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Manchester City vs Bradford City prediction

Manchester City crestMan City
20:00Tuesday 15 December
BradfordBradford City crest
3-0predicted score (15%)
33%both teams score
69%over 2.5 goals
3.17-0.41expected goals

Our assessment

This Carabao Cup tie pits a Premier League side against a League One side, 2 divisions apart. Using league games and earlier cup ties, the model puts both clubs on the same scale.

Across their last 6, Man City took 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 14 and conceding 10. In Bradford's last 6, they won 2, drew 3 and lost 1, scoring 4 and conceding 3.

This season, 56% of Man City games saw both teams score, and 67% of Man City games went over 2.5 goals. Bradford's figures were 15% and 15%. For expected goals, Man City produce 2.07 per match and concede 1.27. Bradford produce 1.11 and concede 0.96.

Semenyo, who has started regularly this season, is expected to be unavailable for Man City.

With Man City on 3.17 expected goals and Bradford on 0.41, the model puts a Man City win at 90%, a draw at 8% and Bradford 2%.

We predict Manchester City 3-0 Bradford City.

Stats for Man City v Bradford

Per gameManchester City crestMan CityBradford City crestBradford
Games55
Goals scored a game1.800.80
Goals conceded a game1.400.60
Both teams scored60%0%
Over 2.5 goals80%20%
Clean sheets20%80%
Corners won / conceded5.8 / 3.59.2 / 3.5
Yellow cards a game1.82.2
xG for / against2.01 / 1.051.34 / 1.39

Market fair prices

Match resultMan City win90%2/17
Draw8%11/1
Bradford win2%40/1
Double chanceMan City or draw98%1/33
Bradford or draw10%17/2
Draw no betMan City98%1/33
Bradford2%40/1
Both teams to scoreYes33%21/10
No67%1/2
GoalsOver 1.588%1/7
Over 2.569%4/9
Under 2.531%23/10
Over 3.548%11/10
Result and BTTSMan City and yes26%14/5
Draw and yes5%18/1
Bradford and yes1%100/1
Result and goalsMan City and over 2.567%1/2
Bradford and over 2.51%100/1
Man City and under 2.523%17/5
Bradford and under 2.51%80/1
Half time / full timeMan City / Man City68%1/2
Draw / Man City20%4/1
Draw / Draw5%18/1
Bradford / Man City2%50/1
CornersOver 9.568%4/9
Over 10.558%8/11
CardsOver 3.553%10/11
Over 4.537%7/4

Divide 1 by our chance to get the fair price.

Expected starting line-ups

Manchester City crestMan City shape: City 4-2-3-1.

  1. DonnarummaGK · 9 starts
  2. RúbenDEF · 9 starts
  3. GuéhiDEF · 8 starts
  4. GvardiolDEF · 7 starts
  5. Matheus N.DEF · 5 starts
  6. AndersonMID · 8 starts
  7. NdiayeMID · 8 starts
  8. EnzoMID · 6 starts
  9. CherkiMID · 6 starts
  10. FodenMID · 4 starts
  11. HaalandFWD · 9 starts

Semenyo (Knee injury) is out or doubtful.

Bradford City crestBradford 3-4-2-1

  1. McCracken, Jon.GK
  2. O'Keefe, Corey.MID
  3. Touray, Ibou.MID
  4. Pratt, George.DEF
  5. Baldwin, Aden.DEF
  6. Pennington, Matthew.DEF
  7. Sarcevic, Antoni.MID
  8. Cartwright, Henry.MID
  9. Beesley, Jake.FWD
  10. Jackson, Kayden.FWD
  11. Swan, Will.FWD

They started against Huddersfield on Sat 31 Oct.

Chances for the correct score

Each score's chance in %, with Man City goals down the side and Bradford goals across
012345
03.00.90.20.00.00.0
18.63.90.80.10.00.0
213.95.81.20.20.00.0
314.76.11.30.20.00.0
411.74.81.00.10.00.0
57.43.10.60.10.00.0

When each team scores

131-155116-304131-457546-604361-756476-90

For Man City, 11 games; for Bradford, 17 games.

Card and corner numbers

Latest form

Manchester City crestManchester City

Last 6 for Man City
Result
Sat 31 Octv Brighton0-1L
Wed 28 Octv Brighton2-2D
Sat 24 Octat Aston Villa1-2L
Sat 17 Octv Ipswich3-2W
Sun 11 Octat Liverpool3-0W
Sun 20 Sepv Sunderland5-3W

Man City is listed first in the scores.

Bradford City crestBradford City

Last 6 for Bradford
Result
Sat 31 Octv Huddersfield0-3L
Tue 27 Octv Peterborough2-0W
Sat 24 Octat Oxford0-0D
Tue 20 Octat Burton0-0D
Sat 17 Octv Stevenage2-0W
Sat 10 Octv Leyton Orient0-0D

Bradford is listed first in the scores.

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