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Falkirk vs Celtic prediction

Falkirk crestFalkirk
2-0full time, Sun 1 Nov
CelticCeltic crest
1-2predicted score (10%)
60%both teams score
61%over 2.5 goals
1.15-2.00expected goals

Removing margin gives Falkirk 16%, a draw 19% and Celtic 66%, averaged across 6 UK bookmakers

The model's view

Falkirk sit 4th in the Scottish Premiership, earning 18 points from 12 games On 28 points from 12 matches, Celtic are 1st, 10 points ahead

Falkirk's last 6 saw 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, with 10 scored and 5 conceded Celtic's last 6 brought 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 14 scored and 5 against

Both teams scored in 64% of Falkirk games this season, while 55% finished over 2.5 goals; Celtic's corresponding figures are 55% and 64% Per game, Falkirk create 1.10 expected goals and allow 1.63; Celtic's figures are 2.69 created and 0.95 allowed

Since August 2024, our results list 5 meetings: Falkirk's win count was 0, Celtic's was 5 and 0 matches ended level Saturday 29 August 2026 saw Celtic 2-1 Falkirk in the most recent meeting

The model rates Celtic's win at 57%, with Falkirk 21% and the draw 23%. Its expected goals are 1.15 for Falkirk and 2.00 for Celtic Without their margin, UK bookmakers put it at 66%, a higher market rate than ours

Score prediction: Falkirk 1-2 Celtic One exact score leads at 10.5%: 1-1. Inside the result we favor, 1-2 is the likeliest score

Stats for Falkirk v Celtic

Per gameFalkirk crestFalkirkCeltic crestCeltic
Games55
Goals scored a game1.602.60
Goals conceded a game0.801.00
Both teams scored60%60%
Over 2.5 goals60%60%
Clean sheets40%20%
Corners won / conceded5.4 / 6.28.4 / 3.2
Yellow cards a game1.42.4
xG for / against1.34 / 1.392.17 / 1.09

Fair prices and the best UK odds

Match resultFalkirk win21%4/15/1 Betfred+24.5%
Draw23%10/39/2 bet365+24.6%
Celtic win57%4/52/5 bet365-19.6%
Double chanceFalkirk or draw43%5/4
Celtic or draw79%1/4
Draw no betFalkirk27%11/4
Celtic73%4/11
Both teams to scoreYes60%4/6
No40%6/4
GoalsOver 1.583%1/5
Over 2.561%4/64/9 bet365-12.3%
Under 2.539%6/47/4 bet365+7.6%
Over 3.539%13/8
Result and BTTSFalkirk and yes12%15/2
Draw and yes18%9/2
Celtic and yes30%5/2
Result and goalsFalkirk and over 2.514%13/2
Celtic and over 2.540%6/4
Falkirk and under 2.57%14/1
Celtic and under 2.517%5/1
Half time / full timeCeltic / Celtic37%7/4
Draw / Celtic17%5/1
Falkirk / Falkirk12%7/1
Draw / Draw12%15/2
CornersOver 9.565%8/15
Over 10.554%5/6
CardsOver 3.561%4/6
Over 4.544%5/4

Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance We get bookmaker prices from football-data.co.uk. It lists match odds plus only over/under 2.5. Edge marks where both numbers are available

Who starts for each side

Falkirk crestFalkirk 4-2-3-1

  1. Bain, Scott.GK
  2. Strain, Ryan.DEF
  3. Tanser, Scott.DEF
  4. Spencer, Brad.MID
  5. Neilson, Lewis.DEF
  6. Henderson, Liam.DEF
  7. Ross, Ethan.MID
  8. Melniks, Deniss.MID
  9. Murrell, Jacob.FWD
  10. Barbrook, Finley.MID
  11. Eames, Owen.MID

Celtic crestCeltic 4-2-3-1

  1. Johnstone, Sam.GK
  2. Donovan, Colby.DEF
  3. Tierney, Kieran.DEF
  4. McGregor, Callum.MID
  5. Carter-Vickers, Cameron.DEF
  6. Scales, Liam.DEF
  7. Hassan, Haissem.MID
  8. Oxlade-Chamberlain, Alex.MID
  9. Durán, Camilo.FWD
  10. Baur, Mika.MID
  11. Osmand, Callum.MID

ESPN supplies the starting elevens. We read them Wednesday 4 November, 09:12.

Chances for each correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Falkirk goals down the side and Celtic goals across
012345
04.98.08.65.72.91.1
14.310.59.96.63.31.3
22.85.65.63.81.90.8
31.12.22.21.40.70.3
40.30.60.60.40.20.1
50.10.10.10.10.00.0

When the goals come

471-151216-305631-451846-604361-750176-90

For Celtic, 12 games; for Falkirk, 12 games. This season's goals by minute, taken from ESPN match events.

Cards and corners

Latest form

Falkirk crestFalkirk

Falkirk's last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octat Aberdeen1-0W
Sat 24 Octv Kilmarnock3-0W
Sat 17 Octat Hibernian2-1W
Sat 10 Octv Dundee1-2L
Sat 19 Sepat St Johnstone1-1D
Tue 15 Sepv Hearts2-1W

Falkirk's score is listed first.

Celtic crestCeltic

Celtic's last 6
Result
Wed 28 Octv Dundee United2-2D
Sun 25 Octat Hibernian2-1W
Sun 18 Octv Hearts7-1W
Sun 11 Octat Motherwell2-0W
Sun 20 Sepv Rangers0-1L
Wed 9 Sepat St Johnstone1-0W

Celtic's score is listed first.

Head to head

Sat 29 Aug 2026Scottish PremCeltic 2-1 Falkirk2-09
Sat 25 Apr 2026Scottish PremCeltic 3-1 Falkirk2-016
Sun 1 Feb 2026Scottish PremCeltic 2-0 Falkirk1-013
Wed 14 Jan 2026Scottish PremFalkirk 0-1 Celtic0-17
Wed 29 Oct 2025Scottish PremCeltic 4-0 Falkirk2-09

Scottish Premiership standings

PosClubPWDLGDPts
1Celtic crestCeltic12912+1728
2Rangers crestRangers11731+1024
3Heart of Midlothian crestHeart of Midlothian11623+720
4Falkirk crestFalkirk12534+318
5Dundee crestDundee11524+417
6Dundee United crestDundee United11443+016

The standings come from ESPN, as of Wednesday 4 November.

Additional Scottish Premiership predictions