner and card figures
- Expected corners are 11.1, with Wycombe 6.0, Burton Albion 5.1 and league 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.8 (league 3.7, referee adjusted).
Form guide
Wycombe Wanderers
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | at AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Cambridge | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Notts County | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | v Luton | 1-4 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | v Reading | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 19 Sep | at Wigan | 1-0 | W |
Wycombe scores come first.
Burton Albion
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 24 Oct | v Leyton Orient | 2-1 | W |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Bradford | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Peterborough | 2-2 | D |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Doncaster | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Huddersfield | 1-3 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Plymouth | 1-0 | W |
Burton Albion scores come first.
Head to head
| Sat 28 Feb 2026 | League One | Wycombe 3-0 Burton | 1-0 | 7 |
| Sat 13 Dec 2025 | League One | Burton 0-0 Wycombe | 0-0 | 12 |
| Tue 4 Mar 2025 | League One | Wycombe 2-0 Burton | 1-0 | 10 |
| Tue 22 Oct 2024 | League One | Burton 2-3 Wycombe | 1-1 | 11 |
League One table
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Wycombe Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.