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Fleetwood Town vs Everton prediction

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town
20:00Thursday 17 December
EvertonEverton crest
0-2predicted score (15%)
37%both teams score
63%over 2.5 goals
0.50-2.74expected goals

The analysis we provide

This Carabao Cup match pairs a League Two team with a Premier League team, with 3 divisions between them. Using league games and earlier cup ties, the model rates both clubs on the same scale.

Fleetwood Town's last 6 gave them 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 10 scored and 9 conceded. In Everton's last 6 they won 3, drew 1 and lost 2, scoring 7 and conceding 7.

So far this season, 64% of Fleetwood Town games saw both teams score and 43% went over 2.5 goals, while Everton's figures are 33% and 22%. Each game, Fleetwood Town's expected goals are 1.24 created and 1.40 allowed. For Everton, the figures are 1.36 created and 1.46 allowed.

Everton is the most likely winner in the model at 84%, against Fleetwood Town 4% and the draw 12%. Expected goals used: Fleetwood Town 0.50, Everton 2.74.

Score prediction: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Everton.

Stats for Fleetwood Town v Everton

Per gameFleetwood Town crestFleetwood TownEverton crestEverton
Games55
Goals scored a game1.801.20
Goals conceded a game1.601.40
Both teams scored80%40%
Over 2.5 goals60%40%
Clean sheets20%20%
Corners won / conceded5.5 / 4.54.8 / 7.5
Yellow cards a game2.22.0
xG for / against1.76 / 1.071.22 / 1.56

Fair prices for each market

Match resultFleetwood Town win4%22/1
Draw12%15/2
Everton win84%1/5
Double chanceFleetwood Town or draw16%5/1
Everton or draw96%1/25
Draw no betFleetwood Town5%20/1
Everton95%1/20
Both teams to scoreYes37%17/10
No63%8/13
GoalsOver 1.584%1/5
Over 2.563%4/7
Under 2.537%17/10
Over 3.541%6/4
Result and BTTSFleetwood Town and yes2%50/1
Draw and yes8%12/1
Everton and yes27%13/5
Result and goalsFleetwood Town and over 2.52%50/1
Everton and over 2.559%8/11
Fleetwood Town and under 2.52%50/1
Everton and under 2.525%3/1
Half time / full timeEverton / Everton60%4/6
Draw / Everton21%18/5
Draw / Draw7%12/1
Fleetwood Town / Everton2%40/1
CornersOver 9.553%10/11
Over 10.542%11/8
CardsOver 3.550%evens
Over 4.533%2/1

Our fair price is 1 divided by our chance.

The line-ups we expect for both clubs

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town 3-1-4-2

  1. Lynch, Jay.GK
  2. Mccann, Lewis.MID
  3. Batty, Jake.MID
  4. Bennett, Rhys.DEF
  5. Rooney, Shaun.DEF
  6. Potter, Finley.DEF
  7. Mclean, Crispin.MID
  8. Neal, Harrison.DEF
  9. Coughlan, Ronan.FWD
  10. Loupalo-Bi, Aaron.FWD
  11. Helm, Mark.MID

They started on Sat 31 Oct against Bristol Rovers.

Everton crestEverton 4-2-3-1

  1. PickfordGK · 9 starts
  2. TarkowskiDEF · 9 starts
  3. BranthwaiteDEF · 8 starts
  4. MykolenkoDEF · 8 starts
  5. Maitland-NilesDEF · 4 starts
  6. Dewsbury-HallMID · 9 starts
  7. ArmstrongMID · 9 starts
  8. GarnerMID · 8 starts
  9. GeorgeMID · 6 starts
  10. RöhlMID · 6 starts
  11. BarryFWD · 9 starts

Chances for each exact score

Each score's chance in %, with Fleetwood Town's goals down the side and Everton's across
012345
04.210.314.613.49.25.0
11.65.77.46.74.62.5
20.51.41.91.71.20.6
30.10.20.30.30.20.1
40.00.00.00.00.00.0
50.00.00.00.00.00.0

When each team scores

311-153116-305331-454446-605461-755476-90

Here it's Fleetwood Town, 18 games, and Everton, 12 games.

Cards and corners

Form guide

Fleetwood Town crestFleetwood Town

Fleetwood Town last 6
Result
Sat 31 Octv Bristol Rvs3-1W
Tue 27 Octv Arsenal1-1D
Sat 24 Octat Exeter1-2L
Tue 20 Octat Cheltenham2-4L
Sat 17 Octv Rotherham2-0W
Sat 10 Octv Walsall1-1D

Fleetwood Town is listed first in the scores.

Everton crestEverton

Everton's last 6 matches
Result
Mon 2 Novat Newcastle1-0W
Thu 29 Octv Newcastle3-1W
Sat 24 Octat Arsenal0-2L
Sat 17 Octv Chelsea0-2L
Sun 11 Octat Hull2-2D
Sat 19 Sepv Ipswich1-0W

Everton is listed first in the scores.

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