Blackpool vs Wigan Athletic prediction
The analysis we provide
With 12 points from 12 games, Blackpool sit 19th in League One. Wigan sit 21st with 11 from 14, 1 point behind.
Across their last 6, Blackpool recorded 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 12. Wigan's last 6 show 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded.
During the season, 67% of Blackpool games saw both teams score and 58% went over 2.5 goals. Wigan's numbers are 36% and 50%. In expected goals, Blackpool create 1.28 per game and allow 1.89, while Wigan's figures are 1.38 created and 1.83 allowed.
Since August 2024, our results show 4 meetings, with 1 Blackpool win, 0 Wigan wins and 3 draws. The most recent meeting, on Saturday 7 March 2026, ended with Blackpool 1-1 Wigan.
The model's expected goals stand at 1.48 for Blackpool and 1.08 for Wigan. From those figures, it rates a Blackpool win as likeliest at 46%, ahead of the draw on 27% and Wigan 27%.
We predict Blackpool 1-0 Wigan Athletic. Only one exact score stands out as most likely, 1-1 at 13.1%. For the result we lean toward, 1-0 is the most likely score.
Stats for Blackpool v Wigan
| Per game |  Blackpool |  Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Corners won / conceded | 6.8 / 7.4 | 3.4 / 5.8 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.6 | 2.8 |
| xG for / against | 0.88 / 1.49 | 1.18 / 2.16 |
| Per game | Blackpool | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 12 | 14 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.42 | 0.79 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.75 | 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 17% | 21% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.5 / 7.8 | 4.9 / 5.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.0 | 2.7 |
| xG for / against | 1.28 / 1.89 | 1.38 / 1.83 |
| Per game | Blackpool | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 7 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.00 | 0.57 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.83 | 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 57% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 14% |
| Corners won / conceded | 5.2 / 5.7 | 5.1 / 6.4 |
| Yellow cards a game | 1.5 | 3.3 |
| xG for / against | 1.37 / 1.60 | 1.34 / 1.88 |
| Per game | Blackpool | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 25% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Corners won / conceded | 4.5 / 4.0 | 4.0 / 4.5 |
| Yellow cards a game | 2.2 | 1.8 |
Fair prices for each market
| Match result | Blackpool win | 46% | 6/5 |
| Draw | 27% | 13/5 | |
| Wigan win | 27% | 11/4 | |
| Double chance | Blackpool or draw | 73% | 4/11 |
| Wigan or draw | 54% | 5/6 | |
| Draw no bet | Blackpool | 63% | 4/7 |
| Wigan | 37% | 17/10 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 10/11 |
| No | 48% | 11/10 | |
| Goals | Over 1.5 | 73% | 4/11 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 11/10 | |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 10/11 | |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 29/10 | |
| Result and BTTS | Blackpool and yes | 20% | 4/1 |
| Draw and yes | 19% | 9/2 | |
| Wigan and yes | 13% | 7/1 | |
| Result and goals | Blackpool and over 2.5 | 27% | 11/4 |
| Wigan and over 2.5 | 15% | 6/1 | |
| Blackpool and under 2.5 | 19% | 4/1 | |
| Wigan and under 2.5 | 12% | 15/2 | |
| Half time / full time | Blackpool / Blackpool | 28% | 13/5 |
| Draw / Blackpool | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Draw / Draw | 16% | 5/1 | |
| Wigan / Wigan | 15% | 11/2 | |
| Corners | Over 9.5 | 68% | 4/9 |
| Over 10.5 | 58% | 8/11 | |
| Cards | Over 3.5 | 55% | 5/6 |
| Over 4.5 | 38% | 13/8 |
A fair price equals 1 divided by our chance.
Line-ups we predict
Blackpool 5-3-2
- Peacock-Farrell, Bailey.GK
- Williams, Jordan.DEF
- Coulson, Hayden.DEF
- Ashworth, Zachary.DEF
- Casey, Oliver.DEF
- Lyons, Andy.DEF
- Anderson, Karoy.MID
- Morgan, Albie.MID
- Taylor, Dale.FWD
- Bloxham, Tom.FWD
- Clarkson, Leighton.MID
They started at Sheff Wed on Sun 1 Nov.
Wigan 3-4-2-1
- Whitworth, Joseph.GK
- Barrett, Connor.MID
- K'Marni MillerMID
- Burns, Finley.DEF
- Carragher, James.DEF
- Weir, Jensen.DEF
- Power, Max.MID
- Gray, Charlie.MID
- Hogan, Scott.FWD
- Burrowes, Bradley.FWD
- Walsh, Reggie.FWD
They started against Mansfield on Tue 3 Nov.
Chances for the correct score
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.7 | 13.1 | 6.7 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.2 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Scoring times
Blackpool has 14 games and Wigan, 15 games.
Corners plus cards
- Corners expected: 11.5, including Blackpool 5.2 and Wigan 6.3, against a league figure of 10.4.
- Yellow cards expected: 4.1(league 3.7)
Form lately
Blackpool
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 1 Nov | at Sheffield Wednesday | 1-1 | D |
| Sat 24 Oct | v Mansfield | 1-4 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | v Milton Keynes Dons | 2-0 | W |
| Sat 17 Oct | at Leyton Orient | 0-2 | L |
| Sat 10 Oct | at Cambridge | 0-1 | L |
| Sat 19 Sep | v Plymouth | 2-4 | L |
The score listings place Blackpool first.
Wigan Athletic
| Result | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Tue 3 Nov | v Mansfield | 0-0 | D |
| Sat 31 Oct | v Bromley | 3-2 | W |
| Tue 27 Oct | at Leicester | 0-3 | L |
| Sat 24 Oct | at Huddersfield | 1-2 | L |
| Tue 20 Oct | at Oxford | 1-2 | L |
| Sat 17 Oct | v Reading | 1-0 | W |
Read the scores with Wigan first.
Head to head
| Sat 7 Mar 2026 | League One | Blackpool 1-1 Wigan | 1-1 | 8 |
| Sat 20 Dec 2025 | League One | Wigan 0-2 Blackpool | 0-0 | 7 |
| Sat 26 Apr 2025 | League One | Wigan 1-1 Blackpool | 1-0 | 13 |
| Mon 28 Oct 2024 | League One | Blackpool 2-2 Wigan | 1-2 | 6 |
League One standings
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster Rovers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 | Wigan Athletic | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough United | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
Standings updated Thursday 5 November