Leyton Orient vs AFC Wimbledon prediction
The analysis we offer
In League One, Leyton Orient sit 14th on 17 points from 13 games. Wimbledon sit 18th on 13 points from 13 games, 4 points behind.
Their last 6 games brought Leyton Orient 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 6 scored and 5 conceded. From their last 6, Wimbledon took 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 14.
So far this season, 38% of Leyton Orient games saw both teams score, and 46% had more than 2.5 goals; Wimbledon match those at 38% and 46%. By expected goals, Leyton Orient produce 1.22 a game and concede 1.52; Wimbledon produce 0.87 and concede 1.63.
Our results show 2 meetings since August 2024: 1 went to Leyton Orient, 1 to Wimbledon and 0 ended level. Their most recent meeting, on Tuesday 17 March 2026, ended AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Leyton Orient.
A Leyton Orient win is the likeliest outcome in our model at 56%. The draw stands at 25% and Wimbledon 19%. These chances come from expected goals that put Leyton Orient on 1.72, with Wimbledon on 0.92.
We predict a Leyton Orient 1-0 AFC Wimbledon scoreline. One exact score stands out most: 1-1 at 12.0%. Within the result we favor, 1-0 is the likeliest score.
Stats: Leyton Orient v Wimbledon
| Per game |  Leyton Orient |  Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 60% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 8.2 | 6.6 / 5.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| xG for / against | 1.61 / 1.29 | 0.86 / 2.12 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 13 | 13 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.46 | 0.69 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.08 | 1.62 |
| Both teams scored | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 46% |
| Clean sheets | 46% | 38% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.8 / 7.0 | 5.6 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| xG for / against | 1.22 / 1.52 | 0.87 / 1.63 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.43 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.43 | 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 43% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.1 / 7.9 | 4.9 / 5.1 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| xG for / against | 1.28 / 1.70 | 0.88 / 1.56 |
| Per game | Leyton Orient | Wimbledon |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 3.0 / 4.5 | 4.5 / 3.0 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Leyton Orient win | 56% | 4/5 |
| Draw | 25% | 3/1 | |
| Wimbledon win | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Double chance | Leyton Orient or draw | 81% | 1/4 |
| Wimbledon or draw | 44% | 5/4 | |
| Draw no bet | Leyton Orient | 74% | 1/3 |
| Wimbledon | 26% | 29/10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | evens |
| No | 50% | evens | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 75% | 1/3 |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 21/20 | |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | evens | |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 13/5 | |
| Result and BTTS | Leyton Orient and yes | 24% | 16/5 |
| Draw and yes | 17% | 5/1 | |
| Wimbledon and yes | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Result and goals | Leyton Orient and over 2.5 | 33% | 2/1 |
| Wimbledon and over 2.5 | 10% | 17/2 | |
| Leyton Orient and under 2.5 | 22% | 7/2 | |
| Wimbledon and under 2.5 | 9% | 10/1 | |
| Half time / full time | Leyton Orient / Leyton Orient | 35% | 15/8 |
| Draw / Leyton Orient | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Draw / Draw | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Wimbledon / Wimbledon | 11% | 17/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 61% | 8/13 |
| Over 10.5 | 50% | evens | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 47% | 11/10 |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 11/5 |
Our fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Leyton Orient 4-2-3-1
- Baxter, Nathan.GK
- Stevens, Fin.DEF
- Boniface, Somtochukwu.DEF
- Gilbert, Alex.MID
- Edmonds-Green, Rarmani.DEF
- Gilchrist, Alfie.DEF
- Connolly, Aaron.MID
- El Mizouni, Idris.MID
- Kabia, Jaze.FWD
- O'Neill, Oliver.MID
- Dobra, Armando.MID
They started against Cambridge on Sat 31 Oct.
Wimbledon 5-3-2
- Bursik, Josef.GK
- Tilley, James.DEF
- Sasu, Aron.DEF
- Seddon, Steve.DEF
- Johnson, Ryan.DEF
- Yiadom, Andy.DEF
- Smith, Alistair.MID
- Harrison, Ollie.MID
- Cornick, Harry.FWD
- Stockley, Jayden.FWD
- Hippolyte, Myles.MID
At Stockport, they started Sat 31 Oct.
Chances for correct scores
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.1 | 5.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
When the goals come
Leyton Orient, 16 games , and Wimbledon, 15 games.
Corners plus cards
- Expect 10.8 corners (league 10.4); Leyton Orient 5.0, Wimbledon 5.8.
- Yellow cards expected: 3.6 (league 3.7).
Form in recent matches
Leyton Orient
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | v Cambridge | 3-0 | W |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Burton | 1-2 | L |
| Wed 21 Oct | at Reading | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Blackpool | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Bradford | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 3 Oct | v Plymouth | 0-2 | L |
Leyton Orient is listed first in the scores.
AFC Wimbledon
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 31 Oct | at Stockport | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Wycombe | 1-1 | D |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Mansfield | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Sheffield Wednesday | 0-5 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Plymouth | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 26 Sep | at Cambridge | 1-1 | D |
Wimbledon is listed first in the scores.
Head to head
| Date | Competition | Result | Half time | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 17 Mar 2026 | League One | AFC Wimbledon 2-4 Leyton Orient | 2-1 | 6 |
| Thu 1 Jan 2026 | League One | Leyton Orient 1-3 AFC Wimbledon | 1-1 | 9 |
League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster Rovers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November